Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Cadeau Blanc de Noir Willamette Valley 2017 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $36.99 $39.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sojourn Cellars Chardonnay Sangiacomo Vineyard Sonoma Coast 2022 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| St Supery Dollarhide Vineyard Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Lynch Moussas Pauillac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Saxon Brown Rosella's Vineyard Chardonnay Santa Lucia Highlands 2016 white · Monterey · 750 ml | $20.03 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bruno by Karthauserhof Riesling Spatlese 2018 white · 750 ml | $8.73 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Villemaurine Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $20.43 $72.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cantina di Montalcino Brunello di Montalcino 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Maillet Pomerol 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $15.83 $52.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cune Reserva Rioja Alta 2019 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Serena Brunello di Montalcino 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Poggio Landi Brunello di Montalcino 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jean Biecher et Fils Riesling Rosacker Alsace Grand Cru 2019 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $10.43 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Daou Vineyards The Pessimist Red Blend Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $25.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +8% if it rises |
| Lete Vautrain Zero Brut Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +7% if it rises |
| Warres Vintage Port 2016 dessert · Douro · 375 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Howell Mountain Vineyards Beatty Ranch Zinfandel Howell Mountain Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lavinea Elton Vineyard Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2017 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $11.93 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Poggio Landi Brunello di Montalcino 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| St Supery Dollarhide Vineyard Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $23.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Plumpjack Estate Chardonnay Napa Valley 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Raptor Ridge Chardonnay Gran Moraine Vineyard Willamette Valley 2018 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Blandy's Sercial Madeira 5 Year Old dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $26.99 $29.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Domaine de la Pauline Sancerre Blanc 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $8.23 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Dominique et Janine Crochet Sancerre Rouge 2019 white · Loire · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Laurent Perrier La Cuvee Champagne Brut sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Merryvale Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $64.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| St Supery Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $37.43 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Moet and Chandon Pharrell Imperial Brut Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Paitin Barbaresco Serraboella 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $44.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Plumpjack Estate Chardonnay Napa Valley 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bergstrom Wines Pinot Noir Cumberland Reserve Willamette Valley 2017 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $37.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sterling Vineyards Platinum Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2015 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $26.93 $35.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de la Pauline Sancerre Blanc 2024 white · Loire · 750 ml | $28.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Branaire Ducru Saint Julien 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $71.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Groth Chardonnay Hillview Vineyard Napa Valley 2020 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $20.03 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cambria Estate Winery Tepusquiet Vineyard Syrah Santa Maria Valley 2021 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Saint Andre Corbin Saint Georges Saint Emilion 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $26.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Taub Family Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Rutherford 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| WALT Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills Santa Barbara County 2020 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $20.03 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Crossbarn by Paul Hobbs Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $10.33 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Antinori Antica A26 Chardonnay Napa Valley 2019 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de la Pauline Sancerre Blanc 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stags' Leap Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Latour Martillac Pessac Leognan Rouge 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $46.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Latour Giraud Cuvee Charles Maxime Meursault 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $74.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de La Chapelle Madame Noly Saint Veran 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Freemark Abbey Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $19.43 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| K Vintners Collection Jack's Cabernet Sauvignon Walla Walla Valley 2017 red · Washington · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| K Vintners The Deal Syrah Wahluke Slope 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $19.03 $38.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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