Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodney Strong Merlot Sonoma County red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 $22.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +5% if it rises |
| Charles Smith Substance Vineyard Collection Powerline Cabernet Sauvignon Walla Walla 2016 red · Washington · 750 ml | $23.73 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dusted Valley Cabernet Sauvignon Valley Columbia Valley 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Earthquake Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi 2021 red · Lodi · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 8% premium | <1% |
| Jacques Saumaize Chataigniers Saint Veran Burgundy 2023 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $32.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Le Cadeau Diversite Pinot Noir Chehalem Mountains 2023 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $54.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Maison Tardieu Laurent Gigondas Vieilles Vignes 2018 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $38.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Odette Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Stag's Leap District 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $47.93 $160 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| R Wines Southern Belle Red Blend Jumilla 2021 red · 750 ml | $20.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Aperture Cellars Red Blend Alexander Valley Sonoma County 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Charles Smith Wines of Substance Vineyard Collection Stoneridge Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2017 red · Washington · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Carbonnieux Pessac Leognan Rouge 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Col d'Orcia Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $35.99 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Columbia Crest Grand Estates Merlot Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cora Montepulciano d'Abruzzo 2024 red · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $10.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Domenico Clerico Barolo del Comune di Monforte d'Alba 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $54.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Fiuza Premium Alicante Bouschet Reserva Tejo 2019 red · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Freemark Abbey Merlot Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $14.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gundlach Bundschu Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma Valley Sonoma County 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $16.23 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nicodemi Terrana Montepulciano d'Abruzzo 2022 red · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $7.79 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Web Pinot Noir Pays d'Oc 2025 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $11.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Georges Duboeuf Beaujolais Villages red · Beaujolais · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Ram's Gate Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $45.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sunwine Saperavi Semi Sweet Kindzmarauli Georgia Red Wine 2023 red · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Two Vintners Winery Syrah Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Villa Sparina Gavi del Comune di Gavi 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Argyle Pinot Noir Willamette Valley Reserve red · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $40.99 | ▼ 12.4% | ▼ 8.9% | Fairly priced | 18% typically +7% if it rises |
| Barnard Griffin Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Borsao Cabriola Red Campo de Borja 2018 red · 750 ml | $5.03 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Collection Alain Corcia Pinot Noir Bourgogne Reserve Grande Classe Rouge 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $20.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Bousquet Malbec Tupungato Reserve red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.59 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Gouguenheim Malbec Mendoza Reserva 2019 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Les Fontanelles Pinot Noir Vin de Pays d'Oc Rouge 2022 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 8% premium | <1% |
| Wellsley Farms Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Charles Krug Family Reserve Generations Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Louis Jadot Le Vaucrain Cote de Nuits Villages Rouge 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $35.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Hex Vom Dasenstein Pinot Noir Baden 2020 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jose Antonio Garcia Unculin Mencia Bierzo 2020 red · 750 ml | $6.73 $20.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Loveblock Pinot Noir Central Otago 2021 red · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Schild Estate GMS Red Blend Barossa Valley 2018 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sterling Vineyards Vintner's Collection Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.63 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▼ 20.6% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Carski Emporia Zilavka Mostar 2021 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Fond Croze Shyrus Cotes du Rhone Villages Vaison la Romaine 2023 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 8% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Guy Amiot et Fils Les Vergers Chassagne Montrachet 1er Cru 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $34.93 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Duckhorn Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Howell Mountain Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $110 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Francis Coppola Diamond Collection Pinot Noir Monterey County red · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.49 | ▲ 2.6% | ▼ 2.5% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Le Paradou Cinsault IGP Mediterannee Rouge 2024 red · 750 ml | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Shafer TD9 Red Blend Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Westmount Gamay Noir Willamette Valley 2023 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Zuccardi Aluvional Malbec Paraje Altamira 2015 red · 750 ml | $84.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
3,551–3,600 of 5,705← PreviousNext →