Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Oberto Barolo Commune de la Mora 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $20.99 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Esteban Martin Grenache Syrah Blend Carinena Box 2018 red · 3000 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Guarachi Chardonnay Sun Chase Vineyard Estate Grown Petaluma Gap 2020 white · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Champagne Pointillard Leroy Fondations 1910 Brut Premier Cru sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Zind Humbrecht Pinot Gris Alsace 2023 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $35.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Trefethen Dragon's Tooth Red Wine Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $25.03 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Black Stallion Estate Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Gaspare Vineyard Oak Knoll District of Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $74.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Latour Martillac Pessac Leognan Rouge 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $45.99 | ▲ 39.4% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Two Hands Angels Share Shiraz McLaren Vale 2020 red · McLaren Vale · 750 ml | $10.13 $35.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vigneti di Ettore Amarone della Valpolicella Classico 2016 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Crossbarn by Paul Hobbs Chardonnay Sonoma Coast 2020 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $8.93 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beaux Freres Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $21.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Coelho Winery Pinot Noir Estate Reserve Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Curveux Guillaume Pouilly Fuisse 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Saxon Brown Durell Vineyard Hayfield Block Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2015 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $30.03 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Di Giovanna V21 Vasca Ventuno Grillo Sicilia 2021 red · Sicily · 3000 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mount Peak Winery Gravity Red Blend Sonoma County 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Tenuta delle Terre Nere Etna Rosso 2023 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Marquis de Calon Segur Saint Estephe 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $42.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau La Gaffeliere Clos La Gaffeliere Saint Emilion 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $38.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Moutard Champagne Brut Grand Cuvee sparkling · Champagne · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $33.53 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Orin Swift 8 Years in the Desert California 2019 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $44.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bledsoe Family Cabernet Sauvignon Walla Walla Valley 2023 red · Washington · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lanson Le Black Label Champagne Brut sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $28.73 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Virtue Cellars Loyalty Syrah Reserve Red Mountain 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $26.99 $29.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dr Loosen Wehlener Sonnenuhr Riesling Spatlese 2022 white · 750 ml | $31.99 $33.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Roederer Estate Brut Anderson Valley sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $32.99 $35.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 33.3% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +10% if it rises |
| Cristom Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $10.93 $33.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ellena Giuseppe Barolo del Commune di la Morra 2018 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $17.03 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Colpetrone Memoria Sagrantino di Montefalco 2015 red · 750 ml | $16.19 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Long Meadow Ranch Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $35.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Majuelos Bufona Single Vineyard Tempranillo Ribera Del Duero 2018 red · Ribera del Duero · 750 ml | $8.23 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stags' Leap Merlot Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $13.93 $43.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Trefethen Dragon's Tooth Red Wine Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Beauchene Vignobles Chateauneuf du Pape Blanc 2023 white · Rhone · 750 ml | $31.99 $34.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cornerstone Cellars Sauvignon Blanc Farina Vineyard Sonoma Mountain Sonoma County 2018 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $17.53 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Serene Evenstad Reserve Chardonnay 2018 white · 750 ml | $19.43 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Cadeau Estate Pinot Noir Chehalem Mountains 2023 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Hartford Court Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2022 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Torbreck The Struie 2022 red · 750 ml | $32.99 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| WALT Pinot Noir La Brisa Sonoma Coast 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| WALT Pinot Noir La Brisa Sonoma Coast 2020 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $11.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Berlucchi '61 Extra Brut Franciacorta sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| J Christopher Basalte Pinot Noir Chehalem Mountains Willamette Valley 2016 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Quailhurst Vineyard Estate White Pinot Noir Chehalem Mountains 2021 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Albino Rocca Barbaresco 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaines Ott By Ott Cotes de Provence Rose 2021 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Les Escondudes Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2018 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hindsight 20 20 Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Poggio Landi Brunello di Montalcino Riserva 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
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