Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boutinot Les Cerisiers Cotes du Rhone Rose 2023 rosé · Rhone · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cafaggio Chianti Classico 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Calera Mills Vineyard Pinot Noir Mt Harlan 2018 red · 750 ml | $24.93 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Charles Smith Boom Boom Syrah Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.9% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Domaine Gerard Tremblay Fourchaume Chablis 1er Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $11.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Happy Valley Vineyard and Winery Appalachia Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Maynard's Colheita Port 2012 dessert · Douro · 500 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nine Hats Pinot Gris Columbia Valley 2020 white · Washington · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Paraduxx Proprietary Red Wine Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $13.93 $52.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Philippe Glavier La Grace d'Alphael Extra Brut Champagne Grand Cru sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $61.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +6% if it rises |
| San Pedro 1865 Select Vineyards Carmenere Maipo 2019 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $8.03 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Silverado Vineyards Sauvignon Blanc Miller Ranch Napa Valley 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $16.79 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Susana Balbo Crios Rose of Malbec Mendoza rosé · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.53 $14.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 12.3% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Trimbach Pinot Blanc Alsace white · Alsace · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.47 $20.79 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Aime Roquesante Cotes de Provence Rose 2024 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $11.99 $13.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Amore Rosso Biologico red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Bogle Vineyards Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Bolla Cabernet Sauvignon red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Charles Smith Kung Fu Girl Riesling white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Chateau Ste Michelle Rose Columbia Valley rosé · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $13.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▼ 6.7% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +5% if it rises |
| Cliff Lede Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $21.93 $81.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cuvee Delaye Les Pierres Grises Saint Veran 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Antonin Guyon Sous Fretille Pernand Vergelesses 1er Cru 2020 red · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Happy Valley Vineyard and Winery White Blend white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Jean Claude Mas Jardin de Roses Rose Languedoc 2021 rosé · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Liberty Creek Merlot 2x1.5 L Multipack red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Matua Rose Marlborough rosé · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.33 $15.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 11.4% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| The Prisoner Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $29.73 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Williams and Humbert Dry Sack Medium Sherry with Glass dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.19 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Beringer Main and Vine White Zinfandel rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.99 $8.99 Sale | ▼ 4.3% | ▼ 18.2% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Billecart Salmon Champagne Brut Reserve sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $52.19 $86.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 58.2% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Bledsoe Family Winery Elizabeth Chardonnay Willamette Valley Oregon 2024 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $32.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Brilla Prosecco Rose sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Cappella Sant Andrea Clara Stella Vernaccia di San Gimignano 2022 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $5.99 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Beychevelle Saint Julien 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $130 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lagrange Saint Julien 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $74.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lagrange Saint Julien 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $22.43 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lajarre Bordeaux Superieur 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Prieure Lichine Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $35.93 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cloudy Bay Chardonnay Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $34.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Cusumano Benuara Rosso Terre Siciliane 2020 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Franzia Crisp White white · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Il Casato Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Illuminati Ilico Montepulciano d'Abruzzo 2022 red · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Graacher Himmelreich Mosel Spatlese 2020 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $28.53 $55.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Los Monteros Brut Cava sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Perusini Merlot Colli Orientali del Friuli 2021 red · Friuli · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pratsch Gruner Veltliner Niederosterreich 2021 white · 1000 ml | $7.53 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Three French Hens Cabernet Sauvignon Pays d'Oc 2023 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 3000 ml | $14.73 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Torbreck Woodcutters Shiraz Barossa Valley 2023 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $24.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
3,251–3,300 of 9,968← PreviousNext →