Cellar Index
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Cloudy Bay Chardonnay Marlborough 2023

white · Marlborough · 750 ml · 2023 vintage · tracked since Q3 2026

Shelf price, Q3 2026
$34.99
1 quarters on record · 0 list-price changes · on sale in 0
List-price change, past year
—
Past 5 years: —
Outlook for the next 12 months
3% chance of a rise
typically +6% · <1% chance of a cut (typically -26%)
List priceForecast (median)80% forecast range
Show prices and forecast as a table
QuarterListSaleForecast (80% range)Chance higher
Q3 2027$34.99 ($34.99–$34.99)3%
Q2 2027$34.99 ($34.99–$34.99)3%
Q1 2027$34.99 ($34.99–$34.99)3%
Q4 2026$34.99 ($34.99–$34.99)2%
Q3 2026$34.99

Chance the list price will differ from today's $34.99

By
Higher
Lower
Q4 2026
2%
<1%
Q1 2027
3%
<1%
Q2 2027
3%
<1%
Q3 2027
3%
<1%
Fair price
$38.07
Comparable wines cost $27.42–$50.86 (80% range). At $34.99 it is fairly priced for what it is.
Typical drinking window
2023–2026
In its window now · rule of thumb, typical for premium white wine from Marlborough
Next vintage (2024) vs this one
6% chance priced higher
Typical change 0% (80% range -26.7% to 5.5%) · 4% chance priced lower

Why this outlook?

Get a plain-English explanation of this wine's forecast, fair price and vintage outlook, written by Amazon Nova on Amazon Bedrock using only the numbers on this page.

What if?

Change today's price or promotion and the model re-scores this wine live.

Promotion

Other vintages

Each vintage is tracked as its own wine.

VintageLast listedShelf price1yr HistoryChance of a rise within a year
2023 (this page)Listed now$34.99—3%
2017Q1 2022$27.99 0.0%—
2012Q4 2017$18.04 $29.99 Sale 0.0%—

Model hgbq-20260928-160312: Gradient-boosted price-change classifier + conformal quantile range (global, direct multi-horizon).