Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sokol Blosser Evolution White Blend Oregon white · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.49 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| XXL Moscato Blackberry white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +9% if it rises |
| Bertani Valpolicella Ripasso 2021 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $23.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cantina San Paolo Fiano di Avelino 2020 white · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Castle Rock Chardonnay Central Coast 2023 white · Central Coast · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Reynier Bordeaux Superior Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| David Finlayson The Pepper Pot Red Blend Coastal Region South Africa 2019 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Freire Lobo Vigno Red 2019 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Iterum Orchard House Vineyard Estate Clone 115 Pinot Noir Eola Amity HIlls 2020 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| JL Chave Selections Offerus Saint Joseph 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $10.43 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Latour Giraud Clos des Chenes Volnay 1er Cru 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $60.03 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Grand Courtage Grand Cuvee Brut Rose Vin de France sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.23 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Little Cricket Gruner Veltliner Pannon 2021 white · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lucashof Riesling 2022 white · 750 ml | $4.43 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Montes Alpha Cabernet Sauvignon Colchagua Valley 2019 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sterling Vineyards Platinum Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2016 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Valiant Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.29 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Warwick The First Lady Pinotage Stellenbosch 2019 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Zardetto Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +6% if it rises |
| Aldeya Garnacha Carinena 2019 red · 750 ml | $3.53 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Biale Vineyards Zinfandel Party Line North Coast 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $7.23 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ca Furlan Adriana Sparkling Moscato sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.53 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Clos Haut Peyraguey Sauternes 2018 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Clos La Coutale Cahors 2022 red · 750 ml | $5.33 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Franzia Sunset Blush rosé · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Intuition Cotes du Rhone Red red · Rhone · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.09 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Jaume Serra Bouquet Rose Cava sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| King Estate Pinot Noir Rose Willamette Valley 2020 rosé · Oregon · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Quailhurst Vineyard Estate Classique Pinot Noir Chehalem Mountains 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Riunite Lambrusco sparkling · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | ▲ 1.0% | ▲ 17.7% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Round Pond Estate Sauvignon Blanc Rutherford 2020 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $7.23 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Varichon et Clerc Privilege Blanc de Blancs Savoie Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 7.1% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +3% if it rises |
| Walnut Block Wines Collectables Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Barefoot On Tap Rose rosé · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.94 $23.89 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.9% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau D'Emeringes Beaujolais Villages Vieilles Vignes Blanc 2022 white · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau La Freynelle Bordeaux Blanc 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Le Crock Saint Estephe 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Palmer Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $200 $350 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pegau Cuvee Maclura Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ciacci Piccolomini Brunello di Montalcino 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $41.73 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gagliardo Fallegro Favorita 2019 red · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Ken Forrester Petit Chenin Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.74 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Ken Wright Cellars Canary Hill Vineyard Pinot Noir 2016 red · 750 ml | $47.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ken Wright Cellars McCrone Vineyard Pinot Noir 2016 red · 750 ml | $28.73 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Scolca Gavi 2023 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Los Helechos Designado Cabernet Franc Uco Valley 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $14.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Milbrandt Family Merlot Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $9.43 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pertico Pinot Grigio Alto Adige white · Trentino-Alto Adige · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +10% if it rises |
| Two Vintners Zinfandel Wahluke Slope 2023 red · Washington · 750 ml | $24.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Black Box Pinot Grigio white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 $5.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +12% if it rises |
3,201–3,250 of 9,968← PreviousNext →