Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catena Classic Cabernet Sauvignon Mendoza 2022 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lafite Rothschild Pauillac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $1,100 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Columbia Winery Merlot Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Rene Leclerc Gevrey Chambertin Lavaux Saint Jacques 1er Cru 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $30.43 $104 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J Christopher Pinot Noir Dundee Hills Bella Vida Vineyard 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Les Rocailles Jacquere Apremont Savoie 2021 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Planeta La Segreta Sicilia Grillo 2022 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stags' Leap Winery Merlot Napa Valley 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $43.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Yellow Tail Shiraz red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | 3% premium | 3% |
| Chateau Margaux Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $700 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cuma Cabernet Sauvignon Argentina red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.49 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Echo de Lynch Bages Pauillac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $52.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| House Wine Dark Cabernet Sauvignon Box red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Josh Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $18.99 Sale | ▲ 1.6% | ▲ 5.6% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Josh Cellars Red Wine Legacy red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $18.99 Sale | ▲ 7.3% | ▲ 11.8% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Kenwood Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Jack London Vineyard Sonoma Mountain red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $33.29 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| La Rioja Alta Vina Alberdi Rioja Reserva 2020 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $24.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nine Hats Red Blend Columbia Valley 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Santa Cristina Rosso Toscana red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Skouras Moscofilero Greece 2024 red · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sokol Blosser Pinot Noir Evolution Willamette Valley red · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.23 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| The Federalist Zinfandel Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | ▼ 5.0% | ▲ 5.6% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +5% if it rises |
| le Fat Bastard Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.09 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chimney Rock Elevage Stags Leap District Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $120 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cote Mas Orange Vin de France 2022 red · 1000 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Easton Zinfandel Amador County 2016 red · 750 ml | $11.53 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| JL Chave Selection Farconnet Hermitage Rouge 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $44.99 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Crema Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 $24.99 Sale | ▼ 7.4% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| McPrice Myers Pound for Pound Zinfandel Paso Robles 2023 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Menage a Trois Red Blend Silk Soft red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Alessandro and Gian Natale Fantino Cascina Dardi Barolo Bussia Riserva 2012 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $66.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barefoot Merlot 2x1.5 L Multipack red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 19.1% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Bedrock Old Vine Zinfandel 2022 red · 750 ml | $16.79 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Casa Silva Dona Dominga Gran Reserva Cabernet Sauvignon Valle de Colchagua 2022 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Bellevue Peycharneau Cotes de Bordeaux Saint Foy 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $5.33 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Colores del Sol Malbec Mendoza red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.99 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Louis Jadot Abbaye de Morgeot Chassagne Montrachet 1er Cru 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $131 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaines Les Hautes Noelles Gamay Vin de Pays du Val de Loire Rouge 2020 red · Loire · 750 ml | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| EKO Organic Red Spain 2020 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Goldeneye Ten Degrees Pinot Noir Anderson Valley 2019 red · 750 ml | $120 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Crema Pinot Noir Monterey County red · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $22.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Les Rocailles Jacquere Apremont Savoie 2020 red · 750 ml | $7.53 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mollydooker Two Left Feet Red Blend South Australia 2019 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nadia Pinot Noir Monterey red · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Pecchenino San Luigi Dogliani Dolcetto 2023 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $18.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Root 1 Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.49 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Venge Vineyards Silencieux Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Virtue Cellars Unity GSM Red Blend Walla Walla Valley 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| 19 Crimes Cali Sweet Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +8% if it rises |
| Black Box Brilliant Collection Cabernet Sauvignon red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +4% if it rises |
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