Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chappellet Signature Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $24.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Charles Smith Substance Vineyard Collection Powerline Cabernet Sauvignon Walla Walla 2016 red · Washington · 750 ml | $23.73 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Calon Segur St Estephe 2021 red · 1500 ml | $94.93 $340 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 108% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Ducru Beaucaillou Saint Julien 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $145 $270 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 284% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Kirwan Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau La Conseillante Pomerol 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $89.93 $300 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 325% premium | <1% |
| Chateau La Louviere Pessac Leognan Blanc 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $26.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lagrange Les Arums de Lagrange Bordeaux Blanc 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $11.13 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 92% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Leoville Poyferre Saint Julien 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $32.93 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 49% below | <1% |
| Chateau Malartic Lagraviere Pessac Leognan Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Palmer Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $200 $350 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Phelan Segur Saint Estephe 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pichon Longueville Comtesse de Lalande Pauillac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $250 $450 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Picque Caillou Pessac Leognan Blanc 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $11.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Rauzan Segla Margaux 2018 red · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $26.73 $86.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ciacci Piccolomini d'Aragona Brunello di Montalcino 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $26.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos Martinet Priorat 2020 red · Priorat · 750 ml | $29.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Commanderie de la Bargemone Cuvee Marina Collection Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Rose 2022 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $22.43 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Crown Point Relevant Cabernet Sauvignon Happy Canyon of Santa Barbara 2019 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $47.03 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Damilano Barolo Cannubi 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $59.99 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 61% premium | <1% |
| Diamond Creek Volcanic Hill Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $125 $250 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 24% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Alain Voge Les Vieilles Vignes Cornas 2020 red · 750 ml | $25.43 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 44% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Charvin Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $44.99 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 33% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Drouhin Oregon Roserock Pinot Noir Eola Amity Hills Willamette Valley 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $20.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 29% below | <1% |
| Domaine Eric et Joel Durand Premices Cornas 2020 red · 750 ml | $9.93 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Parent Monthelie White 2022 white · 750 ml | $25.43 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 151% premium | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Bougros Chablis Grand Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $108 $180 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Duckhorn Vineyards Merlot Three Palms Vineyard Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 1500 ml | $65.93 $240 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 29% premium | <1% |
| Echo de Lynch Bages Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $20.43 $65.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ferrari Carano Reserve Chardonnay Carneros 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Flora Springs Trilogy Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $23.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frank Family Vineyards Chardonnay Carneros 2020 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $11.73 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frog's Leap Chardonnay Shale and Stone Napa Valley 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $25.19 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Groth Oakcross Proprietary Red Oakville 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $59.99 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hartford Court Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2022 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Heitz Cellar Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $52.73 $87.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Herdade dos Grous Reserva Red 2021 red · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 69% premium | <1% |
| Hermanos Hernaiz Finca la Emperatriz Gran Vino Rioja 2016 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 161% premium | <1% |
| Hyland Estates Estate Chardonnay McMinnville 2022 white · 750 ml | $10.43 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 64% premium | <1% |
| J Christopher Basalte Pinot Noir Chehalem Mountains Willamette Valley 2016 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J Lohr Signature Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2020 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $24.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 216% premium | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Auslese Graacher Himmelreich 2022 white · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joseph Carr Revelist Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2016 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $14.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kathryn Hall Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $75.93 $250 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kosta Browne One Sixteen Chardonnay 2022 white · 750 ml | $26.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kosta Browne Pinot Noir Anderson Valley 2020 red · 750 ml | $55.03 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Latour Giraud Clos des Chenes Volnay 1er Cru 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $60.03 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lingua Franca Avni Chardonnay Willamette Valley 2022 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $23.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Long Shadows Cymbal Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 63% premium | <1% |
| Long Shadows Feather Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $23.43 $75.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 63% premium | <1% |
2,551–2,600 of 3,189← PreviousNext →