Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sycamore Lane Cabernet Sauvignon red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.48 $10.96 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| 14 Hands Merlot Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 6.7% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +5% if it rises |
| Adaptation Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Ego Infinito Monastrell Jumilla 2018 red · 750 ml | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ceibo Malbec Mendoza red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Chateau Lyonnat Lussac Saint Emilion 2015 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Olivier Pessac Leognan Rouge 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $33.73 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Di Giovanna Camurria Orange Sicilia 2023 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| E Guigal Hermitage Rouge 2017 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $26.73 $86.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mad Fish Shiraz Western Australia 2019 red · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maison Idiart Pinot Noir Loire Valley 2023 red · Loire · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Mastroberardino Lacryma Christi Rosso 2022 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Natura Organic Carmenere red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 3.5% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Neleman Organic Vineyards Bobal Oolong 2022 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sea Smoke Southing Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2021 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $112 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Wellsley Farms Gran Seleccion Malbec red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Wines of Illyria Vranac Herzegovina 2019 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| 2 Canos Cheerful Frizzante Red Blackberry and Mint La Mache red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Angels and Cowboys Proprietary Red Sonoma County 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barefoot Merlot red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Boroli Barolo Classico 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $47.99 $52.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Buck Shack Cabernet Sauvignon Aged in Bourbon Barrels Lake County 2019 red · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fullerton Five FACES Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2017 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $10.93 $35.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Groth Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $47.99 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ken Wright Cellars Bonnie Jean Vineyard Pinot Noir 2016 red · 750 ml | $47.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Paitin Serraboella Barbaresco 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco Riserva Rabaja 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Redwood Highway Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +11% if it rises |
| Santa Ema El Cruce Select Terroir Carmenere Colchagua Valley 2024 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Sokol Blosser Kalita Yamhill Carlton Pinot Noir 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Terrazze dell' Etna Carusu Etna Rosso 2017 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $12.53 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Trinite Estate Acaibo Red Wine Sonoma County 2016 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $22.73 $82.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Areyna Cabernet Sauvignon Lujan de Cuyo Mendoza Estate 2019 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Biodynamic Cabernet Sauvignon Mendocino California 2021 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cole Cellars Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Domaine Alary Cairanne Vieilles Vignes 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $7.23 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Neyers Sage Canyon Red 2021 red · 750 ml | $16.79 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Predator Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.53 $19.79 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Three French Hens Cabernet Sauvignon Pays d'Oc 2025 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 3000 ml | $26.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Malbec Central Valley red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.49 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Z Alexander Brown Uncaged Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.89 $19.79 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.2% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| All Time Low Presents Pretty Venom Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $7.23 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Borgogno Barolo 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $41.99 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cherries and Rainbows Organic Sans Soufre Rouge 2020 red · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Conti Torraiolo Sangiovese red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Dark Horse Big Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 8.3% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Domaine Paul Pernot Clos de Folatieres Puligny Montrachet 1er Cru 2017 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $94.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Poggio Anima Belial Sangiovese Toscana red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.53 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Torbreck The Steading GSM Red Blend Barossa Valley 2020 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vina Otano Rioja Reserva 2015 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $22.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
2,501–2,550 of 5,705← PreviousNext →