Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Happy Valley Vineyard and Winery Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Hess Lion Tamer Red Blend Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $14.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kosta Browne Russian River Pinot Noir 2022 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $35.93 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kotrotsos Agiorgitiko Nemea 2019 red · 750 ml | $7.03 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Marquis de Calon Segur St Estephe 2021 red · 750 ml | $13.43 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Canonica a Cerreto Chianti Classico Riserva 2015 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau la Grave Expression Minervois Blanc 2023 white · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Louis Jadot Gevrey Chambertin Estournelles Saint Jacques 1er Cru 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $102 $170 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Chevalier Pessac Leognan Rouge 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $120 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Dr Konstantin Frank Semi Dry Riesling Finger Lakes 2020 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Juve Y Camps Reserva de la Familia Cava Gran Reserva 2020 sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml | $21.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pasquale Pelissero Barbaresco Bricco San Giuliano 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $35.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Quinta De Cabriz Colheita Selecionada Dao Tinto 2017 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sunwine Kindzmarauli Georgia 2021 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Wente Vineyards Artist Series Duetto Cabernet Sauvignon Livermore Valley 2018 red · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Baron de Ley Tempranillo Rioja 2022 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Black Stallion Estate Winery Estate Grown Cabernet Sauvignon Gaspare Vineyard Oak Knoll District of Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $20.93 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dievole Le Due Arbie Chianti Classico Riserva 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Regis Jouan Sancerre Blanc 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $23.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Bougros Chablis Grand Cru 2019 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $140 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| GD Vajra Barolo Bricco delle Viole 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| House Wine Sparkling Rose Rainbow sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Le Ragose Valpolicella Classico 2020 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mirafiore Barbera d'Alba 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $8.73 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sunwine Tsinandali 2018 red · 1500 ml | $11.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta Le Colonne Rosato 2023 rosé · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Terredora di Paolo Coda di Volpe Campania 2020 red · 750 ml | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| 1000 Stories Bourbon Barrel Aged Prospector's Proof Cabernet Sauvignon 2017 red · 1500 ml | $7.23 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Volver Tarima Hill Monastrell Alicante 2020 red · 750 ml | $7.19 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cambria Estate Winery Julia's Vineyard Pinot Noir Santa Maria Valley 2022 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cantele Salice Salentino Riserva 2019 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Rauzan Segla Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $47.93 $160 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Commanderie de la Bargemone Cuvee Marina Collection Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Rose 2021 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hahn Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $15.99 Sale | ▼ 9.6% | ▼ 5.9% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Havens Sauvignon Blanc Santa Barbara County 2023 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $13.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| ICON Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +10% if it rises |
| Matchbook The Arsonist Cabernet Sauvignon Dunnigan Hills 2022 red · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Matchbook The Arsonist Chardonnay Dunnigan Hills 2022 white · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ridgecrest Old Vine Estate Pinot Gris Ribbon Ridge 2020 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stoneburn Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $3.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Campo Viejo Garnacha Rioja red · Rioja · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 14.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Chateau Lafite Rothschild Pauillac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $900 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Malartic Lagraviere Pessac Leognan Blanc 2019 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $37.53 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Commanderie de la Bargemone Cuvee Marina Collection Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Rose 2022 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $22.43 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cupcake Vineyards Alcohol Removed Sauvignon Blanc Nonalcoholic white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +9% if it rises |
| Ecco Domani Pinot Grigio Delle Venezie Designer Label white · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.23 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| El Chaval Bobal Valencia 2021 red · 750 ml | $2.93 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Emblem Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $20.03 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Les Demoiselles de la Font du Loup Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $11.73 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pio Cesare Barbera d'Alba 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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