Cellar Index
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Dr Konstantin Frank Semi Dry Riesling Finger Lakes 2020

white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml · 2020 vintage · tracked since Q2 2022

Shelf price, Q3 2026
$4.73 $15.99 Clearance
18 quarters on record · 0 list-price changes · on sale in 0
List-price change, past year
0.0%
Past 5 years: —
Outlook for the next 12 months
<1% chance of a rise
typically +7% · <1% chance of a cut (typically -21%)
List priceSale / clearance priceForecast (median)80% forecast range
Show prices and forecast as a table
QuarterListSaleForecast (80% range)Chance higher
Q3 2027$15.99 ($15.99–$15.99)<1%
Q2 2027$15.99 ($15.99–$15.99)<1%
Q1 2027$15.99 ($15.99–$15.99)<1%
Q4 2026$15.99 ($15.99–$15.99)<1%
Q3 2026$15.99$4.73
Q2 2026$15.99$4.73
Q1 2026$15.99$4.73
Q4 2025$15.99$4.73
Q3 2025$15.99$11.93
Q2 2025$15.99
Q1 2025$15.99
Q4 2024$15.99
Q3 2024$15.99
Q2 2024$15.99
Q1 2024$15.99
Q4 2023$15.99
Q3 2023$15.99
Q2 2023$15.99
Q1 2023$15.99
Q4 2022$15.99
Q3 2022$15.99
Q2 2022$15.99

Chance the list price will differ from today's $15.99

By
Higher
Lower
Q4 2026
<1%
<1%
Q1 2027
<1%
<1%
Q2 2027
<1%
<1%
Q3 2027
<1%
<1%
Fair price
$18.77
Comparable wines cost $15.57–$22.27 (80% range). At $15.99 it is fairly priced for what it is.
Typical drinking window
2020–2023
Past its typical window · rule of thumb, typical for everyday white wine from Finger Lakes

Why this outlook?

Get a plain-English explanation of this wine's forecast, fair price and vintage outlook, written by Amazon Nova on Amazon Bedrock using only the numbers on this page.

What if?

Change today's price or promotion and the model re-scores this wine live. It is currently on clearance.

Promotion

Other vintages

Each vintage is tracked as its own wine.

VintageLast listedShelf price1yr HistoryChance of a rise within a year
2023Listed now$16.99 $17.99 Sale 0.0%<1%
2021Listed now$4.73 $16.99 Clearance 0.0%1%
2020 (this page)Listed now$4.73 $15.99 Clearance 0.0%<1%
2019Q1 2023$15.99 0.0%—
2017Q1 2023$16.99 0.0%—
2016Q4 2022$16.99 0.0%—
2015Q1 2022$15.99 0.0%—
2014Q2 2017$15.99——
2013Q1 2019$15.99 0.0%—

Model hgbq-20260928-160312: Gradient-boosted price-change classifier + conformal quantile range (global, direct multi-horizon).