Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Azienda Elios Modus Bibendi Macerato Non Filtrado Terre Siciliane Bianco Biodynamic 2019 white · Sicily · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J Vineyards Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 21% premium | 11% typically +9% if it rises |
| La Crema Chardonnay Sonoma Coast white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $24.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 13.6% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Nisia Verdejo Rueda Old Vines 2025 white · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| William Fevre Montmains Chablis 1er Cru 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lindeman's Bin 85 Pinot Grigio white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.99 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Predator Loveliness Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | ▼ 19.2% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +6% if it rises |
| Schmitt Sohne Riesling Crisp and Fruity white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.49 | ▲ 2.3% | ▲ 7.1% | 21% premium | 4% |
| Calafe Fiano di Avellino 2020 white · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Foxhorn Vineyards Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 36.4% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Recanati Sauvignon Blanc Galilee 2023 white · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | 21% premium | <1% |
| Substance Ch Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.33 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cantina Gabriele Pinot Grigio Lazio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 21% premium | 1% |
| Diora Estate Grown La Grande Lumiere Chardonnay San Bernabe Vineyard Monterrey 2020 white · 750 ml | $11.73 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de la Pepiere La Pepie Muscadet Sevre et Maine Sur Lie 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $11.39 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 22% premium | <1% |
| Fetzer Chardonnay Sundial white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Moillard Grivot Petit Chablis white · Burgundy · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Sella and Mosca Vermentino di Sardegna 2024 white · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | 22% premium | 1% |
| Wente Vineyards Morning Fog Chardonnay Livermore Valley white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Eroica Riesling Columbia Valley white · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.23 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Paul Pernot Bourgogne Blanc 2023 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $22.19 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Hazlitt 1852 Vineyards White Cat Sangria white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | ▲ 11.8% | ▲ 35.7% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Domaine Cheveau Au Buchot Pouilly Fuisse 2018 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $13.93 $43.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hamilton Russell Vineyards Chardonnay Hemel en Aarde Valley 2020 white · 750 ml | $42.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ridgecrest Estate Dry Riesling Ribbon Ridge 2022 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| A to Z Wineworks Riesling Oregon 2021 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $19.99 | ▲ 17.7% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Iron Horse Ocean Reserve Blanc de Blanc Green Valley of Russian River Valley 2019 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Torresella Pinot Grigio Venezia white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Balletto Vineyards Pinot Gris Russian River Valley 2023 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Murphy Goode Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | ▲ 3.7% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Tropical Passion Fruit Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 $14.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| White Dot Moschofilero Malagousia Peloponnese 2021 white · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Barefoot Buttery Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.23 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine de la Pepiere La Pepie Muscadet Sevre et Maine Sur Lie 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 22% premium | <1% |
| Post and Beam Chardonnay Carneros 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Cheval Blanc Saint Emilion Grand Cru Classe 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $480 $800 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Moselland Riesling Rheinhessen Cat Bottle in Assorted Colors white · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine Heritiers Les Folatieres Puligny Montrachet 1er Cru Blanc 2019 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $120 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vignoble Dubreuil Silice Sauvignon Blanc Touraine 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barefoot Wine To Go Moscato white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 $6.99 Sale | ▲ 16.7% | ▲ 40.1% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Bergstrom Old Stones Chardonnay Willamette Valley 2019 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Penin Bordeaux Blanc 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $5.23 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de la Pepiere La Pepie Muscadet Sevre et Maine Sur Lie 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | 23% premium | <1% |
| Riunite Peach Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.13 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Imagery Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | 23% premium | 24% typically +5% if it rises |
| Olivier Tricon Chablis 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ricca Terra Daisy Chain White Blend Riverland 2020 white · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 23% premium | <1% |
| South Shore Wine Company Pet Nat Riesling white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| The Infamous Goose Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 18.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Shafer Red Shoulder Ranch Chardonnay Carneros 2019 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $30.03 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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