Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Spinetta Vermentino 2024 white · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vivier Chardonnay Sonoma Coast 2022 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $22.19 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bonterra Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.44 $22.89 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Puygueraud Francs Cotes de Bordeaux Blanc 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Oyster Bay Chardonnay Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | ▲ 11.1% | ▲ 17.7% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Domaine du Salvard Cheverny Blanc 2021 white · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Loosen Dr L Riesling white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 23.1% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Pendulum Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 17% premium | <1% |
| Amity Pinot Blanc Willamette Valley 2019 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $11.03 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Staete Landt Annabel Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2022 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 18% premium | <1% |
| The Prisoner Wine Company Chardonnay Los Carneros 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $23.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Buttery Chardonnay white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $1.93 $6.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Kendall Jackson Grand Reserve Chardonnay Santa Barbara County white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $22.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 4.5% | 18% premium | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Pyrene L'Inoubliable Cuvee Marine Colombard Gros Manseng Sauvignon Blanc Languedoc 2024 white · Languedoc-Roussillon · 3000 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Affentaler Riesling Baden 2022 white · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Amos Rome Vineyards Estate Riesling 2021 white · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ardosia White Tejo 2021 white · 750 ml | $8.33 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Urban Riesling Mosel 2024 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Catena Classic Chardonnay Mendoza 2023 white · Mendoza · 750 ml | $22.99 | — | — | 18% premium | 1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Kabinett Bernkasteler Badstube 2023 white · 750 ml | $53.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Kris Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.59 $14.59 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Chateau Cheval Blanc Saint Emilion Grand Cru Classe 2019 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $375 $750 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cora Pinot Grigio 2025 white · 750 ml | $10.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Mia Lou Roter Riesling Rheingau 2022 white · Rheingau · 750 ml | $7.93 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sea Smoke Chardonnay Santa Rita Hills 2022 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $63.03 $105 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 18% premium | <1% |
| Aveleda Solos de Granito Alvarinho Vinho Verde 2020 white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml | $11.03 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chereau Carre Comte Leloup du Chateau de Chasseloir Cuvee des Ceps Centenaires Muscadet Sevre et Maine Sur Lie 2018 white · Loire · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Brooks Winery Riesling Willamette Valley 2022 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cristom Vineyards Chardonnay Eola Amity Hills 2020 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Erbeldinger Riesling Rheinhessen 2020 white · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml | $6.93 $20.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J Christopher Sauvignon Blanc Willamette Valley 2018 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Novellum Chardonnay Vin de France 2021 white · 750 ml | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 18% premium | 1% |
| Cupcake Vineyards Signature Sweets Watermelon Moscato Wine white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine de Viranel Viognier Pays d'Herault 2020 white · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Conti Torraiolo Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Tolino Vineyards Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 19% premium | 1% |
| Truth Be Told Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley 2023 white · Washington · 750 ml | $10.13 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 19% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Jean Claude Martin Chablis 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Skinnygirl White Blend California white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Ava Grace Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.24 $12.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Eradus Sauvignon Blanc Awatere Valley 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $16.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cade Estate Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $42.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Calera Chardonnay Mt Harlan 2018 white · 750 ml | $27.53 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Paul Pernot Bourgogne Cote d'Or Blanc 2024 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Hazlitt 1852 Vineyards White Cat Finger Lakes white · Finger Lakes · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | ▲ 11.8% | ▲ 35.7% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Kendall Jackson Vintner's Reserve Chardonnay 2x750 mL Multipack white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Tapestry Central Coast Sauvignon Blanc 2023 white · Central Coast · 750 ml | $15.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| A to Z Pinot Gris white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Bodegas Fillaboa Albarino Rias Baixas 2023 white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $20.99 $21.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 19% premium | 1% |
| 1924 Double Gold Buttery Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.49 $17.49 Sale | ▲ 2.9% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
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