Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannecchini Family Vineyard Old Vine Zinfandel Mendocino County 2018 red · 750 ml | $12.93 $45.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Goldeneye Pinot Noir Anderson Valley 2019 red · 750 ml | $25.03 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 45% below | <1% |
| Heitz Cellar Lot C 91 Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $71.73 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 137% premium | <1% |
| Homenagem Tejo Reserva 2015 red · 750 ml | $10.93 $33.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Honig Cabernet Sauvignon Bartolucci Vineyard St Helena Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $68.93 $115 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Inglenook Rubicon Rutherford 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $29.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J Lohr Signature Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2018 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $52.53 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 194% premium | <1% |
| Januik Champoux Vineyard Merlot 2018 red · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Long Meadow Ranch Pinot Noir Anderson Valley 2018 red · 750 ml | $13.43 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis M Martini Cabernet Sauvignon Lot 1 Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $75.93 $250 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 290% premium | <1% |
| Manzanos 125th Anniversary Rioja Reserva 2009 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $25.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 132% premium | <1% |
| Manzanos Tempranillo Rioja Gran Reserva 2014 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $22.43 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Metz Road Pinot Noir Riverview Vineyard Monterey 2019 red · Monterey · 750 ml | $9.13 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Paul Hobbs Cabernet Sauvignon Coombsville 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $71.99 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pra Morandina Valpolicella Ripasso Superiore 2019 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $11.93 $38.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Don Fiorino Reserva 2016 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $47.93 $160 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 215% premium | <1% |
| Renwood Reserve Grandpere Zinfandel Amador County 2019 red · 750 ml | $25.03 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 164% premium | <1% |
| Salvestrin Cabernet Sauvignon Dr Crane Vineyard St Helena Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $27.73 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sam Jasper Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $52.43 $175 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 271% premium | <1% |
| Shafer Relentless Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $32.73 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Silver Oak Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $105 $175 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Speri Sant Urbano Valpolicella Superiore Classico 2019 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $10.43 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Styring Vineyards Signature Pinot Noir Ribbon Ridge 2017 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta Argentiera Bolgheri Superiore 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $37.43 $125 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 156% premium | <1% |
| Warwick Estate Red Blend Stellenbosch Reserve 2018 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $33.53 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 169% premium | <1% |
| Warwick Professor Black Pitch Black Red Blend Stellenbosch 2018 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $10.23 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 88% premium | <1% |
| Zaca Mesa Inceptive Estate Vineyard Red Blend Santa Ynez Valley 2017 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Argyros Atlantis Red Santorini 2019 red · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Black Stallion Estate Winery Transcendent Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $44.93 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 100% premium | <1% |
| Board Track Racer The Chief Cabernet Sauvignon 2019 red · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Board Track Racer The Shift GSM Red Blend 2019 red · 750 ml | $8.33 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Pintia Tempranillo Toro 2018 red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $30.93 $106 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 468% premium | <1% |
| Boedecker Cellars Athena Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2016 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Boedecker Cellars Stewart Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2016 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Angelus Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $270 $470 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 532% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Ausone Saint Emilion Grand Cru Classe 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $500 $900 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 512% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Haut Brion Pessac Leognan 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $170 $570 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lafite Rothschild Pauillac 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $213 $710 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Margaux Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $500 $900 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Margaux Margaux 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $192 $640 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Mouton Rothschild Pauillac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $200 $700 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pavie Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $250 $500 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 139% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Pontet Canet Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $50.93 $170 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cloudy Bay Te Wahi Pinot Noir Central Otago 2019 red · 750 ml | $44.99 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 86% premium | <1% |
| Colpetrone Memoria Sagrantino di Montefalco 2015 red · 750 ml | $16.19 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Conti Costanti Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $74.99 $125 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dalton Estate Merlot Galilee 2019 red · 750 ml | $8.93 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Duckhorn Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Howell Mountain Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $65.73 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Duckhorn Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Rutherford Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $34.93 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Eisele Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2014 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $149 $500 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 490% premium | <1% |
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