Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cupcake Vineyards Signature Sweets Peach Moscato Wine white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.24 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Alta Vista Estate Torrontes Mendoza 2022 white · Mendoza · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Fetzer Riesling white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +12% if it rises |
| Maison Joseph Drouhin Vaudon Chablis 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Planeta La Segreta il Bianco 2023 white · 750 ml | $9.13 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Relax Riesling white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.49 | ▲ 2.1% | ▲ 22.5% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Trimbach Riesling Alsace Reserve 2020 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $20.23 $33.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| William Fevre Vaillons Chablis 1er Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $25.73 $88.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Meiomi Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Underwood Pinot Gris white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.33 $16.59 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Graville Lacoste Graves Blanc 2023 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Ste Michelle Chardonnay Indian Wells Columbia Valley white · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 5.3% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Robert Mondavi Private Selection 100 Percent Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Alexandria Nicole Cellars A2 Sauvignon Blanc Horse Heaven Hills 2023 white · Washington · 750 ml | $11.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Jomain Bourgogne Blanc 2024 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Line 39 Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $11.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +12% if it rises |
| Terra Vega Chardonnay Central Valley 2021 white · 750 ml | $3.53 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mylonas Assyrtiko Greece White 2024 white · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | 16% premium | <1% |
| Sea Smoke Chardonnay Santa Rita Hills 2021 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $76.43 $102 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 16% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Schoffit Pinot Blanc Vieilles Vignes Sec 2023 white · 750 ml | $22.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castoro Cellars Sauvignon Blanc Paso Robles 2022 white · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cavit Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | ▲ 12.5% | ▲ 20.0% | 16% premium | 2% |
| Chateau Graville Lacoste Graves Blanc 2022 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hall Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Solena Estate Chardonnay Willamette Valley 2022 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $7.43 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stephanie et Arnaud Celliers des Marnes Dezat Pouilly Fume 2025 white · Loire · 750 ml | $24.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Wild Hills Pinot Gris Willamette Valley 2022 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $10.23 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Chardonnay white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 $6.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 50% typically +3% if it rises |
| Argiolas Costamolino Vermentino di Sardegna 2021 white · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 16% premium | 1% |
| Yellow Tail Chardonnay 2x1.5 L white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 | 0.0% | — | 16% premium | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Jam Cellars Butter Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Pierre Marie Chermette Collonges Chardonnay Beaujolais Blanc 2021 white · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $11.03 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 16% premium | <1% |
| Blue Fish Riesling white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.49 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Chateau Mont Perat Bordeaux Blanc 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Willm Cuvee Lina Riesling Alsace 2022 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $22.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Catherine et Michel Langlois Coteaux du Giennois Blanc 2022 white · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Esterhazy Estate Estoras Gruner Veltliner Burgenland 2021 white · 750 ml | $6.93 $20.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frog's Leap Sauvignon Blanc Rutherford 2024 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Auslese Graacher Himmelreich 2022 white · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Middle Sister Sweet and Sassy Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.43 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | 16% premium | 1% |
| Pra Otto Soave Classico 2024 white · Veneto · 750 ml | $18.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Franzia Moscato white · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | 17% premium | 4% |
| M Chapoutier Crozes Hermitage Les Meysonniers Blanc 2020 white · Rhone · 750 ml | $11.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ken Forrester Petit Sauvignon Blanc Stellenbosch 2025 white · Western Cape · 750 ml | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Kendall Jackson Avant Chardonnay Unoaked white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 28.6% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Gerard and Pierre Morin Sancerre Rouge 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $24.93 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Franzia Pink Moscato white · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | 17% premium | 4% |
| Prophecy Pinot Grigio Delle Venezie white · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Domaine Marc Deschamps Les Champs de Cri Pouilly Fume 2019 white · Loire · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Vetriccie White Corse 2023 white · 750 ml | $7.79 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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