Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chateau Pavie Macquin Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $38.93 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pichon Baron Pauillac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $65.93 $220 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 166% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Pichon Baron Pauillac 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $65.93 $220 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 162% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Pichon Longueville Comtesse de Lalande Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $174 $290 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pontet Canet Pauillac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $120 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Smith Haut Lafitte Pessac Leognan Rouge 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $76.53 $151 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Smith Haut Lafitte Pessac Leognan Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $59.93 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 74% premium | <1% |
| Chateau d'Issan Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $28.43 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos Fourtet Saint Emilion 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $75.03 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 101% premium | <1% |
| Copain Les Voisins Syrah Yorkville Highlands 2017 red · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| DAOU Vineyards and Winery Soul of a Lion Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles Adelaida District 2020 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $49.93 $170 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 256% premium | <1% |
| Darioush Signature Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $44.73 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Fernand et Laurent Pillot Pommard Les Rugiens 1er Cru 2018 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $36.93 $128 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 60% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Guy Amiot et Fils Les Vergers Chassagne Montrachet 1er Cru 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $34.93 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Louis Jadot Gevrey Chambertin Estournelles Saint Jacques 1er Cru 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $75.03 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Donum Pinot Noir Carneros Sonoma County 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $52.53 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 38% premium | <1% |
| Duckhorn Vineyards Merlot Three Palms Vineyard Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $34.93 $125 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dusky Goose Pinot Noir Dundee Hills 2015 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $15.93 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| E Guigal Hermitage Rouge 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $28.43 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Emerson Brown Ranch Pequeno Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $27.73 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Herdade Sao Miguel Escolha Enologos Alentejo 2020 red · 750 ml | $7.93 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 75% premium | <1% |
| J Christopher Basalte Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J Christopher Lumiere Pinot Noir Eola Amity 2014 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Keenan Cabernet Sauvignon Spring Mountain District Napa Valley Reserve 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $38.93 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kosta Browne Gaps Crown Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $48.93 $175 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 31% premium | <1% |
| Lavinea Elton Vineyard Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2017 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $11.93 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Leoville du Marquis Las Cases Saint Julien 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $129 $430 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 514% premium | <1% |
| Lobo Wulff Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Atlas Peak Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $31.43 $105 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marietta Cellars Syrah Gibson Block McDowell Valley 2019 red · 750 ml | $12.53 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Masi Costasera Amarone della Valpolicella Classico Riserva 2017 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $29.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 12% premium | <1% |
| Mastroberardino Radici Taurasi Riserva 2016 red · 750 ml | $24.93 $72.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Merryvale Profile Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $68.93 $225 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Odette Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Stag's Leap District 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $47.93 $160 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Odette Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Stag's Leap District 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $49.93 $170 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Penfolds Bin 600 Cabernet Shiraz 2020 red · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Penfolds St Henri Shiraz South Australia 2018 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $44.73 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 64% premium | <1% |
| Pinhal da Torre Antagonista 2017 red · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 103% premium | <1% |
| Pinhal da Torre Protagonista 2017 red · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Plumpjack Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $49.93 $170 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Poesia Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2020 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $28.43 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Quinta d'Aguieira Arco Tinto Bairrada 2017 red · 750 ml | $8.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rombauer Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley Diamond Selection 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $70.03 $140 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rombauer Vineyards Zinfandel 2019 red · 750 ml | $11.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Salvestrin Three D Cabernet Sauvignon Dr Crane Vineyard St Helena 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $53.73 $180 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Silver Oak Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $41.73 $140 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Storrs Winery Pinot Noir Santa Cruz Mountains 2019 red · 750 ml | $10.93 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta dell Ornellaia Ornellaia Bolgheri Superiore 2020 red · Tuscany · 375 ml | $108 $180 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta di Burchino Il Burchino Toscana 2016 red · Tuscany · 3000 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vina Santa Rita Triple C Red Blend Maipo Estate 2018 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $10.23 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vincent Girardin Les Narvaux Meursault 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $52.53 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
2,201–2,250 of 2,413← PreviousNext →