Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cliff Lede Rhythm Cabernet Sauvignon Stag's Leap District 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $75.03 $125 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Col d'Orcia Brunello di Montalcino 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Alex Moreau Chassagne Montrachet Rouge Vieilles Vignes 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $59.99 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Antonin Guyon La Justice Gevrey Chambertin 2018 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $22.43 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Chandon de Briailles Pernand Vergelesses 1er Cru Ile de Vergelesses 2018 red · 750 ml | $24.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Paul Pernot Puligny Montrachet 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $37.53 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dr Thanisch Bernkasteler Graben Riesling GG QbA Mosel 2019 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $10.93 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dusted Valley Cabernet Sauvignon Valley Columbia Valley 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Formiga de Vellut Priorat 2020 red · Priorat · 750 ml | $7.93 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Georges Duboeuf Jean Ernest Descombes Morgon Cote du Puy 2020 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $8.93 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Greenock Creek Jaensch Block Shiraz Barossa Valley 2019 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $14.73 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Groth Chardonnay Hillview Vineyard Napa Valley 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $38.99 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Guarachi Family Wines Pinot Noir Sun Chase Vineyard Petaluma Gap Sonoma County 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $22.43 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 47% premium | <1% |
| Hindsight 20 20 Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Howell Mountain Vineyards Beatty Ranch Zinfandel Howell Mountain Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J J Prum Wehlener Sonnenuhr Riesling Mosel Spatlese 2021 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $35.03 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jayson by Pahlmeyer Chardonnay Napa Valley 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $38.99 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Wehlener Sonnenuhr Mosel Auslese 2007 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $53.93 $180 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 54% premium | <1% |
| Jolete Cabernet Sauvignon Wallula Vineyard Horse Heaven Hills 2017 red · Washington · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Petite Frog Cotes de Thau Languedoc Blanc Box 2021 white · Languedoc-Roussillon · 3000 ml | $9.13 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lucashof Pet Nat 2022 red · 750 ml | $9.53 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marcarini Barolo Brunate 2016 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $42.03 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marimar Estate La Masia Don Miguel Vineyard Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $16.23 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Melville Estate Syrah Sta. Rita Hills 2020 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $13.93 $43.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Milbrandt Vineyards The Estates Cabernet Sauvignon Wahluke Slope 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Muga Reserva Unfiltered 2020 red · 750 ml | $20.99 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Penfolds Bin 389 Red Blend Australia 2021 red · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $25.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Penfolds Bin 407 Cabernet Sauvignon Australia 2021 red · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $25.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pio Cesare Il Bricco Barbaresco 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $87.59 $146 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 109% premium | <1% |
| Piper Heidsieck Rare Brut Champagne Millesime 2008 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $80.93 $270 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Planeta Santa Cecilia Nero d'Avola Noto 2020 red · 750 ml | $27.59 $45.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 67% premium | <1% |
| Rabble Tempranillo Paso Robles 2018 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $8.03 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Radikon Sivi Pinot Grigio Friuli Orange Wine 2022 white · Friuli · 750 ml | $32.99 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 229% premium | <1% |
| Resonance Vineyard Pinot Noir Yamhill Carlton 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $18.93 $66.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rex Hill Chardonnay Seven Soils Willamette Valley 2019 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $9.93 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ricasoli Castello di Brolio Chianti Classico Gran Selezione 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $35.03 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| San Polo Brunello di Montalcino 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $38.73 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| San Polo Brunello di Montalcino 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Serge Dagueneau Les Pentes Pouilly Fume 2021 white · Loire · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sleight of Hand Cellars Illusionist Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $13.43 $45.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| William Fevre Montmains Chablis 1er Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $25.73 $85.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| William Fevre Vaillons Chablis 1er Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $25.73 $88.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Agathe Bursin Riesling Alsace Dirstelberg 2019 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Aichinger Roter Traminer Kamptal 2021 red · 500 ml | $7.93 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Atlas Peak American Super Tuscan Blend Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| BR Cohn Chardonnay Sangiacomo Vineyard Carneros 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barone Ricasoli Chianti Classico Castello di Brolio 2010 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodega Catena Zapata Alta Historic Rows Chardonnay Mendoza 2019 white · Mendoza · 750 ml | $10.23 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Vega Sicilia Valbuena Tempranillo Ribera del Duero 2018 red · Ribera del Duero · 750 ml | $80.73 $270 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 114% premium | <1% |
| Bodegas Y Vinedos Carlos Moro Oinoz by Claude Gros Rioja 2015 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
2,101–2,150 of 3,189← PreviousNext →