Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean Foillard Beaujolais Villages 2020 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $12.53 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lajver Incognito Kekfrankos Hungary 2022 red · 750 ml | $7.73 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Majuelos Bufona Single Vineyard Tempranillo Ribera Del Duero 2018 red · Ribera del Duero · 750 ml | $8.23 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Majuelos Monte Obispo Single Vineyard Tempranillo Toro 2018 red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $8.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Once and Future Zinfandel Green and Red Vineyard Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Oremus Tokaji Mandolas Dry Furmint Tokaj 2020 dessert · 750 ml | $14.73 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 94% premium | <1% |
| Outerbound Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Patz and Hall Bootlegger's Hill Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $21.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Poggio Salvi Brunello di Montalcino Riserva 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $47.99 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Porseleinberg Syrah Swartland 2018 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $26.73 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 284% premium | <1% |
| Promontory Red Wine Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $610 $1,010 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 1846% premium | <1% |
| Pym Rae Tesseron Estate Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $120 $400 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 308% premium | <1% |
| Ramey Woolsey Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2018 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $20.43 $67.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Raptor Ridge Perspective Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $8.83 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ribbon Ridge Winery RR Pinot Noir Ribbon Ridge 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $20.93 $68.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 58% premium | <1% |
| Riley's Rows Pinot Noir North Coast 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| San Felice Campogiovanni Brunello di Montalcino 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $45.59 $75.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Schlumberger Brut Classic Niederoesterreich 2017 sparkling · 750 ml | $8.23 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Silenus Winery Tyros Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $8.93 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 49% below | <1% |
| Silverado Vineyards Estate Grown Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $35.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Solena Estate Grand Cuvee Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $13.53 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Solena Estate Grande Cuvee Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Solena Estate Grande Cuvee Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stag's Leap Wine Cellars Winemaker Series Lot 2 Cabernet Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $42.03 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stags' Leap Merlot Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $13.93 $43.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stoller Family Estate Pinot Noir Dundee Hills 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stoller Winery Estate Pinot Noir Dundee Hills 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tendril Cellars Childs Play Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $7.93 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta Meraviglia Bolgheri 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $20.99 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenute Capaldo Goleto Greco di Tufo 2019 red · 750 ml | $25.43 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 383% premium | <1% |
| Trefethen Dragon's Tooth Red Wine Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Trimbach Riesling Alsace Reserve 2017 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vega Sicilia Alion 2020 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $86.99 $145 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Whitehall Leonardini Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $25.43 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| William Fevre Fourchaume Chablis 1er Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $56.33 $93.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Zenato Ripassa Valpolicella Superiore Ripasso 2020 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $16.19 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alexander Valley Vineyards Sin Zin Zinfandel Alexander Valley 2017 red · Sonoma · 1500 ml | $17.53 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Avennia Sestina Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $22.43 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 242% premium | <1% |
| Bootleg Red Wine Napa County 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Borgogno Barolo 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $41.99 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Broken Earth Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Reserve Paso Robles 2019 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $15.93 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cambria Estate Winery Julia's Vineyard Pinot Noir Santa Maria Valley 2022 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Carpineto Brunello di Montalcino 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $38.73 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castello di Meleto Chianti Classico Gran Selezione 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $22.53 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castello di Meleto Chianti Classico Riserva 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cellars Unio Tendral Seleccion Red Priorat 2018 red · Priorat · 750 ml | $8.93 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Haut Brion Pessac Leognan 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $464 $756 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 79% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Phelan Segur Saint Estephe 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $21.93 $70.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Smith Haut Lafitte Pessac Leognan Blanc 2019 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $97.43 $161 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chevalier de la Cree Knights Templar Cuvee Pinot Noir Cote de Beaune 2018 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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