Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Korbel Natural Sparkling Russian River Valley
sparkling · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$9.89 $19.79 Clearance 0.0%▲ 10.0%Fairly priced1%
Le Charmel Pinot Noir
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$4.23 $13.99 Clearance 0.0%▲ 16.7%Fairly priced1%
Riunite Lambrusco
sparkling · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$14.99▲ 7.1%▲ 25.0%Fairly priced4%
Saxon Brown Rosella's Vineyard Chardonnay Santa Lucia Highlands 2016
white · Monterey · 750 ml
$20.03 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Bostavan Pastoral Etulia Red Dessert Moldova
dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$11.99 0.0%—Fairly priced9%
typically +8% if it rises
Bruno by Karthauserhof Riesling Spatlese 2018
white · 750 ml
$8.73 $26.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Villemaurine Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2018
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$20.43 $72.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Michael Stephen Kavic Winery Riesling
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$14.99 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced1%
Michele Chiarlo Le Orme Barbera d'Asti 2018
sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml
$8.53 $16.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Tre Monti Vigna Rocca Albana Secco Emilia Romagna 2020
red · 750 ml
$4.93 $16.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Canneto Vino Nobile di Montepulciano 2018
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$11.99 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Cantina di Montalcino Brunello di Montalcino 2016
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$39.99 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced<1%
Casas Del Bosque Pinot Noir Casablanca Reserva 2019
red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml
$3.93 $12.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Maillet Pomerol 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$15.83 $52.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Cune Reserva Rioja Alta 2019
red · Rioja · 750 ml
$17.99 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Hyland Estates Old Vine Pinot Noir McMinnville 2019
red · 750 ml
$11.03 $21.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
It's a Head Snapper Prosecco
sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$11.99 0.0%—Fairly priced6%
typically +8% if it rises
King Estate The Soldier Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2017
red · Washington · 750 ml
$11.03 $21.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced<1%
La Serena Brunello di Montalcino 2016
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$49.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Mulderbosch Faithful Hound Red Blend Stellenbosch 2019
red · Western Cape · 750 ml
$4.93 $16.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Poggio Landi Brunello di Montalcino 2017
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$34.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Punset Barbera d'Alba 2020
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$17.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Weinrieder Ried Birthal Weissburgunder Niederosterreich 2019
red · 750 ml
$6.93 $24.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Whale Route Vineyards Sauvignon Blanc Grand Reserve
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$7.19 $11.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Jean Biecher et Fils Riesling Rosacker Alsace Grand Cru 2019
white · Alsace · 750 ml
$10.43 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Meu Albarino Ribeiro 2023
white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml
$3.93 $12.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Airfield Chardonnay Yakima Valley 2023
white · Washington · 750 ml
$13.99——Fairly priced<1%
Alberto Sanz Verdejo Rueda 2019
white · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced1%
Condestavel Tinto Tejo Premium 2021
red · 750 ml
$2.93 $10.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Elena Fucci SCEG Aglianico del Vulture 2022
red · 750 ml
$21.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Hogue Cellars Sweet Riesling Columbia Valley 2022
white · Washington · 750 ml
$7.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Matteo Braidot Pinot Grigio Friuli
white · Friuli · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$9.99 0.0%—Fairly priced7%
typically +10% if it rises
Shannon Giannecchini Family Vineyard Zinfandel Mendocino County 2019
red · 750 ml
$19.99——Fairly priced<1%
Wapisa Sauvignon Blanc Patagonia 2023
white · 750 ml
$4.93 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Daou Vineyards The Pessimist Red Blend Paso Robles
red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$22.99 $25.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 4.0%Fairly priced8%
typically +8% if it rises
Domaine de la Bonneliere Tradition Saumur Champigny 2020
red · Loire · 750 ml
$8.73 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Lete Vautrain Zero Brut Champagne
sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$34.99 0.0%—Fairly priced10%
typically +7% if it rises
Matchbook Red Gravel Cabernet Sauvignon Dunnigan Hills 2022
red · 750 ml
$10.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
MoonTree Sauvignon Blanc Lake County 2018
white · 750 ml
$6.53 $12.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced<1%
Salvestrin Cabernet Sauvignon Dr Crane Vineyard St Helena 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$89.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
The Kinker Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2021
red · Paso Robles · 750 ml
$10.79 $17.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Warres Vintage Port 2016
dessert · Douro · 375 ml
$54.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau des Demoiselles Rose
rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$15.59 0.0%—Fairly priced11%
typically +7% if it rises
Corbett Canyon Chardonnay
white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$12.49 0.0%▲ 25.0%Fairly priced4%
David Finlayson Cabernet Sauvignon Stellenbosch 2019
red · Western Cape · 750 ml
$18.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Famiglia Bruno Barbera d'Alba 2023
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$14.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Hearst Ranch Winery Three Sisters Cuvee Red Wine Paso Robles 2020
red · Paso Robles · 750 ml
$6.53 $21.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Raptor Ridge Barrel Select Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2018
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$22.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Ruhlmann Riesling Vieilles Vignes 2021
white · 750 ml
$10.19 $16.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
The Wolftrap Red
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$5.49 $10.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced1%
2,001–2,050 of 9,968← PreviousNext →