Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Korbel Natural Sparkling Russian River Valley sparkling · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.89 $19.79 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Le Charmel Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.23 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Riunite Lambrusco sparkling · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 7.1% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Saxon Brown Rosella's Vineyard Chardonnay Santa Lucia Highlands 2016 white · Monterey · 750 ml | $20.03 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bostavan Pastoral Etulia Red Dessert Moldova dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +8% if it rises |
| Bruno by Karthauserhof Riesling Spatlese 2018 white · 750 ml | $8.73 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Villemaurine Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $20.43 $72.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Michael Stephen Kavic Winery Riesling white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Michele Chiarlo Le Orme Barbera d'Asti 2018 sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml | $8.53 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tre Monti Vigna Rocca Albana Secco Emilia Romagna 2020 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Canneto Vino Nobile di Montepulciano 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cantina di Montalcino Brunello di Montalcino 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Casas Del Bosque Pinot Noir Casablanca Reserva 2019 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Maillet Pomerol 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $15.83 $52.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cune Reserva Rioja Alta 2019 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hyland Estates Old Vine Pinot Noir McMinnville 2019 red · 750 ml | $11.03 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| It's a Head Snapper Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| King Estate The Soldier Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2017 red · Washington · 750 ml | $11.03 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Serena Brunello di Montalcino 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mulderbosch Faithful Hound Red Blend Stellenbosch 2019 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Poggio Landi Brunello di Montalcino 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Punset Barbera d'Alba 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Weinrieder Ried Birthal Weissburgunder Niederosterreich 2019 red · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Whale Route Vineyards Sauvignon Blanc Grand Reserve white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.19 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Jean Biecher et Fils Riesling Rosacker Alsace Grand Cru 2019 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $10.43 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Meu Albarino Ribeiro 2023 white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Airfield Chardonnay Yakima Valley 2023 white · Washington · 750 ml | $13.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alberto Sanz Verdejo Rueda 2019 white · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Condestavel Tinto Tejo Premium 2021 red · 750 ml | $2.93 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Elena Fucci SCEG Aglianico del Vulture 2022 red · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hogue Cellars Sweet Riesling Columbia Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $7.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Matteo Braidot Pinot Grigio Friuli white · Friuli · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Shannon Giannecchini Family Vineyard Zinfandel Mendocino County 2019 red · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Wapisa Sauvignon Blanc Patagonia 2023 white · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Daou Vineyards The Pessimist Red Blend Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $25.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +8% if it rises |
| Domaine de la Bonneliere Tradition Saumur Champigny 2020 red · Loire · 750 ml | $8.73 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lete Vautrain Zero Brut Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +7% if it rises |
| Matchbook Red Gravel Cabernet Sauvignon Dunnigan Hills 2022 red · 750 ml | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| MoonTree Sauvignon Blanc Lake County 2018 white · 750 ml | $6.53 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Salvestrin Cabernet Sauvignon Dr Crane Vineyard St Helena 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Kinker Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2021 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Warres Vintage Port 2016 dessert · Douro · 375 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau des Demoiselles Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +7% if it rises |
| Corbett Canyon Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| David Finlayson Cabernet Sauvignon Stellenbosch 2019 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Famiglia Bruno Barbera d'Alba 2023 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Hearst Ranch Winery Three Sisters Cuvee Red Wine Paso Robles 2020 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Raptor Ridge Barrel Select Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $22.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ruhlmann Riesling Vieilles Vignes 2021 white · 750 ml | $10.19 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Wolftrap Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.49 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
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