Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Calling Cabernet Sauvignon Our Tribute Moon Mountain Sonoma County 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $41.73 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Time and Direction Wines Binary Syrah Walla Walla 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $11.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tinto Pesquera Crianzado Tempranillo Ribera Del Duero 2019 red · Ribera del Duero · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Two Hands Angels Share Shiraz McLaren Vale 2020 red · McLaren Vale · 750 ml | $10.13 $35.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Two Hands Sexy Beast Cabernet Sauvignon McLaren Vale 2020 red · McLaren Vale · 750 ml | $10.93 $35.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vaona Pegrandi Amarone della Valpolicella Classico 2016 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Viile Budureasca SRL Budureasca Orange Wine 2022 red · 750 ml | $8.93 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vineyard 29 29 Estate Cabernet Sauvignon St Helena Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $83.73 $280 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 88% premium | <1% |
| Vineyard 29 Ceanda Cabernet Sauvignon St Helena 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $89.99 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vineyard 29 Cru Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $17.43 $62.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| WALT Pinot Noir La Brisa Sonoma Coast 2020 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $11.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| WALT Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills Santa Barbara County 2020 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $20.03 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Whitehall Lane Pinot Noir Sonoma Stage Vineyard Petaluma Gap 2020 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Allegrini Amarone della Valpolicella Classico 2020 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $56.99 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 142% premium | <1% |
| Arrowood Cabernet Sauvignon Knights Valley Sonoma County 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cakebread Cellars Dancing Bear Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $110 $190 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 101% premium | <1% |
| Catena Alta Malbec Mendoza 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $36.03 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 68% premium | <1% |
| Catena Zapata Nicasia Malbec Mendoza 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $59.39 $98.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Charles Smith Wines of Substance Vineyard Collection Powerline Cabernet Sauvignon Walla Walla Valley 2017 red · Washington · 750 ml | $11.73 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Cheval Blanc Saint Emilion Grand Cru Classe 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $480 $800 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Guiraud Sauternes 2020 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $23.99 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Joanin Becot Castillon Cotes de Bordeaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $15.53 $31.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 79% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Siaurac Lalande de Pomerol 2016 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $7.73 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Suduiraut Sauternes 2017 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $28.73 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau du Tertre Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $17.43 $62.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cloudy Bay Te Koko Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2020 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $35.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 104% premium | <1% |
| Crossbarn Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2020 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $10.43 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Damilano Lecinquevigne Barolo 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $25.03 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 34% below | <1% |
| Dei Vino Nobile di Montepulciano 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $10.43 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Disznoko Tokaji 1413 2021 dessert · 500 ml | $16.79 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Amiot Guy Chassagne Montrachet Les Caillerets 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $89.99 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 68% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Raspail Ay Gigondas 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $12.93 $45.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Vauroux Chablis Montmains 1er Cru 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $11.73 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de la Grosse Pierre Claudius Chiroubles 2019 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $14.03 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| DuMOL Wester Reach Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $22.43 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 16% premium | <1% |
| E Guigal Brune et Blonde Cote Rotie 2017 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $42.03 $81.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 62% below | <1% |
| E Guigal Hermitage Rouge 2017 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $26.73 $86.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ephod Winery Keter Cabernet Sauvignon Merlot 2020 red · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 125% premium | <1% |
| Faustino I Tempranillo Rioja Gran Reserva 2010 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gebert Scheurebe Rheinhessen 2022 red · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml | $8.93 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ghost Block Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $24.93 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 67% premium | <1% |
| Girard Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $15.03 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| GoGi Erinn Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2017 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $21.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Groth Cabernet Sauvignon Reserve Oakville 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $140 $185 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gundlach Bundschu Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma Valley Sonoma County 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $16.23 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gundlach Bundschu Pinot Noir Petaluma Gap 2021 red · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hedges Family Estate Red Mountain Estate Red Wine 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J J Prum Graacher Himmelreich Riesling Mosel Auslese 2021 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $39.53 $76.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jayson by Pahlmeyer Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $59.99 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jean Biecher et Fils Riesling Rosacker Alsace Grand Cru 2019 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $10.43 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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