Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gundlach Bundschu Mountain Cuvee Sonoma County 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 45% below | <1% |
| Chateau Prieure Lichine Margaux 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $16.43 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 45% below | <1% |
| Chateau Souverain Sauvignon Blanc 2024 white · 750 ml | $6.99 | — | — | 45% below | 2% |
| Goldeneye Pinot Noir Anderson Valley 2019 red · 750 ml | $25.03 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 45% below | <1% |
| Chateau Guiraud Petit Guiraud Sauternes 2020 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $5.33 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 45% below | <1% |
| Mastroberardino Radici Fiano d'Avellino 2022 white · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 45% below | <1% |
| Iron Horse Vineyards Two Clones Chardonnay Green Valley of Russian River Valley 2018 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 45% below | <1% |
| La Purisima Monastrell Yecla 2020 red · 750 ml | $2.93 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 45% below | <1% |
| McBride Sisters Collection Black Girl Magic Sparkling Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 | — | — | 45% below | 6% typically +12% if it rises |
| Stags Leap Napa Valley Viognier 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $9.93 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 45% below | <1% |
| Napa Family Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | — | — | 45% below | 12% typically +5% if it rises |
| Orin Swift Palermo Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | 45% below | <1% |
| Achaval Ferrer Cabernet Franc Mendoza 2019 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $11.23 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 45% below | <1% |
| Innocent Bystander Pinot Noir Central Otago 2024 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | 45% below | 1% |
| Vespa Il Bruno dei Vespa Primitivo Salento 2018 red · Puglia · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 45% below | <1% |
| Bodegas Ego Goru Gold Red Blend Jumilla 2017 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 45% below | <1% |
| Court Rollan Pater Cabernet Sauvignon Alto Totihue 2022 red · 750 ml | $10.99 | — | — | 45% below | 1% |
| Santa Carolina Carolina Assemblage Valle Central 2018 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 45% below | <1% |
| Pagos del Rey Condado de Oriza Ribera del Duero Reserva 2018 red · Ribera del Duero · 750 ml | $7.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 44% below | <1% |
| Rocky Pond Winery Proprietary Rock Red Blend 2019 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 44% below | <1% |
| Planeta Rose Sicilia 2023 rosé · Sicily · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 44% below | <1% |
| Casa Primicia Rioja Crianza 2017 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 44% below | <1% |
| Chateau Lilian Ladouys Saint Estephe 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | 44% below | <1% |
| Ridolfi Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | 44% below | 1% |
| Addendum by Fess Parker Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | 44% below | 2% |
| Chateau Haut Peyruguet Bordeaux Rouge 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | 44% below | <1% |
| Taylor Tawny Port dessert · Douro · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 36.4% | 44% below | 8% typically +4% if it rises |
| Eshcol Ranch Chardonnay Trefethen Vineyards Napa Valley white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 44% below | 1% |
| Franzia Sunset Blush rosé · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | 44% below | 3% |
| Geyser Peak Winery Cabernet Sauvignon 2021 red · 750 ml | $5.39 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 44% below | <1% |
| Chateau Ste Michelle Canoe Ridge Estate Chardonnay Horse Heaven Hills 2018 white · Washington · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | 44% below | <1% |
| Henri Ehrhart Reserve Particuliere Riesling Alsace 2023 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | 44% below | <1% |
| Poesia Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $48.99 | 0.0% | — | 44% below | 1% |
| Nagelsforst Estate Riesling Baden Dry 2016 white · 750 ml | $6.03 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▼ 25.0% | 44% below | <1% |
| Planeta Rose Sicilia 2020 rosé · Sicily · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 44% below | <1% |
| Aresca La Rossa Barbera d'Asti Superiore 2021 sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml | $5.73 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 44% below | <1% |
| Chateau Leoville Poyferre Saint Julien 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $115 | 0.0% | — | 44% below | <1% |
| Chateau Lilian Ladouys Saint Estephe 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | 44% below | 1% |
| Jorge Ordonez Botani Moscatel Old Vines Sierras de Malaga 2019 dessert · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | 44% below | 1% |
| Klinker Brick Farrah Syrah Mokelumne River 2022 red · 750 ml | $11.99 | — | — | 44% below | 1% |
| Porta 6 Vinho Tinto Lisboa 2020 red · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | 44% below | <1% |
| Wycliff California Brut sparkling · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.54 $7.09 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 44% below | 1% |
| Domaine Guy Amiot et Fils Cuvee Simone Pinot Noir Bourgogne 2018 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | 44% below | <1% |
| Duca di Salaparuta Oniris Grillo Sicilia 2024 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $10.99 | — | — | 44% below | 1% |
| Vespa Il Bruno dei Vespa Primitivo Salento 2020 red · Puglia · 750 ml | $7.43 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 44% below | <1% |
| Wild Vines Blackberry Merlot red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 44% below | 2% |
| Cabro Xarel lo Penedes 2021 red · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml | $2.93 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 43% below | <1% |
| Majella The Musician Cabernet Shiraz Coonawarra 2021 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 43% below | <1% |
| Domaine Courtois La Grange Vinsobres Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 43% below | 1% |
| Chateau de la Roche Sauvignon Blanc Touraine 2024 white · Loire · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | 43% below | 1% |
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