Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chateau Beychevelle Saint Julien 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $130 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Prieure Lichine Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $35.93 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cade Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Howell Mountain 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $71.93 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Paul Pernot Puligny Montrachet 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Beychevelle Saint Julien 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $36.43 $124 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Paul Pernot Puligny Montrachet 2023 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $47.99 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Veuve Clicquot Vintage Champagne Brut 2015 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $115 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Jean Michel Gerin Le Seigneur Cote Rotie 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $56.03 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Far Niente Chardonnay Napa Valley Estate Bottled 2019 white · Napa Valley · 1500 ml | $143 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maison Louis Jadot Chassagne Montrachet 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $31.93 $97.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Moet et Chandon Grand Vintage Champagne 2015 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $59.99 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Bougros Chablis Grand Cru 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $47.73 $160 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco Riserva Rabaja 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $49.73 $82.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Smith Haut Lafitte Pessac Leognan Blanc 2019 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $97.43 $161 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joseph Pascal Les Enseigneres Puligny Montrachet 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $20.73 $76.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Gloria Saint Julien 2022 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $135 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Adaptation Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $25.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Gloria Saint Julien 2020 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $37.43 $125 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stag's Leap Wine Cellars Surber Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Calistoga 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $66.03 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Malartic Lagraviere Pessac Leognan Blanc 2018 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $86.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Robert Mondavi Winery The Estates Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $24.93 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Salvestrin Cabernet Sauvignon Dr Crane Vineyard St Helena Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $27.73 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cakebread Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $24.93 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kosta Browne Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2019 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $110 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jayson by Pahlmeyer Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $59.99 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nickel and Nickel Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville Single Vineyard Branding Iron Vineyard 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $120 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nickel and Nickel Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Yountville Single Vineyard State Ranch Vineyard 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $120 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Graacher Himmelreich Mosel Auslese 2014 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kosta Browne Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2020 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $110 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lafite Rothschild Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $300 $1,000 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Shafer Hillside Select Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District 2017 red · Napa Valley · 1500 ml | $325 $650 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beaux Freres The Beaux Freres Vineyard Pinot Noir 2021 red · 750 ml | $35.93 $126 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Cos D'Estournel Saint Estephe Rouge 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $130 $240 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Moet and Chandon Imperial Champagne Brut sparkling · Champagne · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $118 | ▲ 2.6% | ▲ 18.0% | Fairly priced | 11% typically +6% if it rises |
| David Arthur Proprietary Red Wine Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $25.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mollydooker Carnival Of Love Shiraz Australia 2021 red · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $23.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nickel and Nickel Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Rutherford DeCarle Vineyard 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $89.93 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Beychevelle Saint Julien 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $65.03 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Austin Hope Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2019 red · Paso Robles · 1500 ml | $65.03 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cakebread Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $84.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Malartic Lagraviere Pessac Leognan Blanc 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $26.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| GD Vajra Barolo Bricco Della Viole 2018 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Les Drazey Chambolle Musigny Rouge 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Nickel and Nickel Winery Cabernet Sauvignon St Helena Dogleg Vineyard 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $120 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Guy Amiot et Fils Les Vergers Chassagne Montrachet 1er Cru 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Moet et Chandon Grand Vintage Champagne Rose 2015 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $68.99 $115 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Warre's Vintage Porto 2007 dessert · Douro · 1500 ml | $47.93 $160 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Poggio Salvi Brunello di Montalcino Riserva 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $47.99 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sea Smoke Southing Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2022 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $69.03 $111 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Adaptation Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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