Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francois Lurton Les Fumees Blanches Sauvignon Blanc Vin de France 2021 white · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 22% below | <1% |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Pear Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $8.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 22% below | 7% typically +11% if it rises |
| Le Breuvage Viognier Pays d'Oc 2021 white · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 22% below | <1% |
| Frontera White Blend white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 | 0.0% | — | 22% below | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Stoller Family Estate Chardonnay Dundee Hills 2019 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 22% below | <1% |
| Dancing Crow Vineyards Sauvignon Blanc Lake County 2019 white · 750 ml | $8.53 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 22% below | <1% |
| Walnut Block Wines Collectables Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2021 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | 22% below | <1% |
| Excelsior Chardonnay Robertson 2022 white · 750 ml | $3.73 $6.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 21% below | 1% |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Mango Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $8.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 28.6% | 21% below | 19% typically +11% if it rises |
| Joh Jos Prum Wehlener Sonnenuhr Riesling Mosel Kabinett 2020 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $27.53 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 21% below | <1% |
| Domaine de Bel Air Cuvee Riquette Pouilly Fume 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 21% below | <1% |
| Turk Gruner Veltliner Kremser Weinberge Niederosterreich 2019 white · 750 ml | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 21% below | <1% |
| Barefoot Pink Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | 20% below | 7% typically +11% if it rises |
| Jacob's Creek Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.49 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | 20% below | 4% |
| Vigneti Romio Trebbiano Romagna white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $9.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 19% below | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Tania and Vincent Careme Terre Brulee Le Blanc Chenin Blanc Swartland 2021 white · Western Cape · 750 ml | $7.43 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 19% below | <1% |
| Franzia Moscato white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.49 $4.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | 19% below | 3% |
| Taub Family Vineyards Heritance Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2018 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $11.03 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 18% below | <1% |
| Greywacke Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2021 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 18% below | <1% |
| Greywacke Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2020 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 17% below | <1% |
| Creative Juice Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.03 $7.29 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 17% below | 2% |
| Domaine des Buissonnes Cuvee Pierre a Feu Silex Sancerre Blanc 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $12.53 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 16% below | <1% |
| Lamoreaux Landing Semi Dry Riesling Finger Lakes 2018 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $8.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 16% below | <1% |
| Franzia Refreshers Tropical Pinot Grigio white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.83 $15.59 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 16% below | 1% |
| High Heaven Vintners Riesling Starshower Columbia Valley white · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 16% below | 1% |
| Winzer Krems Sandgrube 13 Gruner Veltliner Niederosterreich 2021 white · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 16% below | <1% |
| J Wilkes Chardonnay Santa Maria Valley 2020 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | 16% below | <1% |
| Roaming Dog Riesling Columbia Valley 2020 white · Washington · 750 ml | $2.93 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 16% below | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Graacher Himmelreich Mosel Auslese 2020 white · Mosel · 375 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | 16% below | 1% |
| Sutter Home Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.49 $8.49 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 6.3% | 16% below | 5% typically +11% if it rises |
| Domaine Gerard Tremblay Petit Chablis 2019 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 15% below | <1% |
| Domaines Barons de Rothschild Lafite Los Vascos Chardonnay Colchagua Valley Estate 2021 white · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $7.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 15% below | <1% |
| Juggernaut Chardonnay Sonoma Coast white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | 15% below | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Trail Box Pinot Grigio California white · California Central Valley · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.79 $15.59 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 15% below | 1% |
| The Little Sheep of France Viognier Vin de France 2023 white · 750 ml | $6.03 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 15% below | <1% |
| Lomond Sauvignon Blanc Cape Agulhas 2021 white · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 15% below | <1% |
| Lomond Sauvignon Blanc Cape Agulhas 2023 white · 750 ml | $5.99 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 14% below | <1% |
| Cakebread Cellars Chardonnay Napa Valley 2019 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $41.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14% below | 1% |
| Domaine Les 5 Chemins Muscadet Cotes de Grandlieu Sur Lie 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $6.03 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 14% below | <1% |
| Firesteed Riesling Willamette Valley 2019 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14% below | 1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Graacher Himmelreich Riesling Mosel Kabinett 2020 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $25.53 $52.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 14% below | <1% |
| Beringer Main and Vine Chenin Blanc white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.49 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14% below | 1% |
| DFJ Portada Winemaker's Selection White Lisboa 2021 white · 750 ml | $2.93 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 14% below | <1% |
| Raptor Ridge Winery Pinot Gris Willamette Valley Vineyard Select 2019 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $10.73 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 14% below | <1% |
| Creative Juice Pinot Grigio Colombard white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.37 $7.29 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 14% below | 2% |
| Aravail Chardonnay Monterey County white · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.39 | 0.0% | — | 13% below | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Southern Right Sauvignon Blanc Walker Bay 2020 white · 750 ml | $8.53 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 13% below | <1% |
| Little Sheep of France Sauvignon Blanc Vin de France white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.03 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 13% below | 3% |
| Almaden Chablis white · Burgundy · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.23 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | 13% below | 1% |
| Box Wize Chardonnay white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.49 | ▲ 4.5% | ▲ 8.8% | 12% below | 9% typically +4% if it rises |
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