J Wilkes Chardonnay Santa Maria Valley 2020
white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml · 2020 vintage · tracked since Q4 2023
Shelf price, Q3 2026
$12.99
12 quarters on record · 0 list-price changes · on sale in 0
List-price change, past year
0.0%
Past 5 years: —
Outlook for the next 12 months
<1% chance of a rise
typically +8% · <1% chance of a cut (typically -24%)
List priceForecast (median)80% forecast range
Show prices and forecast as a table
| Quarter | List | Sale | Forecast (80% range) | Chance higher |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2027 | $12.99 ($12.99–$12.99) | <1% | ||
| Q2 2027 | $12.99 ($12.99–$12.99) | <1% | ||
| Q1 2027 | $12.99 ($12.99–$12.99) | <1% | ||
| Q4 2026 | $12.99 ($12.99–$12.99) | <1% | ||
| Q3 2026 | $12.99 | |||
| Q2 2026 | $12.99 | |||
| Q1 2026 | $12.99 | |||
| Q4 2025 | $12.99 | |||
| Q3 2025 | $12.99 | |||
| Q2 2025 | $12.99 | |||
| Q1 2025 | $12.99 | |||
| Q4 2024 | $12.99 | |||
| Q3 2024 | $12.99 | |||
| Q2 2024 | $12.99 | |||
| Q1 2024 | $12.99 | |||
| Q4 2023 | $12.99 |
Chance the list price will differ from today's $12.99
By
Higher
Lower
Q4 2026
<1%
<1%
Q1 2027
<1%
<1%
Q2 2027
<1%
1%
Q3 2027
<1%
<1%
Fair price
$15.46
Comparable wines cost $13.69–$23.04 (80% range). At $12.99 it is priced 16% below them.
Typical drinking window
2020–2023
Past its typical window · rule of thumb, typical for everyday white wine from Santa Barbara
Next vintage (2021) vs this one
51% chance priced higher
Typical change 0% (80% range -7.2% to 10.6%) · 12% chance priced lower
Why this outlook?
Get a plain-English explanation of this wine's forecast, fair price and vintage outlook, written by Amazon Nova on Amazon Bedrock using only the numbers on this page.
What if?
Change today's price or promotion and the model re-scores this wine live.
Promotion
Other vintages
Each vintage is tracked as its own wine.
| Vintage | Last listed | Shelf price | 1yr History | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 (this page) | Listed now | $12.99 | 0.0% | <1% |
| 2017 | Q1 2023 | $13.99 | 0.0% | — |
Model hgbq-20260928-160312: Gradient-boosted price-change classifier + conformal quantile range (global, direct multi-horizon).