Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warre's Vintage Porto 2017 dessert · Douro · 750 ml | $74.99 $125 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Disznoko Tokaji 5 Puttonyos 2013 dessert · 500 ml | $32.39 $53.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Warres Vintage Port 2016 dessert · Douro · 750 ml | $65.99 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Warre's Vintage Porto 2007 dessert · Douro · 1500 ml | $47.93 $160 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Warre's Vintage Porto 2003 dessert · Douro · 750 ml | $38.93 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castello di Meleto Vin Santo del Chianti Classico 2011 dessert · Tuscany · 375 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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