Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciacci Piccolomini Brunello di Montalcino 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $41.73 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clement et Florian Berthier Sancerre Rose 2020 rosé · Loire · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | 18% premium | <1% |
| Cloudy Bay Pinot Noir Marlborough 2020 red · Marlborough · 750 ml | $20.03 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dievole Novecento Chianti Classico Riserva 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $20.03 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Antonin Guyon Les Chenes Volnay 1er Cru 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $67.43 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Dominique et Janine Crochet Sancerre Rouge 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $22.43 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Drouhin Oregon Dundee Hills Pinot Noir 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $22.53 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Guy Amiot et Fils Les Champgains Chassagne Montrachet 1er Cru 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $47.03 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 32% below | <1% |
| Domaine Joseph Pascal Puligny Montrachet 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $22.43 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Paul Pernot Les Chalumaux Puligny Montrachet 1er Cru 2023 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $37.43 $125 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Serene Evenstad Reserve Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2015 red · Oregon · 1500 ml | $90.93 $280 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 43% premium | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Fourchaume Chablis 1er Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $62.39 $104 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Vaillons Chablis 1er Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $61.79 $103 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Vauroux Chablis Montmains 1er Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $23.99 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Elk Cove Willamette Valley Estate Pinot Noir 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Far Mountain Fission Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma Valley 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $21.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fitz Ritter Gewurztraminer Spatlese Pfalz 2021 white · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml | $12.53 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| GoGi 29 Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2016 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $20.73 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| HALL Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Haut Bailly II Pessac Leognan Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $17.43 $62.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hearst Ranch Winery Lone Tree Cabernet Franc Paso Robles 2020 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 77% premium | <1% |
| Hess Collection Mount Veeder Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley Estate Grown 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $63.63 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Honig Cabernet Sauvignon Bartolucci Vineyard St. Helena Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $75.03 $125 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Honig Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $15.93 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J J Prum Wehlener Sonnenuhr Riesling Mosel Auslese 2021 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $43.03 $85.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jean Paul and Benoit Droin Chablis AC 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 96% premium | <1% |
| Kloster Eberbach Crescentia Steinberger Riesling Rheingau Kabinett 2019 white · Rheingau · 750 ml | $8.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lapostolle Cuvee Alexandre Cabernet Sauvignon Valle Central 2021 red · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 44% premium | <1% |
| Le Petit Smith Haut Lafitte Blanc 2021 white · 750 ml | $16.93 $56.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Ragose Amarone della Valpolicella 2018 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $35.99 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lothian of Elgin Pinot Noir 2021 red · 750 ml | $17.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Gevrey Chambertin 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $35.53 $72.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Pommard 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $36.53 $73.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Montes Purple Angel Carmenere Colchagua Vallley 2019 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $77.93 $104 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Outerbound Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Poggio Landi Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rex Hill Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $10.93 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Round Pond Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $22.43 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sea Smoke Chardonnay Santa Rita Hills 2022 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $63.03 $105 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 18% premium | <1% |
| Shafer Hillside Select Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $121 $400 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Shafer Hillside Select Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $250 $400 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Shafer TD9 Red Blend Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $41.99 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Siduri Pinot Noir Santa Barbara County 2022 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $7.93 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Silenus Merlot Oak Knoll District of Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $13.43 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sojourn Cellars Pinot Noir Gap's Crown Vineyard Sonoma Coast 2022 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $20.93 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| St Francis Reserve Merlot Sonoma Valley 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $11.73 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 87% premium | <1% |
| Stag's Leap Wine Cellars Surber Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Calistoga 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $66.03 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Succession Wines Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $11.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 41% premium | <1% |
| Tenuta San Guido Sassicaia Bolgheri Sassicaia 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $195 $260 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Calling Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2020 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $10.93 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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