Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chateau Beychevelle Saint Julien 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $140 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Fleur Haut Gaussens Bordeaux Superieur 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lone Birch Cabernet Sauvignon Yakima Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Real Nice Winemakers Into the Woods Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bertani Valpolicella Ripasso 2021 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $23.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Reynier Bordeaux Superior Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| David Finlayson The Pepper Pot Red Blend Coastal Region South Africa 2019 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Freire Lobo Vigno Red 2019 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Iterum Orchard House Vineyard Estate Clone 115 Pinot Noir Eola Amity HIlls 2020 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| JL Chave Selections Offerus Saint Joseph 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $10.43 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Latour Giraud Clos des Chenes Volnay 1er Cru 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $60.03 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Montes Alpha Cabernet Sauvignon Colchagua Valley 2019 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sterling Vineyards Platinum Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2016 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Valiant Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.29 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Warwick The First Lady Pinotage Stellenbosch 2019 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Aldeya Garnacha Carinena 2019 red · 750 ml | $3.53 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Biale Vineyards Zinfandel Party Line North Coast 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $7.23 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos La Coutale Cahors 2022 red · 750 ml | $5.33 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Intuition Cotes du Rhone Red red · Rhone · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.09 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Quailhurst Vineyard Estate Classique Pinot Noir Chehalem Mountains 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Le Crock Saint Estephe 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Palmer Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $200 $350 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pegau Cuvee Maclura Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ciacci Piccolomini Brunello di Montalcino 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $41.73 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gagliardo Fallegro Favorita 2019 red · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Ken Wright Cellars Canary Hill Vineyard Pinot Noir 2016 red · 750 ml | $47.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ken Wright Cellars McCrone Vineyard Pinot Noir 2016 red · 750 ml | $28.73 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Scolca Gavi 2023 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Los Helechos Designado Cabernet Franc Uco Valley 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $14.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Milbrandt Family Merlot Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $9.43 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Two Vintners Zinfandel Wahluke Slope 2023 red · Washington · 750 ml | $24.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cafaggio Chianti Classico 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Calera Mills Vineyard Pinot Noir Mt Harlan 2018 red · 750 ml | $24.93 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Charles Smith Boom Boom Syrah Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.9% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Happy Valley Vineyard and Winery Appalachia Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Paraduxx Proprietary Red Wine Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $13.93 $52.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| San Pedro 1865 Select Vineyards Carmenere Maipo 2019 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $8.03 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Amore Rosso Biologico red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Bogle Vineyards Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Bolla Cabernet Sauvignon red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Cliff Lede Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $21.93 $81.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cuvee Delaye Les Pierres Grises Saint Veran 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Antonin Guyon Sous Fretille Pernand Vergelesses 1er Cru 2020 red · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Liberty Creek Merlot 2x1.5 L Multipack red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| The Prisoner Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $29.73 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cappella Sant Andrea Clara Stella Vernaccia di San Gimignano 2022 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $5.99 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Beychevelle Saint Julien 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $130 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lagrange Saint Julien 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $74.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lagrange Saint Julien 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $22.43 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lajarre Bordeaux Superieur 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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