Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Chateau Beychevelle Saint Julien 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$140 0.0%—Fairly priced2%
Fleur Haut Gaussens Bordeaux Superieur 2019
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$4.93 $16.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Lone Birch Cabernet Sauvignon Yakima Valley 2020
red · Washington · 750 ml
$12.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Real Nice Winemakers Into the Woods Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2021
red · Washington · 750 ml
$5.93 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Bertani Valpolicella Ripasso 2021
red · Veneto · 750 ml
$23.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Reynier Bordeaux Superior Rouge 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$14.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
David Finlayson The Pepper Pot Red Blend Coastal Region South Africa 2019
red · Western Cape · 750 ml
$4.93 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Freire Lobo Vigno Red 2019
red · 750 ml
$3.93 $13.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Iterum Orchard House Vineyard Estate Clone 115 Pinot Noir Eola Amity HIlls 2020
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$12.93 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
JL Chave Selections Offerus Saint Joseph 2020
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$10.43 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Latour Giraud Clos des Chenes Volnay 1er Cru 2019
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$60.03 $120 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Montes Alpha Cabernet Sauvignon Colchagua Valley 2019
red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml
$5.93 $19.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced<1%
Sterling Vineyards Platinum Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2016
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$39.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Valiant Red Blend
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$8.29 0.0%—Fairly priced6%
typically +10% if it rises
Warwick The First Lady Pinotage Stellenbosch 2019
red · Western Cape · 750 ml
$14.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Aldeya Garnacha Carinena 2019
red · 750 ml
$3.53 $11.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Biale Vineyards Zinfandel Party Line North Coast 2019
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$7.23 $24.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Clos La Coutale Cahors 2022
red · 750 ml
$5.33 $17.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Intuition Cotes du Rhone Red
red · Rhone · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$8.09 $13.49 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Quailhurst Vineyard Estate Classique Pinot Noir Chehalem Mountains 2021
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$39.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Le Crock Saint Estephe 2019
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$54.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Palmer Margaux 2019
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$200 $350 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Pegau Cuvee Maclura Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2019
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$17.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Ciacci Piccolomini Brunello di Montalcino 2017
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$41.73 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Gagliardo Fallegro Favorita 2019
red · 750 ml
$14.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Ken Wright Cellars Canary Hill Vineyard Pinot Noir 2016
red · 750 ml
$47.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Ken Wright Cellars McCrone Vineyard Pinot Noir 2016
red · 750 ml
$28.73 $47.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
La Scolca Gavi 2023
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$16.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Los Helechos Designado Cabernet Franc Uco Valley 2021
red · Mendoza · 750 ml
$14.99 $16.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Milbrandt Family Merlot Columbia Valley 2020
red · Washington · 750 ml
$9.43 $16.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Two Vintners Zinfandel Wahluke Slope 2023
red · Washington · 750 ml
$24.99——Fairly priced<1%
Cafaggio Chianti Classico 2020
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$13.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Calera Mills Vineyard Pinot Noir Mt Harlan 2018
red · 750 ml
$24.93 $84.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Charles Smith Boom Boom Syrah Columbia Valley
red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$18.69 0.0%▲ 3.9%Fairly priced4%
Happy Valley Vineyard and Winery Appalachia Red
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$15.99——Fairly priced10%
typically +6% if it rises
Paraduxx Proprietary Red Wine Napa Valley 2020
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$13.93 $52.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
San Pedro 1865 Select Vineyards Carmenere Maipo 2019
red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml
$8.03 $15.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Amore Rosso Biologico
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$13.99 0.0%—Fairly priced6%
typically +7% if it rises
Bogle Vineyards Pinot Noir
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$13.99 0.0%▲ 7.7%Fairly priced5%
Bolla Cabernet Sauvignon
red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$14.99 0.0%▼ 6.3%Fairly priced6%
typically +4% if it rises
Cliff Lede Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District 2019
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$21.93 $81.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Cuvee Delaye Les Pierres Grises Saint Veran 2021
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$5.93 $21.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Antonin Guyon Sous Fretille Pernand Vergelesses 1er Cru 2020
red · 750 ml
$79.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Liberty Creek Merlot 2x1.5 L Multipack
red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$19.99——Fairly priced8%
typically +5% if it rises
The Prisoner Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2021
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$29.73 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Cappella Sant Andrea Clara Stella Vernaccia di San Gimignano 2022
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$5.99 $9.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Beychevelle Saint Julien 2018
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$130 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Lagrange Saint Julien 2018
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$74.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Lagrange Saint Julien 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$22.43 $74.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Lajarre Bordeaux Superieur 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$3.93 $12.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
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