Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domaine du Pegau Chateauneuf du Pape Cuvee Reservee Rouge 2021 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $22.43 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine du Vieux Telegraphe La Crau Chateauneuf Du Pape Rouge 2021 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $30.93 $115 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 61% premium | <1% |
| Donati Family Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2020 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dusky Goose Pinot Noir Dundee Hills 2017 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $21.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Emiliana G e Red Blend Colchagua 2017 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $42.03 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Far Niente Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $89.99 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fess Parker The Big Easy Santa Barbara County 2018 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Flaneur Winery Cuvee Constantin Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $12.43 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 71% premium | <1% |
| Foolhardy Vintners FH Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2017 red · Washington · 750 ml | $10.23 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Freemark Abbey Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gai'a Agiorgitiko Nemea 2020 red · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 54% premium | <1% |
| Hawk and Horse Cabernet Sauvignon Red Hills Lake County 2016 red · 750 ml | $22.43 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Iron Horse Wedding Cuvee Green Valley 2017 red · 750 ml | $22.53 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Keenan Capstone Spring Mountain District Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $25.43 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ken Wright Cellars McCrone Vineyard Pinot Noir 2016 red · 750 ml | $28.73 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kosta Browne Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $33.53 $112 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kosta Browne Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $33.53 $112 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kosta Browne Russian River Pinot Noir 2022 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $35.93 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kosta Browne Sonoma Coast Pinot Noir 2022 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $35.93 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Spinona Sori Gepin Barolo Bergera 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $47.73 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lail Vineyards Blueprint Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $24.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lamblin et Fils Pinot Noir Bourgogne 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $15.53 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lavinea Pinot Noir Elton Vineyard Eola Amity Hills 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $23.99 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 24% below | <1% |
| Le Marquis de Calon Segur St Estephe 2021 red · 750 ml | $13.43 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Pupille Saffredi Toscano Rosso 2021 red · 750 ml | $71.99 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 334% premium | <1% |
| Les Griffons de Pichon Baron Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $21.93 $70.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marietta Cellars Game Trail Cabernet Sauvignon 2021 red · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 128% premium | <1% |
| Mastroberardino Stilema Taurasi 2016 red · 750 ml | $59.99 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Morgan Double L Vineyard Pinot Noir Santa Lucia Highlands 2021 red · Monterey · 750 ml | $22.43 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 54% premium | <1% |
| North Valley Vineyards Reserve Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Open Claim Vineyards Estate Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $20.93 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Patrimony Estate Caves des Lions Adelaida District 2019 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $150 $300 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 102% premium | <1% |
| Penfolds Bin 389 Cabernet Sauvignon Shiraz South Australia 2020 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $23.73 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ridgecrest Estate Pinot Noir Ribbon Ridge 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Robert Mondavi Winery The Estates Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $24.93 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Seven Hills Merlot Seven Hills Vineyard Walla Walla Valley 2016 red · Washington · 750 ml | $7.93 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 30% below | <1% |
| Silenus Cabernet Sauvignon Oak Knoll District of Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $23.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 77% premium | <1% |
| Sleight of Hands Cellars Conjurer Red Blend Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sojourn Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $28.93 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| St Supery Elu Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $27.93 $87.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stag's Leap Wine Cellars Armillary Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $98.99 $165 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| TOP SOURCE Winery Red Blend Columbia Valley 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta Luce Luce della Vite Toscana 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $25.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 198% premium | <1% |
| Teofilo Reyes Tempranillo Ribera Del Duero Crianza 2019 red · Ribera del Duero · 750 ml | $7.93 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Two Vintners Winery Grenache Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Two Vintners Winery Syrah Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Two Vintners Winery Zinfandel Columbia Valley 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $17.23 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Val di Suga Brunello di Montalcino 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $44.99 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Valo Cabernet Sauvignon Conner Lee Vineyard Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vidal Fleury Condrieu 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $22.43 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 103% premium | <1% |
1,901–1,950 of 2,413← PreviousNext →