Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kotrotsos Agiorgitiko Nemea 2019 red · 750 ml | $7.03 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Canonica a Cerreto Chianti Classico Riserva 2015 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau la Grave Expression Minervois Blanc 2023 white · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dr Konstantin Frank Semi Dry Riesling Finger Lakes 2020 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Juve Y Camps Reserva de la Familia Cava Gran Reserva 2020 sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml | $21.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Quinta De Cabriz Colheita Selecionada Dao Tinto 2017 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sunwine Kindzmarauli Georgia 2021 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Wente Vineyards Artist Series Duetto Cabernet Sauvignon Livermore Valley 2018 red · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Baron de Ley Tempranillo Rioja 2022 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dievole Le Due Arbie Chianti Classico Riserva 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Regis Jouan Sancerre Blanc 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $23.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| House Wine Sparkling Rose Rainbow sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Le Ragose Valpolicella Classico 2020 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mirafiore Barbera d'Alba 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $8.73 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sunwine Tsinandali 2018 red · 1500 ml | $11.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta Le Colonne Rosato 2023 rosé · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Terredora di Paolo Coda di Volpe Campania 2020 red · 750 ml | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| 1000 Stories Bourbon Barrel Aged Prospector's Proof Cabernet Sauvignon 2017 red · 1500 ml | $7.23 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Volver Tarima Hill Monastrell Alicante 2020 red · 750 ml | $7.19 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cantele Salice Salentino Riserva 2019 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hahn Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $15.99 Sale | ▼ 9.6% | ▼ 5.9% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Havens Sauvignon Blanc Santa Barbara County 2023 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $13.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| ICON Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +10% if it rises |
| Matchbook The Arsonist Cabernet Sauvignon Dunnigan Hills 2022 red · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Matchbook The Arsonist Chardonnay Dunnigan Hills 2022 white · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ridgecrest Old Vine Estate Pinot Gris Ribbon Ridge 2020 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stoneburn Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $3.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Campo Viejo Garnacha Rioja red · Rioja · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 14.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Cupcake Vineyards Alcohol Removed Sauvignon Blanc Nonalcoholic white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +9% if it rises |
| Ecco Domani Pinot Grigio Delle Venezie Designer Label white · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.23 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| El Chaval Bobal Valencia 2021 red · 750 ml | $2.93 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pio Cesare Barbera d'Alba 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Terroir Expressions Hostage Malbec Mendoza La Consulta 2018 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Three of Cups Winery Le Jugement GSM Red Blend Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Volver Paso a Paso MWOG Tempranillo red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Bodegas LAN Crianza Rioja 2020 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Caminos de Sacramento Rioja Alavesa 2019 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $8.73 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Educated Guess Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $6.73 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gazela Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.49 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Les Freres Perroud Amethyste Brouilly 2018 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $11.03 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Perusini Ribolla Gialla Colli Orientali del Friuli 2019 red · Friuli · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tattoo Girl Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $7.53 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Wente Vineyards Southern Hills Cabernet Sauvignon Livermore Valley red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 5.9% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| 1924 Port Barrel Pinot Noir dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Colombelle Colombard Sauvignon Blanc Cotes de Gascogne 2023 white · 750 ml | $2.93 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rodney Strong Sauvignon Blanc Charlotte's Home Sonoma County white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $18.99 Sale | ▼ 5.0% | ▲ 18.8% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Testarossa Cuvee Los Gatos Chardonnay Monterey County 2021 white · Monterey · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Barefoot Rose 2x1.5 L Multipack rosé · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Bouchard Aine et Fils Chablis 2023 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Brooks Riesling Willamette Valley 2023 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $21.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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