Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willamette Valley Vineyards Whole Cluster Pinot Noir Willamette Valley red · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Cade Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Howell Mountain Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $77.99 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hawk and Horse Vineyard Block Three Cabernet Sauvignon Red Hills Lake County 2019 red · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pratsch Zweigelt Niederosterreich 2021 red · 1000 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Saintayme Saint Emilion 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Vina Jaraba La Mancha Reserva 2016 red · 750 ml | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Montrose La Dame de Montrose Saint Estephe 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau de Saint Cosme Gigondas 2021 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $35.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Fernand et Laurent Pillot Chassagne Montrachet Les Vergers 1er Cru 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Western Edge Pinot Noir Oregon 2014 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Marcel Giraudon Bourgogne Aligote 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $10.23 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Piane Nebbiolo Boca 2020 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nickel and Nickel Cabernet Sauvignon DeCarle Rutherford Vineyard Napa Valley 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $120 $130 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chehalem Winery Chehalem Mountain Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $8.23 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Donati Family Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2020 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Monte Antico Red Toscana red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Pedroncelli Signature Selection Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2022 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Steele Cabernet Franc Lake County 2018 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta San Guido Sassicaia Bolgheri Sassicaia 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $240 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Two Vintners Grenache Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $7.43 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Cabernet Merlot red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.49 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Caymus Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon 2023 red · 1000 ml | $64.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cuvee Delaye Les Pierres Grises Saint Veran 2023 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Faustino I Tempranillo Rioja Gran Reserva 2010 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Feudi di San Gregorio Rubrato Aglianico Irpinia 2018 red · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fontanabianca Barbaresco 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $29.73 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Genetie Les Piliers Macon Charnay Les Macon 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $5.23 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Meiomi Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▼ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco Langhe Nebbiolo 2023 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +37% if it rises |
| Sagelands Merlot Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sutter Home Sweet Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.49 $8.49 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Tabor Winery Mt Tabor Cabernet Sauvignon 2021 red · 750 ml | $5.03 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tricky Rabbit Cabernet Franc Carmenere Reserva Maule Valley 2023 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castello di Verrazzano Rosso di Verrazzano Toscana 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castoro Cellars Zinfandel Paso Robles 2019 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Les Violettes Blaye Cotes de Bordeaux Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pedesclaux Pauillac 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $65.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Concha y Toro Gran Reserva Preseving Watersheds Cabernet Sauvignon Tinguiririca River Marchigue Colchagua Valley 2019 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Bousquet Cabernet Sauvignon Tupungato 2023 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $7.79 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hazlitt 1852 Vineyards Red Cat Sangria red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $11.99 Sale | ▲ 9.1% | ▲ 33.4% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Luigi Giordano Barbaresco Asili 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Provenance Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $8.93 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stellenbosch Hills Polkadraai Merlot Shiraz Stellenbosch Box 2020 red · Western Cape · 3000 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Taub Family Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Mount Veeder 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $35.03 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alyssa Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Hex vom Dasenstein Pinot Noir Baden 2019 red · 750 ml | $9.53 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Massimo Rivetti Froi Barbera d'Alba Superiore 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco Riserva Asili 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $82.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Woodlands Cabernet Sauvignon Merlot Margaret River Wilyabrup Valley 2017 red · 750 ml | $12.53 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Zenato Amarone della Valpolicella 2018 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $38.99 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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