Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Willamette Valley Vineyards Whole Cluster Pinot Noir Willamette Valley
red · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$24.99 0.0%—Fairly priced5%
typically +4% if it rises
Cade Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Howell Mountain Napa Valley 2019
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$77.99 $130 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Hawk and Horse Vineyard Block Three Cabernet Sauvignon Red Hills Lake County 2019
red · 750 ml
$17.93 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Pratsch Zweigelt Niederosterreich 2021
red · 1000 ml
$4.93 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Saintayme Saint Emilion 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$29.99 0.0%—Fairly priced2%
Vina Jaraba La Mancha Reserva 2016
red · 750 ml
$4.73 $15.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Montrose La Dame de Montrose Saint Estephe 2019
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$17.93 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau de Saint Cosme Gigondas 2021
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$35.73 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Fernand et Laurent Pillot Chassagne Montrachet Les Vergers 1er Cru 2020
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$99.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Western Edge Pinot Noir Oregon 2014
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$4.73 $16.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Marcel Giraudon Bourgogne Aligote 2021
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$10.23 $16.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Le Piane Nebbiolo Boca 2020
red · 750 ml
$5.93 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Nickel and Nickel Cabernet Sauvignon DeCarle Rutherford Vineyard Napa Valley 2022
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$120 $130 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Chehalem Winery Chehalem Mountain Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$8.23 $27.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Donati Family Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2020
red · Paso Robles · 750 ml
$6.93 $27.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Monte Antico Red Toscana
red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$15.99 0.0%▲ 14.3%Fairly priced3%
Pedroncelli Signature Selection Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2022
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$3.93 $15.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Steele Cabernet Franc Lake County 2018
red · 750 ml
$5.93 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Tenuta San Guido Sassicaia Bolgheri Sassicaia 2018
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$240 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced<1%
Two Vintners Grenache Columbia Valley 2021
red · Washington · 750 ml
$7.43 $24.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Cabernet Merlot
red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$7.49 $14.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced1%
Caymus Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon 2023
red · 1000 ml
$64.99——Fairly priced1%
Cuvee Delaye Les Pierres Grises Saint Veran 2023
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$13.19 $21.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Faustino I Tempranillo Rioja Gran Reserva 2010
red · Rioja · 750 ml
$39.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Feudi di San Gregorio Rubrato Aglianico Irpinia 2018
red · 750 ml
$19.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Fontanabianca Barbaresco 2020
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$29.73 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Genetie Les Piliers Macon Charnay Les Macon 2020
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$5.23 $17.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Meiomi Pinot Noir
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$17.99 $19.99 Sale 0.0%▼ 16.7%Fairly priced7%
typically +5% if it rises
Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco Langhe Nebbiolo 2023
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$29.99 0.0%—Fairly priced13%
typically +37% if it rises
Sagelands Merlot Columbia Valley 2021
red · Washington · 750 ml
$12.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Sutter Home Sweet Red
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$7.49 $8.49 Sale 0.0%▲ 6.3%Fairly priced4%
Tabor Winery Mt Tabor Cabernet Sauvignon 2021
red · 750 ml
$5.03 $16.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Tricky Rabbit Cabernet Franc Carmenere Reserva Maule Valley 2023
red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml
$11.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Castello di Verrazzano Rosso di Verrazzano Toscana 2019
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$13.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Castoro Cellars Zinfandel Paso Robles 2019
red · Paso Robles · 750 ml
$4.73 $16.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Les Violettes Blaye Cotes de Bordeaux Rouge 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$11.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Pedesclaux Pauillac 2023
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$65.99——Fairly priced1%
Concha y Toro Gran Reserva Preseving Watersheds Cabernet Sauvignon Tinguiririca River Marchigue Colchagua Valley 2019
red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml
$16.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Bousquet Cabernet Sauvignon Tupungato 2023
red · Mendoza · 750 ml
$7.79 $12.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Hazlitt 1852 Vineyards Red Cat Sangria
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$9.99 $11.99 Sale▲ 9.1%▲ 33.4%Fairly priced2%
Luigi Giordano Barbaresco Asili 2017
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$54.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Provenance Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$8.93 $31.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Stellenbosch Hills Polkadraai Merlot Shiraz Stellenbosch Box 2020
red · Western Cape · 3000 ml
$24.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Taub Family Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Mount Veeder 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$35.03 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Alyssa Red Blend
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$5.99 $11.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Hex vom Dasenstein Pinot Noir Baden 2019
red · 750 ml
$9.53 $18.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Massimo Rivetti Froi Barbera d'Alba Superiore 2021
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$3.93 $15.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco Riserva Asili 2017
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$82.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Woodlands Cabernet Sauvignon Merlot Margaret River Wilyabrup Valley 2017
red · 750 ml
$12.53 $24.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Zenato Amarone della Valpolicella 2018
red · Veneto · 750 ml
$38.99 $64.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
1,751–1,800 of 5,705← PreviousNext →