Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domaine Alex Moreau Chassagne Montrachet 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $114 $190 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 81% premium | <1% |
| Domaine de la Romanee Conti Romanee Saint Vivant Grand Cru 2020 red · 750 ml | $2,625 $3,500 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 837% premium | <1% |
| Duckhorn Discussion Red Wine 2020 red · 750 ml | $130 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 443% premium | <1% |
| Epiphany Rodney's Vineyards Mourvedre Santa Barbara County 2018 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $9.13 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fidelitas Winery Red Mountain Cabernet Sauvignon 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Galius Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $16.73 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Grey Stack Cellars Grenache Four Brothers Vineyard Bennett Valley 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $14.73 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hess Lion Tamer Red Blend Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $14.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Howell Mountain Vineyards Primitivo Clone Zinfandel Howell Mountain Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hyland Estates Petit Estate Pinot Noir McMinnville 2021 red · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J Lohr Cuvee St E Paso Robles 2017 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $14.73 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| JL Chave Selection Farconnet Hermitage Rouge 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $44.99 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Juwel Silvaner trocken Rheinhessen 2021 red · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml | $7.93 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| K Vintners Collection Jack's Cabernet Sauvignon Walla Walla Valley 2017 red · Washington · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kathryn Hall Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $137 $225 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| L'Ecole No 41 Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2017 red · Washington · 750 ml | $17.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Spinona Barbaresco Bricco Faset 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $20.93 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Spinona Barbaresco Secondine 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $22.43 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Latour Giraud Cuvee Carmen Pommard 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $38.53 $75.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lava Cap Cabernet Sauvignon Sierra Foothills 2020 red · 750 ml | $20.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Marquis de Calon Segur Saint Estephe 2021 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $26.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lightpost Winery Pinot Noir San Luis Obispo County Spanish Springs Vineyard Reserve 2019 red · Central Coast · 750 ml | $15.93 $57.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine des Heritiers Beaune Boucherottes 1er Cru Rouge 2021 red · 750 ml | $21.93 $75.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Gevrey Chambertin 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $27.43 $86.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maison Tardieu Laurent Chateauneuf du Pape Vieilles Vignes Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $19.43 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Martin Woods Tualatin Estate Vineyard Gamay Tualatin Hills 2021 red · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Meyer Grauerburgunder Loss Pfalz Trocken 2020 red · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml | $10.13 $33.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mollydooker Carnival Of Love Shiraz Australia 2021 red · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $23.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mollydooker Enchanted Path Shiraz Cabernet Sauvignon Australia 2021 red · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $23.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mollydooker The Boxer Shiraz Australia 2021 red · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Once and Future Petite Sirah Palisades Vineyard Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $19.93 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 48% premium | <1% |
| Orin Swift 8 Years in the Desert California 2021 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $14.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Plumpjack Estate Merlot Oakville 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Podere Brizio Brunello di Montalcino 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $20.93 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Portlandia Hyland Vineyard Pinot Noir McMinnville 2021 red · 750 ml | $10.43 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Provenance Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $8.93 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Renato Ratti Marcenasco 2020 red · 750 ml | $44.99 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 145% premium | <1% |
| Robert Mondavi Winery The Estates Red Blend Oakville Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $20.93 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rombauer Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $25.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| TOP SOURCE Winery Red Syrah Walla Walla Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Taub Family Vineyards Heritance Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $23.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Calling Single Vineyard Series Pinot Noir Terra de Promissio Sonoma Coast 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $22.43 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 83% premium | <1% |
| Vina Alicia Las Compuertas Malbec Mendoza 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Wine In Books Red Organic Spain 2021 red · 3000 ml | $14.93 $29.89 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Altesino Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Amisfield Estate Pinot Noir 2021 red · 750 ml | $22.19 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 50% premium | <1% |
| Aperture Cellars Red Sonoma County 2020 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $19.93 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Avignonesi Vino Nobile di Montepulciano 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $15.59 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bond Quella Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $400 $800 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bond St Eden Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $240 $800 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 443% premium | <1% |
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