Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley's Rows Pinot Noir North Coast 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| San Felice Campogiovanni Brunello di Montalcino 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $45.59 $75.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Silenus Winery Tyros Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $8.93 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 49% below | <1% |
| Silverado Vineyards Estate Grown Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $35.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Solena Estate Grand Cuvee Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $13.53 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Solena Estate Grande Cuvee Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Solena Estate Grande Cuvee Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stag's Leap Wine Cellars Winemaker Series Lot 2 Cabernet Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $42.03 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stags' Leap Merlot Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $13.93 $43.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stoller Family Estate Pinot Noir Dundee Hills 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stoller Winery Estate Pinot Noir Dundee Hills 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tendril Cellars Childs Play Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $7.93 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta Meraviglia Bolgheri 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $20.99 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenute Capaldo Goleto Greco di Tufo 2019 red · 750 ml | $25.43 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 383% premium | <1% |
| Trefethen Dragon's Tooth Red Wine Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vega Sicilia Alion 2020 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $86.99 $145 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Whitehall Leonardini Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $25.43 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Zenato Ripassa Valpolicella Superiore Ripasso 2020 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $16.19 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alexander Valley Vineyards Sin Zin Zinfandel Alexander Valley 2017 red · Sonoma · 1500 ml | $17.53 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Avennia Sestina Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $22.43 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 242% premium | <1% |
| Bootleg Red Wine Napa County 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Borgogno Barolo 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $41.99 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Broken Earth Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Reserve Paso Robles 2019 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $15.93 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cambria Estate Winery Julia's Vineyard Pinot Noir Santa Maria Valley 2022 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Carpineto Brunello di Montalcino 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $38.73 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castello di Meleto Chianti Classico Gran Selezione 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $22.53 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castello di Meleto Chianti Classico Riserva 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cellars Unio Tendral Seleccion Red Priorat 2018 red · Priorat · 750 ml | $8.93 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Haut Brion Pessac Leognan 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $464 $756 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 79% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Phelan Segur Saint Estephe 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $21.93 $70.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chevalier de la Cree Knights Templar Cuvee Pinot Noir Cote de Beaune 2018 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cliff Lede Rhythm Cabernet Sauvignon Stag's Leap District 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $75.03 $125 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Col d'Orcia Brunello di Montalcino 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Alex Moreau Chassagne Montrachet Rouge Vieilles Vignes 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $59.99 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Antonin Guyon La Justice Gevrey Chambertin 2018 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $22.43 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Chandon de Briailles Pernand Vergelesses 1er Cru Ile de Vergelesses 2018 red · 750 ml | $24.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Paul Pernot Puligny Montrachet 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $37.53 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dusted Valley Cabernet Sauvignon Valley Columbia Valley 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Formiga de Vellut Priorat 2020 red · Priorat · 750 ml | $7.93 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Georges Duboeuf Jean Ernest Descombes Morgon Cote du Puy 2020 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $8.93 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Greenock Creek Jaensch Block Shiraz Barossa Valley 2019 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $14.73 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Guarachi Family Wines Pinot Noir Sun Chase Vineyard Petaluma Gap Sonoma County 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $22.43 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 47% premium | <1% |
| Hindsight 20 20 Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Howell Mountain Vineyards Beatty Ranch Zinfandel Howell Mountain Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jolete Cabernet Sauvignon Wallula Vineyard Horse Heaven Hills 2017 red · Washington · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lucashof Pet Nat 2022 red · 750 ml | $9.53 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marcarini Barolo Brunate 2016 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $42.03 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marimar Estate La Masia Don Miguel Vineyard Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $16.23 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Melville Estate Syrah Sta. Rita Hills 2020 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $13.93 $43.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Milbrandt Vineyards The Estates Cabernet Sauvignon Wahluke Slope 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
1,601–1,650 of 2,413← PreviousNext →