Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beringer Private Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $170 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Clerc Milon Pauillac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $130 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Fonplegade Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $18.93 $60.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Grand Puy Lacoste Pauillac 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $29.93 $107 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 93% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Langoa Barton Saint Julien 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $19.43 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Leoville Barton Saint Julien 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $150 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Ste Michelle Red Mountain Cabernet Sauvignon 2017 red · Washington · 750 ml | $26.23 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau la Gaffeliere Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Diemersdal Pinotage Reserve Durbanville 2023 red · 750 ml | $15.73 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 49% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Drouhin Oregon Roserock Pinot Noir 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $11.93 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine FL Chamboureau Chenin Blanc Savennieres 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $22.19 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Laroche Les Vaudevey Chablis 1er Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $40.79 $67.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Leymarie Gevrey Chambertin La Justice 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $41.99 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine le Prieure des Papes Organic Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge Vieilles Vignes 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 29% premium | <1% |
| Duckhorn Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Howell Mountain Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $110 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Educated Guess Cabernet Sauvignon Napa County 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $16.19 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 16% premium | <1% |
| Fuligni SJ San Jocopo Toscana Rosso 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $10.43 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| GD Vajra Barolo Bricco Della Viole 2018 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| GD Vajra Barolo Ravera 2018 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Goldeneye Gowan Creek Pinot Noir Anderson Valley 2018 red · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | 102% premium | <1% |
| Groth Cabernet Sauvignon Reserve Oakville 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $160 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hall Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J J Prum Graacher Himmelreich Riesling Mosel Spatlese 2021 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $32.53 $63.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J J Prum Wehlener Sonnenuhr Riesling Mosel Auslese 2021 white · Mosel · 375 ml | $15.23 $50.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J J Prum Wehlener Sonnenuhr Riesling Mosel Kabinett 2021 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $32.53 $63.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J J Prum Zeltinger Sonnenuhr Riesling Mosel Auslese 2021 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $43.73 $71.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 25% premium | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Ladoix Le Clou D'Orge 2021 red · 750 ml | $46.43 $61.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Masi Costasera Amarone della Valpolicella Riserva 2016 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Orin Swift Mercury Head Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $130 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Plumpjack Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $160 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Soter Vineyards Estates Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $15.93 $51.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta Meraviglia Bolgheri Rosso 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Trimbach Reserve Pinot Noir Alsace 2022 red · Alsace · 750 ml | $16.79 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 36% below | <1% |
| William Knuttel Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 107% premium | <1% |
| Allegrini Amarone della Valpolicella Classico 2017 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $84.99 | 0.0% | — | 95% premium | <1% |
| Bedrock Old Vine Zinfandel 2022 red · 750 ml | $16.79 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castello dei Rampolla Sammarco Toscana Rosso 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $96.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Beaumont Haut Medoc 2021 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $13.93 $43.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Cos D'Estournel Saint Estephe Rouge 2019 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $480 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau D'Yquem Sauternes 2020 dessert · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $550 | 0.0% | — | 80% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Lafite Rothschild Pauillac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $800 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Margaux Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $1,350 | 0.0% | — | 89% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Margaux Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $700 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Montelena Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley Estate 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $137 $225 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 114% premium | <1% |
| Chateau de Chantegrive Cuvee Caroline Graves Blanc 2018 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau de Saint Cosme Gigondas 2021 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $35.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Crossbarn by Paul Hobbs Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $10.33 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dievole Vigna Di Sessina Chianti Classico Gran Selezione 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $20.93 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de la Pauline Sancerre Blanc 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $7.93 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine du Vieux Telegraphe Telegramme Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2021 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
1,551–1,600 of 3,189← PreviousNext →