Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Beringer Private Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$170 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Clerc Milon Pauillac 2018
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$130 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Fonplegade Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2021
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$18.93 $60.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Grand Puy Lacoste Pauillac 2021
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$29.93 $107 Clearance 0.0%—93% premium<1%
Chateau Langoa Barton Saint Julien 2021
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$19.43 $64.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Leoville Barton Saint Julien 2018
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$150 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Ste Michelle Red Mountain Cabernet Sauvignon 2017
red · Washington · 750 ml
$26.23 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau la Gaffeliere Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2018
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$99.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Diemersdal Pinotage Reserve Durbanville 2023
red · 750 ml
$15.73 $26.99 Clearance 0.0%—49% premium<1%
Domaine Drouhin Oregon Roserock Pinot Noir 2021
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$11.93 $41.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine FL Chamboureau Chenin Blanc Savennieres 2020
white · Loire · 750 ml
$22.19 $36.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Laroche Les Vaudevey Chablis 1er Cru 2022
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$40.79 $67.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Leymarie Gevrey Chambertin La Justice 2022
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$41.99 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine le Prieure des Papes Organic Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge Vieilles Vignes 2020
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$29.99 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—29% premium<1%
Duckhorn Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Howell Mountain Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$110 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Educated Guess Cabernet Sauvignon Napa County 2022
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$16.19 $26.99 Clearance 0.0%—16% premium<1%
Fuligni SJ San Jocopo Toscana Rosso 2019
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$10.43 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
GD Vajra Barolo Bricco Della Viole 2018
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$99.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
GD Vajra Barolo Ravera 2018
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$99.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Goldeneye Gowan Creek Pinot Noir Anderson Valley 2018
red · 750 ml
$89.99 0.0%—102% premium<1%
Groth Cabernet Sauvignon Reserve Oakville 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$160 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Hall Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$17.93 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
J J Prum Graacher Himmelreich Riesling Mosel Spatlese 2021
white · Mosel · 750 ml
$32.53 $63.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
J J Prum Wehlener Sonnenuhr Riesling Mosel Auslese 2021
white · Mosel · 375 ml
$15.23 $50.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
J J Prum Wehlener Sonnenuhr Riesling Mosel Kabinett 2021
white · Mosel · 750 ml
$32.53 $63.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
J J Prum Zeltinger Sonnenuhr Riesling Mosel Auslese 2021
white · Mosel · 750 ml
$43.73 $71.99 Clearance 0.0%—25% premium<1%
Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Ladoix Le Clou D'Orge 2021
red · 750 ml
$46.43 $61.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Masi Costasera Amarone della Valpolicella Riserva 2016
red · Veneto · 750 ml
$79.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Orin Swift Mercury Head Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$130 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Plumpjack Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$160 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Soter Vineyards Estates Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$15.93 $51.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Tenuta Meraviglia Bolgheri Rosso 2019
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$9.93 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Trimbach Reserve Pinot Noir Alsace 2022
red · Alsace · 750 ml
$16.79 $27.99 Clearance 0.0%—36% below<1%
William Knuttel Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$17.93 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—107% premium<1%
Allegrini Amarone della Valpolicella Classico 2017
red · Veneto · 750 ml
$84.99 0.0%—95% premium<1%
Bedrock Old Vine Zinfandel 2022
red · 750 ml
$16.79 $27.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Castello dei Rampolla Sammarco Toscana Rosso 2016
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$96.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Beaumont Haut Medoc 2021
red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml
$13.93 $43.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Cos D'Estournel Saint Estephe Rouge 2019
red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml
$480 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau D'Yquem Sauternes 2020
dessert · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$550 0.0%—80% premium<1%
Chateau Lafite Rothschild Pauillac 2019
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$800 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Margaux Margaux 2019
red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml
$1,350 0.0%—89% premium<1%
Chateau Margaux Margaux 2019
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$700 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Montelena Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley Estate 2019
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$137 $225 Clearance 0.0%—114% premium<1%
Chateau de Chantegrive Cuvee Caroline Graves Blanc 2018
white · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$29.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau de Saint Cosme Gigondas 2021
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$35.73 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Crossbarn by Paul Hobbs Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2019
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$10.33 $36.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Dievole Vigna Di Sessina Chianti Classico Gran Selezione 2019
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$20.93 $74.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine de la Pauline Sancerre Blanc 2023
white · Loire · 750 ml
$7.93 $28.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine du Vieux Telegraphe Telegramme Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2021
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$17.93 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
1,551–1,600 of 3,189← PreviousNext →