Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Robert Keenan Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$48.43 $63.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Sea Smoke Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills Ten 2022
red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml
$83.43 $111 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Tenuta Le Colonne Bolgheri Rosso 2018
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$27.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Tenuta San Guido Guidalberto Bolgheri Rosso 2020
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$69.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Tenuta delle Terre Nere Etna Rosato 2021
rosé · Sicily · 750 ml
$27.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
The Mascot Red Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$180 0.0%—324% premium<1%
Villa al Cortile Brunello di Montalcino 2019
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$23.99 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Wente Vineyards Nth Degree Merlot Livermore Valley 2018
red · 750 ml
$34.99 0.0%—97% premium<1%
Whitehall Tre Leoni Red Blend Napa Valley 2019
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$10.43 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Airfield Estates Runway Red Blend Yakima Valley 2019
red · Washington · 750 ml
$9.93 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—82% premium<1%
Albino Rocca Vigna Loreto Barbaresco Ovello 2021
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$41.99 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Arterberry Maresh Pinot Noir Dundee Hills 2018
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$14.03 $27.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%55% below<1%
Big Table Farm Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2020
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$15.93 $51.99 Clearance 0.0%—123% premium<1%
Bodegas Ondalan Reserva Rioja 2017
red · Rioja · 750 ml
$17.99 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Fonplegade Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$17.93 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Grand Puy Ducasse Pauillac 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$17.93 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Labegorce Margaux 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$14.33 $47.99 Clearance 0.0%—52% below<1%
Chateau Lafon Rochet Saint Estephe 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$17.93 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Larrivet Haut Brion Pessac Leognan Rouge 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$16.43 $54.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Maillet Pomerol 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$15.83 $52.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau la Cabanne Pomerol 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$16.93 $56.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
DeLille Cellars D2 Red Blend Columbia Valley 2017
red · Washington · 750 ml
$19.03 $37.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Parent Selection Pomone Bourgogne Pinot Noir 2022
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$19.43 $64.99 Clearance 0.0%—65% premium<1%
Domaine William Fevre Bougros Chablis Grand Cru 2022
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$110 $184 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Dr Loosen Erdener Treppchen Riesling Kabinett 2020
white · 750 ml
$27.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Frescobaldi Castelgiocondo Brunello Di Montalcino 2018
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$44.93 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Groth Cabernet Sauvignon Reserve Napa Valley 2021
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$115 $185 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Hamilton Russell Vineyards Pinot Noir Walker Bay 2019
red · 750 ml
$49.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Hess Collection Iron Corral Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$21.93 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Jarvis Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2015
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$220 0.0%—75% premium<1%
Jordan Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2019
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$35.99 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Joseph Phelps Insignia Red Blend Napa Valley 2021
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$219 $365 Clearance 0.0%—343% premium<1%
Karine Lauverjat Sancerre Rouge 2022
white · Loire · 750 ml
$16.19 $26.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
King Estate Willamette Valley Brut Cuvee 2017
sparkling · Oregon · 750 ml
$11.73 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
La Reserve de Malartic Pessac Leognan Rouge 2018
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$22.79 $37.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Marietta Cellars Game Trail Cabernet Sauvignon Yorkville Highlands 2018
red · 750 ml
$37.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Marietta Cellars Syrah Gibson Block McDowell Valley 2018
red · 750 ml
$37.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Merus Estate Bottled Cabernet Sauvignon Coombsville Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$170 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Mirafiore Barolo 2018
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$35.73 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Moet et Chandon Grand Vintage Champagne Rose 2015
sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml
$68.99 $115 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Neal Family Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$20.93 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Paola Sordo Barolo 2017
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$27.99 0.0%—63% below<1%
Pierre Sparr Schoenenbourg Riesling Alsace Grand Cru 2020
white · Alsace · 750 ml
$28.79 $47.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Sea Slopes Pinot Noir Fort Ross Sonoma Coast 2019
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$9.93 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Serego Alighieri Vaio Amarone della Valpolicella Classico 2013
red · Veneto · 750 ml
$89.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Siduri Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2020
red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml
$9.93 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Solena Estate Hyland Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2020
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$11.93 $41.99 Clearance 0.0%—66% premium<1%
WT Vintners Damavian Syrah Les Collines Walla Walla Valley 2017
red · Washington · 750 ml
$17.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Whitehall Lane Merlot Napa Valley 2019
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$11.93 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
AR Pepe Valtellina Superiore Grumello Rocca de Piro 2017
red · 750 ml
$17.93 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
1,501–1,550 of 3,189← PreviousNext →