Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Keenan Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $48.43 $63.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sea Smoke Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills Ten 2022 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $83.43 $111 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta Le Colonne Bolgheri Rosso 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta San Guido Guidalberto Bolgheri Rosso 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta delle Terre Nere Etna Rosato 2021 rosé · Sicily · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Mascot Red Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $180 | 0.0% | — | 324% premium | <1% |
| Villa al Cortile Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $23.99 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Wente Vineyards Nth Degree Merlot Livermore Valley 2018 red · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | 97% premium | <1% |
| Whitehall Tre Leoni Red Blend Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $10.43 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Airfield Estates Runway Red Blend Yakima Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 82% premium | <1% |
| Albino Rocca Vigna Loreto Barbaresco Ovello 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $41.99 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Arterberry Maresh Pinot Noir Dundee Hills 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $14.03 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 55% below | <1% |
| Big Table Farm Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2020 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $15.93 $51.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 123% premium | <1% |
| Bodegas Ondalan Reserva Rioja 2017 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Fonplegade Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Grand Puy Ducasse Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Labegorce Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.33 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 52% below | <1% |
| Chateau Lafon Rochet Saint Estephe 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Larrivet Haut Brion Pessac Leognan Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $16.43 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Maillet Pomerol 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $15.83 $52.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau la Cabanne Pomerol 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $16.93 $56.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| DeLille Cellars D2 Red Blend Columbia Valley 2017 red · Washington · 750 ml | $19.03 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Parent Selection Pomone Bourgogne Pinot Noir 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $19.43 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 65% premium | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Bougros Chablis Grand Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $110 $184 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dr Loosen Erdener Treppchen Riesling Kabinett 2020 white · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frescobaldi Castelgiocondo Brunello Di Montalcino 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $44.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Groth Cabernet Sauvignon Reserve Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $115 $185 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hamilton Russell Vineyards Pinot Noir Walker Bay 2019 red · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hess Collection Iron Corral Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $21.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jarvis Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2015 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $220 | 0.0% | — | 75% premium | <1% |
| Jordan Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $35.99 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joseph Phelps Insignia Red Blend Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $219 $365 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 343% premium | <1% |
| Karine Lauverjat Sancerre Rouge 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $16.19 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| King Estate Willamette Valley Brut Cuvee 2017 sparkling · Oregon · 750 ml | $11.73 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Reserve de Malartic Pessac Leognan Rouge 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $22.79 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marietta Cellars Game Trail Cabernet Sauvignon Yorkville Highlands 2018 red · 750 ml | $37.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marietta Cellars Syrah Gibson Block McDowell Valley 2018 red · 750 ml | $37.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Merus Estate Bottled Cabernet Sauvignon Coombsville Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $170 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mirafiore Barolo 2018 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $35.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Moet et Chandon Grand Vintage Champagne Rose 2015 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $68.99 $115 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Neal Family Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Paola Sordo Barolo 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | 63% below | <1% |
| Pierre Sparr Schoenenbourg Riesling Alsace Grand Cru 2020 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $28.79 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sea Slopes Pinot Noir Fort Ross Sonoma Coast 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Serego Alighieri Vaio Amarone della Valpolicella Classico 2013 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Siduri Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2020 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Solena Estate Hyland Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2020 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $11.93 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 66% premium | <1% |
| WT Vintners Damavian Syrah Les Collines Walla Walla Valley 2017 red · Washington · 750 ml | $17.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Whitehall Lane Merlot Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $11.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| AR Pepe Valtellina Superiore Grumello Rocca de Piro 2017 red · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
1,501–1,550 of 3,189← PreviousNext →