Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Three Thieves Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.29 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +12% if it rises |
| Three Thieves Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.29 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | 7% below | 9% typically +12% if it rises |
| Allegrini Palazzo della Torre Veronese Rosso red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $21.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +4% if it rises |
| 19 Crimes Liquid Death Severed Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +8% if it rises |
| Bogle Vineyards Heritage Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +8% if it rises |
| Raeburn Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma County red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Raeburn Pinot Noir Russian River Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| 19 Crimes Cali Sweet Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +8% if it rises |
| Jug and Barrel Red Blend Bourbon Barrel Aged red · 1000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +8% if it rises |
| Mumm Napa Cuvee M red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | ▼ 12.7% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Silver Oak Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $89.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Rudolph's Red Cabernet Sauvignon Stocking red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $39.99 | — | — | 90% premium | 8% typically +6% if it rises |
| Yellow Tail Cabernet Sauvignon 2x1.5L Multipack red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +4% if it rises |
| Stationmaster Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.79 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Fresco di Masi Verona Rosso Biologico red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +6% if it rises |
| HER Shiraz Western Cape South Africa red · Western Cape · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +6% if it rises |
| Cote Mas Pays d'Oc Red red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 1000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | 28% premium | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Cune Crianza Rioja Alta Tinto red · Rioja · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Lolea Red Sangria red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Ogier Artesis Cotes du Rhone Rouge red · Rhone · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Santa Carolina Anniversary 150 Years Red Blend Chile red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Briganti Montepulciano d'Abruzzo red · Abruzzo · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Cooper and Thief Cellarmasters Red Wine Blend Aged in Bourbon Barrels red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.4% | 26% premium | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Aravail Pinot Noir Central Coast red · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | — | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Black Box Deep and Dark Cabernet red · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 $5.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +9% if it rises |
| Daou Vineyards The Pessimist Red Blend Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $25.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +8% if it rises |
| 19 Crimes Cali Chill Chillable Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +8% if it rises |
| Banfi Centine Toscana Rosso red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +12% if it rises |
| Ho Ho Ho Cabernet Sauvignon Screen Printed Bottle red · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | — | — | 42% below | 8% typically +8% if it rises |
| Quail Oak Red Blend California red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.22 | — | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +13% if it rises |
| Limited Lot Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | — | — | 34% below | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Piccini Chianti Orange Label red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Volver Paso a Paso MWOG Tempranillo red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Beringer Bros Red Blend Bourbon Barrel Aged red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.9% | 4% premium | 8% typically +9% if it rises |
| Monnalisa Sangiovese di Romagna Superiore red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | — | — | 57% premium | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Bottega Fragolino Rosso Italy red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Hazlitt 1852 Vineyards Red Cat Dark Seneca Lake red · Finger Lakes · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $11.99 Sale | ▲ 9.1% | ▲ 33.4% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +6% if it rises |
| Robert Mondavi Private Selection Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | ▼ 7.7% | ▼ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Robert Mondavi Private Selection Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | ▼ 7.7% | ▼ 7.7% | 22% below | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Robert Mondavi Private Selection Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | ▼ 7.7% | ▼ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| 19 Crimes Cali Smooth Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +8% if it rises |
| Christopher Michael Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Chronic Cellars Sir Real Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| San Felice Chianti Classico red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | 27% below | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Chateau Ste Michelle Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▼ 5.6% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Chateau Ste Michelle Merlot Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▼ 5.6% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Jaqk Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 41% below | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Josh Cellars Reserve Bourbon Barrel Zinfandel red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.89 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +4% if it rises |
| Johnson Estate Lake Effect Red red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Black Stallion Cabernet Sauvignon North Coast red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $25.49 | ▲ 2.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
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