Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change

2.8%

of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move

How well the model spots upcoming price rises

0.891 next quarter

0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.

Model

hgbq-20260928-160312

Trained on data through 2026-07-01

All styles Red White Rosé Sparkling Dessert

All prices Under $25 $25–75 $75+

Wine	Shelf price	1yr History	5yr History	vs fair price	Chance of a rise within a year
Chateau Mukhrani Rkatsiteli Kartli 2018 red · 750 ml	$11.03 $21.99 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Mukhrani Saperavi Kartli 2018 red · 750 ml	$21.99	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Mukhrani Saperavi Tbilisi 2017 red · 750 ml	$21.99	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Musar Gaston Hochar Bekaa Valley Lebanon Rouge 2018 red · 750 ml	$74.99	0.0%	—	190% premium	1%
Chateau Musar Hochar Bekaa Valley Lebanon Rouge 2020 red · 750 ml	$37.99	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	1%
Chateau Noaillac Medoc 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$10.43 $13.99 Clearance	0.0%	—	54% below	<1%
Chateau Olivier Pessac Leognan Rouge 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$33.73 $44.99 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Olivier Pessac Leognan Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$12.43 $44.99 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Olivier Pessac Leognan Rouge 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$47.99	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	1%
Chateau Olivier Pessac Leognan Rouge 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$51.99	—	—	Fairly priced	4%
Chateau Olivier Pessac Leognan Rouge Magnum 2018 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml	$99.99	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Ormes de Pez Saint Estephe 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$20.53 $42.99 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Ormes de Pez Saint Estephe 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$12.43 $44.99 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Ormes de Pez Saint Estephe 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$39.99	▲ 37.9%	—	Fairly priced	3%
Chateau Ormes de Pez Saint Estephe 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$45.99	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	1%
Chateau Pagnac Saint Emilion 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$19.99	0.0%	—	64% below	<1%
Chateau Paillet Quancard Cadillac Cotes de Bordeaux Rouge 2019 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml	$12.53 $24.99 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Paillet Quancard Cadillac Cotes de Bordeaux Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml	$6.93 $24.99 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Palmer Alter Ego Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$99.99	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Palmer Alter Ego Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$120	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Palmer Alter Ego Margaux 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$35.93 $120 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Palmer Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$200 $350 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Palmer Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$150 $500 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Palmer Margaux 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$150 $500 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Palmer Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$600	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	1%
Chateau Paloumey Cru Bourgeois Haut Medoc 2016 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$29.99	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Paloumey Organic Cru Bourgeois Haut Medoc 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$8.93 $29.99 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Pape Clement Pessac Leognan Rouge 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$40.73 $143 Clearance	0.0%	0.0%	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Pape Clement Pessac Leognan Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$80.99 $135 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Paul Mas Clos des Mures Languedoc 2023 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml	$22.99	—	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Paveil de Luze Margaux 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$39.99	0.0%	—	59% below	<1%
Chateau Paveil de Luze Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$32.99	0.0%	—	65% below	<1%
Chateau Paveil de Luze Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$32.99	0.0%	—	67% below	1%
Chateau Pavie Esprit de Pavie Bordeaux Rouge 2015 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$34.99	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Pavie Macquin Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$38.93 $130 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Pavie Macquin Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$36.93 $121 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Pavie Macquin Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$145	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	2%
Chateau Pavie Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$250 $500 Clearance	0.0%	—	139% premium	<1%
Chateau Pavie Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$150 $500 Clearance	0.0%	—	133% premium	<1%
Chateau Pavie Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$700	▲ 16.7%	—	217% premium	1%
Chateau Pedesclaux Pauillac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$74.99	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Pedesclaux Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$46.73 $62.99 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Pedesclaux Pauillac 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$17.93 $59.99 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Pedesclaux Pauillac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$69.99	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	2%
Chateau Pedesclaux Pauillac 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$65.99	—	—	Fairly priced	1%
Chateau Pegau Cuvee Maclura Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml	$17.99	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Pegau Cuvee Maclura Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml	$14.23 $18.99 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Pegau Cuvee Maclura Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2021 red · Rhone · 750 ml	$5.63 $18.99 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Pesquie Edition 1912M Ventoux Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml	$4.93 $16.99 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Phelan Segur Saint Estephe 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$79.99	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	1%

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