Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change

2.8%

of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move

How well the model spots upcoming price rises

0.891 next quarter

0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.

Model

hgbq-20260928-160312

Trained on data through 2026-07-01

All styles Red White Rosé Sparkling Dessert

All prices Under $25 $25–75 $75+

Wine	Shelf price	1yr History	5yr History	vs fair price	Chance of a rise within a year
Chateau Lynch Bages Pauillac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$151	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Lynch Bages Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$59.93 $200 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Lynch Bages Pauillac 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$55.43 $185 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Lynch Bages Pauillac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$220	0.0%	—	104% premium	1%
Chateau Lynch Moussas Pauillac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$59.99	0.0%	0.0%	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Lynch Moussas Pauillac 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$61.99	—	—	Fairly priced	2%
Chateau Lyonnat Lussac Saint Emilion 2015 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$27.99	0.0%	0.0%	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Lyonnat Lussac Saint Emilion 2016 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$5.93 $21.99 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Maillet Pomerol 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$15.83 $52.99 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Malartic Lagraviere Pessac Leognan Rouge 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$64.99	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	1%
Chateau Malartic Lagraviere Pessac Leognan Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$20.93 $69.99 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Malbec Bordeaux Rouge 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$4.93 $14.99 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Malescot Saint Exupery Margaux 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$89.99	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	1%
Chateau Malescot Saint Exupery Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$72.99	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Malescot Saint Exupery Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$26.93 $89.99 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Malescot Saint Exupery Margaux 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$23.93 $79.99 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Malescot Saint Exupery Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$99.99	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	1%
Chateau Margaux Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml	$1,350	0.0%	—	89% premium	<1%
Chateau Margaux Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$700	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Margaux Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$500 $900 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Margaux Margaux 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$192 $640 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Margaux Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$1,000	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	1%
Chateau Maucaillou Moulis en Medoc 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$39.99	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Mayne Guyon Blaye Cotes de Bordeaux Rouge 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$9.99	0.0%	—	31% below	<1%
Chateau Mazeyres Pomerol 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$14.93 $49.99 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Meyney Saint Estephe 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$41.99	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	1%
Chateau Meyney Saint Estephe 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$14.43 $46.99 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Meyney Saint Estephe 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$41.99	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	1%
Chateau Meyney Saint Estephe 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$49.99	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	1%
Chateau Meyney Saint Estephe 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$46.99	—	—	Fairly priced	4%
Chateau Monbousquet Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$79.99	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	1%
Chateau Mont Redon Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge red · Rhone · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed	$54.99	▲ 5.8%	▲ 10.0%	Fairly priced	4%
Chateau Montelena Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml	$84.99	0.0%	—	55% below	<1%
Chateau Montelena Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml	$53.99 $89.99 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Montelena Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley Estate 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml	$137 $225 Clearance	0.0%	—	114% premium	<1%
Chateau Montelena Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Calistoga Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml	$102 $170 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Montelena Estate Cabernet Sauvigon Calistoga Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml	$170	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Montrose La Dame de Montrose Saint Estephe 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$38.93 $64.99 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Montrose La Dame de Montrose Saint Estephe 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$17.93 $59.99 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Montrose Saint Estephe 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$125 $250 Clearance	0.0%	—	168% premium	<1%
Chateau Montrose Saint Estephe 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$110 $220 Clearance	0.0%	—	150% premium	<1%
Chateau Montrose Saint Estephe 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$80.93 $270 Clearance	0.0%	—	197% premium	<1%
Chateau Montrose Saint Estephe 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$300	0.0%	—	192% premium	1%
Chateau Mouton Rothschild Pauillac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml	$1,050 $1,400 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Mouton Rothschild Pauillac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$480 $800 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Mouton Rothschild Pauillac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$200 $700 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Mouton Rothschild Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$900	0.0%	—	30% premium	<1%
Chateau Mouton Rothschild Pauillac 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$510 $850 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%
Chateau Mouton Rothschild Pauillac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml	$1,100	▲ 10.0%	—	54% premium	2%
Chateau Mukhrani Goruli Mtsvane Kartli 2019 red · 750 ml	$11.03 $21.99 Clearance	0.0%	—	Fairly priced	<1%

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