Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sea Slopes Pinot Noir Fort Ross Sonoma Coast 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Blason d'Issan Margaux 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $47.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cambria Estate Winery Katherine's Vineyard Chardonnay Santa Maria Valley 2022 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Carlo Rossi Pink Moscato Sangria white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 | ▲ 9.1% | ▲ 33.4% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Barde Haut Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $56.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Leoville Barton Saint Julien 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $41.93 $140 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Saint Florin Bordeaux Blanc 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Les Escondudes Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $23.99 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Duckhorn Vineyards Chardonnay Decoy Limited Sonoma Coast white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▼ 10.7% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| El Galayo Garnacha Cebreros 2023 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Intensus Branco Alentejo Reserva 2020 white · 750 ml | $3.53 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Franc Couplet Bordeaux Superieur 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $7.19 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Flaneur Chardonnay La Belle Promenade Chehalem Mountains 2020 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Trinquevedel Tavel Rose 2023 rosé · Rhone · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Taylor Dry Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 28.6% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| The Retreat Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Turk Gruner Veltliner Kremser Weinberge 2022 white · 750 ml | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cakebread Family Bezel Pinot Noir 2024 red · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Mazeyres Pomerol 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Wild Fighter Pinot Noir Russian River Valley Family Estate 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Celene Amethyste Cremant de Bordeaux Brut Blanc de Noirs sparkling · Bordeaux · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 19% typically +5% if it rises |
| Cribari Cellars Chianti red · Tuscany · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 30.8% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Fullerton Five FACES Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2016 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $14.03 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Matthews Winery Blackboard Red Wine Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pommery Brut Royal Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $37.43 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Vina Diezmo CR Crianza Rioja 2019 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $10.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Duplin Hatteras Red Sweet Muscadine red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Giuliano Rosati Pinot Grigio Fruili white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.63 $9.39 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| One Stone Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2020 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $14.13 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Condes de Albarei Albarino Rias Baixas 2021 white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $9.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Familia Chavarri Larchago Reserva Rioja 2016 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| North by Northwest Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2016 red · Washington · 750 ml | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vineyard 29 Ceanda Cabernet Sauvignon St Helena Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $65.03 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Winecube Bubbles White Sparkling California 4x250 mL sparkling · California Central Valley · 1000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Arnold Palmer Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.74 $17.49 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Renato Ratti Marcenasco Barolo 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Leoville Poyferre Saint Julien 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $160 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Quinta do Crasto Douro Superior 2016 red · Douro · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Teixadal de Casaio Treixadura Ribeiro 2020 red · 750 ml | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Avissi Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.45 $10.91 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cockburn's Port Special Reserve dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.79 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.2% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Domaine Durieu Lucile Avril Chateauneuf du Pape 2022 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Paul Autard Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ottosoldi Gavi 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Myth of Motu Nui Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Blue Rock Vineyard Baby Blue Red Blend Sonoma County 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| David Finlayson Chardonnay Stellenbosch 2023 white · Western Cape · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| GD Vajra Langhe Nebbiolo 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $15.83 $52.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stuhlmuller Vineyards Chardonnay Alexander Valley 2023 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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