Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cielo Centenero Amarone della Valpolicella 2018 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| DAOU Vineyards and Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Reserve Paso Robles 2020 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cocobon Vineyards Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.19 $10.39 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Paul Pernot Les Chalumaux Puligny Montrachet 1er Cru 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta Degli Dei Le Redini Toscana 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Langoa Barton Saint Julien 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $19.43 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos Pegase Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley Estate Bottled 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Thenard Les Bois Cheveaux Givry 1er Cru 2018 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $37.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| House Wine Mountain Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Barrelaia Prima Collezione Orvieto Classico 2025 red · 750 ml | $10.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Domaine Lensiome Gigondas Rouge 2022 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ferrari Carano Dominique Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2021 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fess Parker Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2022 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $9.93 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pol Roger Rose Champagne 2018 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $120 $130 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Rivallana Rioja Reserva 2016 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vistalba Tomero Malbec Mendoza 2023 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Leoville Barton Saint Julien 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $140 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Clos du val Hirondelle Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $35.73 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Roederer Brut Champagne 2016 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $110 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Scandalous One Cabernet Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.79 $15.59 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Segura Viudas Cava Organic Brut sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.73 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Legado del Moncayo Vendimia Seleccionada Montana Campo De Borja 2020 red · 750 ml | $2.93 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pio Cesare Barolo red · Piedmont · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $69.99 | ▲ 6.9% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| E Guigal Saint Joseph Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| 3 Castas Reserva 2023 red · 750 ml | $11.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Haut Bages Liberal Pauillac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Olivier Ravoire Caparacon Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $27.93 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Palmaris Cabernet Sauvignon Reserve Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Camille Cayran La Grande Reserve Cru Cairanne 2022 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $14.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Moet et Chandon Grand Vintage Champagne Rose 2013 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $74.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Whitehall Lane Pinot Noir Sonoma Stage Vineyard Petaluma Gap 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dow's Tawny Porto 10 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $38.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 21.9% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Flora Springs Trilogy Red Wine Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jim Barry The Cover Drive Cabernet Sauvignon Coonwarra 2020 red · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Colombina Brunello di Montalcino 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $23.99 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Quinta Do Vallado LBV Porto 2018 dessert · Douro · 750 ml | $9.53 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cakebread Family Bezel Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2022 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $24.99 $26.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Meyney Saint Estephe 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.43 $46.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| North By Northwest Cabernet Walla Walla Valley 2016 red · Washington · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Whitehall Lane Pinot Noir Sonoma Stage Vineyard Petaluma Gap 2020 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alexander Valley Vineyards Syrah Alexander Valley 2020 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pavie Macquin Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $38.93 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Durieu Lucile Avril Chateauneuf du Pape 2021 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $9.93 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Franzia Rose rosé · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.49 $4.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Royal Oporto Tawny Porto 20 Year Old Gift Set dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $39.59 $65.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Groth Chardonnay Hillview Vineyard Napa Valley 2019 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Taken Red Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bel Colle Nuwanda Barbera d'Asti Superiore 2023 sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml | $11.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pera Doce Premium Tinto Alentejano 2021 red · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco 2018 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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