Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frescobaldi Castelgiocondo Brunello Di Montalcino 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $44.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Groth Cabernet Sauvignon Reserve Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $115 $185 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hamilton Russell Vineyards Pinot Noir Walker Bay 2019 red · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hess Collection Iron Corral Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $21.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jarvis Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2015 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $220 | 0.0% | — | 75% premium | <1% |
| Jordan Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $35.99 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joseph Phelps Insignia Red Blend Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $219 $365 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 343% premium | <1% |
| La Reserve de Malartic Pessac Leognan Rouge 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $22.79 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marietta Cellars Game Trail Cabernet Sauvignon Yorkville Highlands 2018 red · 750 ml | $37.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marietta Cellars Syrah Gibson Block McDowell Valley 2018 red · 750 ml | $37.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Merus Estate Bottled Cabernet Sauvignon Coombsville Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $170 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mirafiore Barolo 2018 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $35.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Neal Family Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Paola Sordo Barolo 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | 63% below | <1% |
| Sea Slopes Pinot Noir Fort Ross Sonoma Coast 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Serego Alighieri Vaio Amarone della Valpolicella Classico 2013 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Siduri Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2020 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Solena Estate Hyland Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2020 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $11.93 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 66% premium | <1% |
| WT Vintners Damavian Syrah Les Collines Walla Walla Valley 2017 red · Washington · 750 ml | $17.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Whitehall Lane Merlot Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $11.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| AR Pepe Valtellina Superiore Grumello Rocca de Piro 2017 red · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beringer Private Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $170 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Clerc Milon Pauillac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $130 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Fonplegade Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $18.93 $60.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Grand Puy Lacoste Pauillac 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $29.93 $107 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 93% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Langoa Barton Saint Julien 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $19.43 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Leoville Barton Saint Julien 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $150 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Ste Michelle Red Mountain Cabernet Sauvignon 2017 red · Washington · 750 ml | $26.23 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau la Gaffeliere Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Diemersdal Pinotage Reserve Durbanville 2023 red · 750 ml | $15.73 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 49% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Drouhin Oregon Roserock Pinot Noir 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $11.93 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Leymarie Gevrey Chambertin La Justice 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $41.99 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine le Prieure des Papes Organic Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge Vieilles Vignes 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 29% premium | <1% |
| Duckhorn Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Howell Mountain Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $110 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Educated Guess Cabernet Sauvignon Napa County 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $16.19 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 16% premium | <1% |
| Fuligni SJ San Jocopo Toscana Rosso 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $10.43 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| GD Vajra Barolo Bricco Della Viole 2018 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| GD Vajra Barolo Ravera 2018 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Goldeneye Gowan Creek Pinot Noir Anderson Valley 2018 red · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | 102% premium | <1% |
| Groth Cabernet Sauvignon Reserve Oakville 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $160 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hall Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Ladoix Le Clou D'Orge 2021 red · 750 ml | $46.43 $61.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Masi Costasera Amarone della Valpolicella Riserva 2016 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Orin Swift Mercury Head Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $130 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Plumpjack Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $160 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Soter Vineyards Estates Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $15.93 $51.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta Meraviglia Bolgheri Rosso 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Trimbach Reserve Pinot Noir Alsace 2022 red · Alsace · 750 ml | $16.79 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 36% below | <1% |
| William Knuttel Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 107% premium | <1% |
| Allegrini Amarone della Valpolicella Classico 2017 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $84.99 | 0.0% | — | 95% premium | <1% |
1,151–1,200 of 2,413← PreviousNext →