Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Frescobaldi Castelgiocondo Brunello Di Montalcino 2018
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$44.93 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Groth Cabernet Sauvignon Reserve Napa Valley 2021
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$115 $185 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Hamilton Russell Vineyards Pinot Noir Walker Bay 2019
red · 750 ml
$49.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Hess Collection Iron Corral Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$21.93 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Jarvis Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2015
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$220 0.0%—75% premium<1%
Jordan Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2019
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$35.99 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Joseph Phelps Insignia Red Blend Napa Valley 2021
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$219 $365 Clearance 0.0%—343% premium<1%
La Reserve de Malartic Pessac Leognan Rouge 2018
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$22.79 $37.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Marietta Cellars Game Trail Cabernet Sauvignon Yorkville Highlands 2018
red · 750 ml
$37.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Marietta Cellars Syrah Gibson Block McDowell Valley 2018
red · 750 ml
$37.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Merus Estate Bottled Cabernet Sauvignon Coombsville Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$170 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Mirafiore Barolo 2018
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$35.73 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Neal Family Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$20.93 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Paola Sordo Barolo 2017
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$27.99 0.0%—63% below<1%
Sea Slopes Pinot Noir Fort Ross Sonoma Coast 2019
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$9.93 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Serego Alighieri Vaio Amarone della Valpolicella Classico 2013
red · Veneto · 750 ml
$89.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Siduri Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2020
red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml
$9.93 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Solena Estate Hyland Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2020
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$11.93 $41.99 Clearance 0.0%—66% premium<1%
WT Vintners Damavian Syrah Les Collines Walla Walla Valley 2017
red · Washington · 750 ml
$17.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Whitehall Lane Merlot Napa Valley 2019
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$11.93 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
AR Pepe Valtellina Superiore Grumello Rocca de Piro 2017
red · 750 ml
$17.93 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Beringer Private Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$170 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Clerc Milon Pauillac 2018
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$130 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Fonplegade Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2021
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$18.93 $60.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Grand Puy Lacoste Pauillac 2021
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$29.93 $107 Clearance 0.0%—93% premium<1%
Chateau Langoa Barton Saint Julien 2021
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$19.43 $64.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Leoville Barton Saint Julien 2018
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$150 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Ste Michelle Red Mountain Cabernet Sauvignon 2017
red · Washington · 750 ml
$26.23 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau la Gaffeliere Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2018
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$99.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Diemersdal Pinotage Reserve Durbanville 2023
red · 750 ml
$15.73 $26.99 Clearance 0.0%—49% premium<1%
Domaine Drouhin Oregon Roserock Pinot Noir 2021
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$11.93 $41.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Leymarie Gevrey Chambertin La Justice 2022
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$41.99 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine le Prieure des Papes Organic Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge Vieilles Vignes 2020
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$29.99 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—29% premium<1%
Duckhorn Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Howell Mountain Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$110 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Educated Guess Cabernet Sauvignon Napa County 2022
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$16.19 $26.99 Clearance 0.0%—16% premium<1%
Fuligni SJ San Jocopo Toscana Rosso 2019
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$10.43 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
GD Vajra Barolo Bricco Della Viole 2018
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$99.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
GD Vajra Barolo Ravera 2018
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$99.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Goldeneye Gowan Creek Pinot Noir Anderson Valley 2018
red · 750 ml
$89.99 0.0%—102% premium<1%
Groth Cabernet Sauvignon Reserve Oakville 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$160 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Hall Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$17.93 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Ladoix Le Clou D'Orge 2021
red · 750 ml
$46.43 $61.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Masi Costasera Amarone della Valpolicella Riserva 2016
red · Veneto · 750 ml
$79.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Orin Swift Mercury Head Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$130 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Plumpjack Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$160 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Soter Vineyards Estates Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$15.93 $51.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Tenuta Meraviglia Bolgheri Rosso 2019
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$9.93 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Trimbach Reserve Pinot Noir Alsace 2022
red · Alsace · 750 ml
$16.79 $27.99 Clearance 0.0%—36% below<1%
William Knuttel Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$17.93 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—107% premium<1%
Allegrini Amarone della Valpolicella Classico 2017
red · Veneto · 750 ml
$84.99 0.0%—95% premium<1%
1,151–1,200 of 2,413← PreviousNext →