Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Chateau Haut Prieur La Croix Blaye Cotes de Bordeaux 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$11.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Esteban Martin Grenache Syrah Blend Carinena Box 2018
red · 3000 ml
$27.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Kosta Browne Pinot Noir Anderson Valley 2021
red · 750 ml
$33.53 $112 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Le Vigne Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2019
red · Paso Robles · 750 ml
$10.43 $13.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Seghesio Family Vineyards Zinfandel Sonoma County 2023
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$21.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Bodegas LAN Reserva Rioja 2017
red · Rioja · 750 ml
$13.19 $21.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chasing Rain Cabernet Sauvignon Red Mountain 2019
red · Washington · 750 ml
$19.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau D'Emeringes Beaujolais Villages Vieilles Vignes Rouge 2020
red · Beaujolais · 750 ml
$6.53 $12.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Lalaudey Moulis en Medoc Cru Bourgeois Superieur 2018
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$17.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Gundlach Bundschu Mountain Cuvee 2021
red · 750 ml
$13.13 $21.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Palacio del Burgo Rioja Tinto 2018
red · Rioja · 750 ml
$3.53 $11.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
First Drop Mother's Milk Shiraz Barossa Valley 2020
red · Barossa · 750 ml
$10.03 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Joseph Jacome Morgon Rouge 2023
red · Beaujolais · 750 ml
$14.99——Fairly priced1%
Maison Passot Les Rampaux Regnie 2022
red · Beaujolais · 750 ml
$10.19 $16.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Tait The Ball Buster Red Blend Barossa Valley 2018
red · Barossa · 750 ml
$17.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Tenuta Alzatura Montefalco Rosso 2020
red · 750 ml
$19.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Torbreck Cuvee Juveniles Red Blend Barossa Valley 2023
red · Barossa · 750 ml
$24.99——Fairly priced<1%
Trefethen Dragon's Tooth Red Wine Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$25.03 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Black Stallion Estate Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Gaspare Vineyard Oak Knoll District of Napa Valley 2021
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$74.99——Fairly priced1%
Fetzer Cabernet Sauvignon Anthony's Hill
red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$3.73 $12.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced<1%
Turk Blauer Zweigelt Elegant Niederosterreich 2021
red · 750 ml
$4.93 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Chateau Latour Martillac Pessac Leognan Rouge 2021
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$45.99▲ 39.4%—Fairly priced2%
Domaine de Chevalier Pessac Leognan Rouge 2019
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$52.53 $99.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Golden Gate Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon California
red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$10.39 0.0%—Fairly priced6%
typically +10% if it rises
Hermanos Hernaiz el Jardin de La Emperatriz Tinto Rioja 2021
red · Rioja · 750 ml
$13.99——Fairly priced1%
Pepperwood Grove Pinot Noir
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$5.49 $10.99 Clearance 0.0%▲ 10.0%Fairly priced1%
Two Hands Angels Share Shiraz McLaren Vale 2020
red · McLaren Vale · 750 ml
$10.13 $35.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Vigneti di Ettore Amarone della Valpolicella Classico 2016
red · Veneto · 750 ml
$13.93 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Beaux Freres Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$21.93 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Jean Touzot Pinot Noir Bourgogne 2022
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$5.93 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Koudiat by Lavau Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2020
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$10.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Coelho Winery Pinot Noir Estate Reserve Willamette Valley 2019
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$12.93 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Fattoria del Cerro Vino Nobile di Montepulciano 2019
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$5.93 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Saxon Brown Durell Vineyard Hayfield Block Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2015
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$30.03 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Di Giovanna V21 Vasca Ventuno Grillo Sicilia 2021
red · Sicily · 3000 ml
$8.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Goose Ridge g3 Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2018
red · Washington · 750 ml
$14.99 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced<1%
Mount Peak Winery Gravity Red Blend Sonoma County 2021
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$27.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Tenuta delle Terre Nere Etna Rosso 2023
red · Sicily · 750 ml
$17.99 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Le Marquis de Calon Segur Saint Estephe 2019
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$42.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Malvira Vigne Nuove Roero Arneis 2020
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$4.23 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau La Gaffeliere Clos La Gaffeliere Saint Emilion 2019
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$38.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Chateau Lyonnat Lussac Saint Emilion 2016
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$5.93 $21.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Verriere Bellevue Bordeaux Superieur Rouge 2016
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$14.99 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced<1%
Foxhorn Vineyards Merlot
red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$5.99 $11.99 Clearance 0.0%▲ 9.1%Fairly priced1%
Chimney Rock Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$99.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Fre Premium Red Blend Alcohol Removed
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$9.39 0.0%▲ 34.3%Fairly priced6%
typically +11% if it rises
Hidrangeas Douro Reserva 2018
red · Douro · 750 ml
$5.93 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Ondarre Rioja Gran Reserva 2015
red · Rioja · 750 ml
$20.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Apothic Dark Red Blend Halloween
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$2.53 $10.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Kathryn Hall Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2020
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$137 $225 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
1,101–1,150 of 5,705← PreviousNext →