Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chateau Haut Prieur La Croix Blaye Cotes de Bordeaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Esteban Martin Grenache Syrah Blend Carinena Box 2018 red · 3000 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kosta Browne Pinot Noir Anderson Valley 2021 red · 750 ml | $33.53 $112 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Vigne Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2019 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $10.43 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Seghesio Family Vineyards Zinfandel Sonoma County 2023 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas LAN Reserva Rioja 2017 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chasing Rain Cabernet Sauvignon Red Mountain 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau D'Emeringes Beaujolais Villages Vieilles Vignes Rouge 2020 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $6.53 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lalaudey Moulis en Medoc Cru Bourgeois Superieur 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gundlach Bundschu Mountain Cuvee 2021 red · 750 ml | $13.13 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Palacio del Burgo Rioja Tinto 2018 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $3.53 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| First Drop Mother's Milk Shiraz Barossa Valley 2020 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joseph Jacome Morgon Rouge 2023 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Maison Passot Les Rampaux Regnie 2022 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $10.19 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tait The Ball Buster Red Blend Barossa Valley 2018 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta Alzatura Montefalco Rosso 2020 red · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Torbreck Cuvee Juveniles Red Blend Barossa Valley 2023 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $24.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Trefethen Dragon's Tooth Red Wine Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $25.03 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Black Stallion Estate Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Gaspare Vineyard Oak Knoll District of Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $74.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Fetzer Cabernet Sauvignon Anthony's Hill red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Turk Blauer Zweigelt Elegant Niederosterreich 2021 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Latour Martillac Pessac Leognan Rouge 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $45.99 | ▲ 39.4% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Domaine de Chevalier Pessac Leognan Rouge 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $52.53 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Golden Gate Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon California red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Hermanos Hernaiz el Jardin de La Emperatriz Tinto Rioja 2021 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $13.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pepperwood Grove Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.49 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Two Hands Angels Share Shiraz McLaren Vale 2020 red · McLaren Vale · 750 ml | $10.13 $35.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vigneti di Ettore Amarone della Valpolicella Classico 2016 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beaux Freres Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $21.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Jean Touzot Pinot Noir Bourgogne 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Koudiat by Lavau Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Coelho Winery Pinot Noir Estate Reserve Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fattoria del Cerro Vino Nobile di Montepulciano 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Saxon Brown Durell Vineyard Hayfield Block Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2015 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $30.03 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Di Giovanna V21 Vasca Ventuno Grillo Sicilia 2021 red · Sicily · 3000 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Goose Ridge g3 Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mount Peak Winery Gravity Red Blend Sonoma County 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Tenuta delle Terre Nere Etna Rosso 2023 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Marquis de Calon Segur Saint Estephe 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $42.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Malvira Vigne Nuove Roero Arneis 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau La Gaffeliere Clos La Gaffeliere Saint Emilion 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $38.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Lyonnat Lussac Saint Emilion 2016 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Verriere Bellevue Bordeaux Superieur Rouge 2016 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Foxhorn Vineyards Merlot red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chimney Rock Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fre Premium Red Blend Alcohol Removed red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 34.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +11% if it rises |
| Hidrangeas Douro Reserva 2018 red · Douro · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ondarre Rioja Gran Reserva 2015 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $20.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Apothic Dark Red Blend Halloween red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.53 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Kathryn Hall Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $137 $225 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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