Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nik Weis St Urbans Hof Riesling Bockstein Spatlese Mosel 2021 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $14.33 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 67% premium | <1% |
| Orin Swift 8 Years in the Desert Red Blend California 2023 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 14% premium | <1% |
| Orin Swift Machete Red Blend California 2022 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $38.99 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 40% premium | <1% |
| Planeta Santa Cecili Nero d'Avola Noto 2016 red · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Poggio Salvi Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $26.99 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 30% below | <1% |
| Quailhurst Vineyard Estate White Pinot Noir Chehalem Mountains 2021 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Quinta da Fonte Souto Red Alentejo 2019 red · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| St Supery Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $37.43 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sterling Vineyards Platinum Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2016 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| V5 Vasca Cinque Rosato di Nero d'Avola Terre Siciliane 2021 rosé · Sicily · 3000 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Colome Autentico Malbec Calchaqui Valley Salta 2022 red · 750 ml | $16.19 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Branas Grand Poujeaux Moulis en Medoc 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $12.93 $42.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lyonnat Lussac Saint Emilion 2015 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Montrose La Dame de Montrose Saint Estephe 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pedesclaux Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $46.73 $62.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Corinne et Jean Pierre Grossot Chablis 2018 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Diemersdal Private Collection Red Durbanville 2022 red · 750 ml | $15.73 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 60% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Le Facteur La Bamboche Vin de France Blanc 2022 white · 750 ml | $28.99 | 0.0% | — | 92% premium | <1% |
| Fess Parker Ashley's Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2020 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $27.53 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fontanabianca Barbaresco Bordini 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gerard and Pierre Morin Sancerre Rouge 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $24.93 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Iron Horse Classic Vintage Brut Green Valley of Russian River Valley 2017 sparkling · Sonoma · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lamblin et Fils Vaillon Chablis Premier Cru 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $25.13 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 44% premium | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Beaune Theurons 1er Cru Rouge 2020 red · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Poesia Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $13.43 $45.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 52% below | <1% |
| Poggio Landi Brunello di Montalcino Riserva 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Reserve de la Comtesse Pauillac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $48.33 $64.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| San Felice Il Grigio Chianti Gran Selezione 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Calling Chardonnay Searby Vineyard Russian River Valley 2018 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Prisoner Wine Company The Prisoner Red California 2019 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tura Mountain Vista Rose 2023 rosé · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Villa Poggio Salvi Brunello di Montalcino 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | 73% premium | <1% |
| Aubichon Cellars Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beaux Freres Willamette Valley Pinot Noir 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $52.43 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Black Stallion Estate Winery Limited Release Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $44.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Boekenhoutskloof The Chocolate Block Red Blend Franschhoek 2019 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ca di Pesa Chianti Classico Riserva 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cantina di Montalcino Brunello di Montalcino 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cascade Cliffs Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Red Mountain 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $11.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castello di Meleto Poggiarso Chianti Classico Gran Selezione 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $19.79 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Barde Haut Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Carbonnieux Pessac Leognan Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.83 $51.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau La Fleur Saint Emilion 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $12.93 $42.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Labegorce Margaux 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $12.43 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 55% below | <1% |
| Chateau Poujeaux Moulis en Medoc 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $12.93 $42.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Col d'Orcia Brunello di Montalcino 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $41.13 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Col d'Orcia Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $35.99 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Guy Amiot et Fils Cuvee Simone Pinot Noir Bourgogne 2018 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | 44% below | <1% |
| Domaine Louis Jadot Marsannay Blanc 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 38% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Serene Yamhill Cuvee Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $38.99 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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