Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bargemone Libre Rose Coteaux d'Aix en Provence 2024 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $24.99 $29.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bedrock Evangelho Vineyard Heritage Red Contra Costa County 2022 red · 750 ml | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bedrock Sauvignon Blanc Sonoma Valley 2022 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castello Romitorio Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castello di Meleto Chianti Classico Riserva 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Bouscaut Pessac Leognan Blanc 2018 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Carbonnieux Pessac Leognan Blanc 2019 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau La Louviere Pessac Leognan Rouge 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $12.93 $42.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Montelena Chardonnay Napa Valley 2018 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Demarie Barolo Classico 2016 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Adrien Besson Montmains Chablis 1er Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $20.99 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 8% below | <1% |
| GD Vajra Albe Barolo 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Groth Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $48.73 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Graacher Himmelreich Riesling Mosel Kabinett 2020 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $25.53 $52.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 14% below | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Graacher Himmelreich Mosel Spatlese 2020 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $28.53 $55.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Wehlener Sonnenuhr Riesling Mosel Kabinett 2020 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $27.53 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 21% below | <1% |
| Joseph Pascal Puligny Montrachet 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $19.93 $68.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| LEcole No 41 Syrah Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $17.39 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marziano Abbona Barolo 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $36.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Orin Swift Palermo Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $41.99 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pagodes de Cos Saint Estephe Rouge 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $52.43 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Palmaris Red Reserve Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pomerol by Clinet 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $26.99 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Quest Red Blend Paso Robles 2021 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sequoia Grove Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Silenus Winery Tyros Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $9.93 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 39% below | <1% |
| Stags' Leap Winery Merlot Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta San Guido Guidalberto Toscana Rosso 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $20.93 $68.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Three French Hens Pays d'Oc Rose 2025 rosé · Languedoc-Roussillon · 3000 ml | $26.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Trefethen Estate Grown Chardonnay Oak Knoll District of Napa Valley 2020 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| WALT Pinot Noir La Brisa Sonoma Coast 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Boscarelli Sotto Casa Vino Nobile di Montepulciano Riserva 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | 79% premium | <1% |
| Brittan Vineyards Pinot Noir Estate McMinnville 2017 red · 750 ml | $17.53 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Cantemerle Haut Medoc 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $11.93 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Coutet Barsac 2021 red · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $10.43 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Di Giovanna V5 Vasca Cinque Rosato di Nero d'Avola Terre Siciliane 2023 rosé · Sicily · 3000 ml | $31.99 | ▲ 6.7% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Adrien Besson Vaillons Chablis 1er Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $22.19 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Joaquim Dias Givry Rouge 2023 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $16.73 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de la Charbonniere Hautes Brusquieres Cuvee Speciale Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $35.99 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dr Thanisch Bernkasteler Graben Riesling Mosel Spatlese 2020 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $10.93 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| El Coto Imaz Gran Reserva Rioja 2016 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $35.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fanti Brunello di Montalcino 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gerard and Pierre Morin Sancerre Rose 2023 rosé · Loire · 750 ml | $26.99 $29.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Spinona Langhe Nebbiolo 2022 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $7.73 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lange Pinot Noir Three Hills Cuvee Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 48% premium | <1% |
| Lorenzo Lo Bendito Malbec Agrelo 2019 red · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maison Tardieu Laurent Gigondas Vieilles Vignes 2018 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $38.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marques de Reinosa Reserva Garnacha 2019 red · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | 127% premium | <1% |
| Marques de Riscal Rioja Gran Reserva 2015 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $45.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Meyer Fonne Riesling Wineck Schlossberg Alsace Grand Cru 2022 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $28.19 $46.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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