Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oko Pinot Noir Pays d'Oc red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +8% if it rises |
| Greenwing Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Courtyard Winery Twisted Red red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 $16.59 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 10% typically +8% if it rises |
| Andre Brunel Cuvee Est Ouest Cotes Du Rhone Rouge red · Rhone · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Cune Ribera del Duero Tinto red · Ribera del Duero · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Kendall Jackson Vintner's Reserve Zinfandel red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Our Daily Cab Organic Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +10% if it rises |
| Mano's Wine Eagles Championship Cabernet Sauvignon red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $280 $300 Sale | 0.0% | — | 329% premium | 10% typically +8% if it rises |
| Grand Marnier Cordon Rouge with 2 Flute Glasses Gift Set red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $36.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Happy Valley Vineyard and Winery Appalachia Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Mano's Eagles Championship Eagles Etched Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Duckhorn Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Decoy Limited Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | 34% below | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Imagery Estate Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 20% below | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Decoy Limited Red Wine Alexander Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | 45% premium | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Painted Fox Winery Renaissance Red York County red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Chateau Recougne Bordeaux Superieur Rouge red · Bordeaux · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 10% typically +9% if it rises |
| Old Vine Ranch Old Vine Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | 56% premium | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Mouton Cadet x Pierre Rouge Bordeaux red · Bordeaux · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Trambusti Sentimento Toscana Rosso red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Mercer Bros Edge of Heaven Dark Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | 34% below | 10% typically +9% if it rises |
| Bonterra Vineyards Pinot Noir Mendocino red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Natura Organic Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 3.5% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +4% if it rises |
| Decoy Limited Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Vins El Cep Pet Nat Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +4% if it rises |
| Bedrock Wine Co Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma County red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $49.99 | — | — | 97% premium | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Mano's Cabernet Sauvignon 250th Anniversary Etched Liberty Bell red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $49.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Caymus Suisun The Walking Fool Red Suisun Valley red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $32.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Duckhorn Vineyard Merlot Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $59.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +8% if it rises |
| Grand Marnier Cordon Rouge red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Rodney Strong Cabernet Sauvignon Knights Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $31.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Masciarelli Montepulciano d'Abruzzo red · Abruzzo · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 13.1% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Carlos Serres Reserva Rioja red · Rioja · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Trivento Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $10.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 28% below | 9% typically +9% if it rises |
| Layer Cake Cabernet Sauvignon 2022 red · 750 ml | $6.99 | — | — | 56% below | 9% typically +13% if it rises |
| Hazlitt 1852 Vineyards Red Cat Party Pouch Finger Lakes red · Finger Lakes · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $28.99 | 0.0% | — | 42% premium | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Clover Hill Vineyards and Winery Turtle Rock Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.49 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +7% if it rises |
| Janare Benevento Aglianico Campania red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +7% if it rises |
| Tenuta Regaleali Nero d'Avola red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +7% if it rises |
| Peju Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $66.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Yori Wine Cellars Famiglia Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +7% if it rises |
| Painted Fox Winery Cabernet Franc York County red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| University Wine Company Lion's Roar Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Yori Wine Cellars St Croix Semi Dry Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Alexander Valley Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Carlos Serres La Maldita Garnacha Rioja red · Rioja · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +7% if it rises |
| Villa des Anges Cabernet Sauvignon Vin de France red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +9% if it rises |
| Intercept Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles Signed by Charles Woodson red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.89 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +4% if it rises |
| Produttori di Manduria Lirica Primitivo di Manduria red · Puglia · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Cooper and Thief Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Reserve de la Comtesse Pauillac 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $89.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +35% if it rises |
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