Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20261008-061600
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chateau Gazin Pomerol 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $38.73 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Perrier Jouet Belle Epoque Champagne With 2 Flutes Gift Set sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $162 | 0.0% | — | 128% premium | 17% typically +6% if it rises |
| Marietta Cellars Game Trail Cabernet Sauvignon 2021 red · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 128% premium | <1% |
| Clos Fourtet Saint Emilion 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $170 | 0.0% | — | 128% premium | <1% |
| San Felice Vigorello Toscana Rosso 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $17.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas LAN Edicion Limitada Rioja 2020 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $35.99 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 129% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Leflaive Macon Verze Le Monte 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $57.63 $76.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 130% premium | <1% |
| Luigi Bosca De Sangre DOC Malbec Mendoza 2023 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $31.99 | — | — | 130% premium | 1% |
| Turk Eiswein vom Gruner Veltliner Niederosterreich 2023 white · 375 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Broadside Blackletter Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2019 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $14.93 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vineyard 29 Aida Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $83.93 $280 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 132% premium | <1% |
| Castello dei Rampolla Sammarco Toscana Rosso 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $96.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Manzanos 125th Anniversary Rioja Reserva 2009 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $25.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 132% premium | <1% |
| Sasso di Sole Sasso di Luna Brunello di Montalcino 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $47.99 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 132% premium | <1% |
| Lo Zoccolaio Baccanera Langhe Rosso 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $33.99 | — | — | 133% premium | 1% |
| Chateau Pavie Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $150 $500 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 133% premium | <1% |
| Wente Vineyards Nth Degree Merlot Livermore Valley 2020 red · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | 133% premium | 1% |
| Villa Poggio Salvi Brunello di Montalcino Riserva 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $28.43 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 133% premium | <1% |
| Castelfeder Burgum Novum Pinot Nero Alto Adige 2018 red · Trentino-Alto Adige · 750 ml | $37.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| The Roost Blue Heron Vineyard Chardonnay Mendocino County 2020 white · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 134% premium | <1% |
| Familia Schroeder S Malbec Patagonia 2019 red · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 135% premium | <1% |
| Tenuta della Ornellaia Ornellaia Bolgheri Superiore 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $300 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pio Cesare Barolo Mosconi 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $175 | 0.0% | — | 136% premium | 1% |
| Banfi Brunello di Montalcino Poggio Alle Mura Riserva 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $48.93 $155 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 136% premium | <1% |
| Ca Del Bosco Cuvee Prestige Franciacorta sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $44.99 | 0.0% | — | 136% premium | 11% typically +8% if it rises |
| La Marca Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $38.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 21.9% | 137% premium | 8% typically +6% if it rises |
| Heitz Cellar Lot C 91 Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $71.73 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 137% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Grand Puy Lacoste Pauillac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $38.73 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 137% premium | <1% |
| Mano's Cabernet Sauvignon 250th Anniversary Etched Liberty Bell red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $49.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Chateau Pavie Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $250 $500 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 139% premium | <1% |
| Chateau la Gaffeliere Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $115 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gaja Barbaresco 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $260 | 0.0% | — | 140% premium | <1% |
| Fukucho Sparkling Seaside Junmai Hiroshima sparkling · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.53 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 141% premium | 1% |
| Allegrini Amarone della Valpolicella Classico 2020 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $56.99 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 142% premium | <1% |
| Tornatore Etna Bianco Pietrarizzo 2021 white · Sicily · 750 ml | $35.99 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 142% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Patrick Giboulot La Morand Pernand Vergelesses Blanc 2022 white · 750 ml | $33.59 $55.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 143% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Saint Pierre St Julien 2021 red · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau la Croix de Gay Pomerol 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | 143% premium | <1% |
| Matthews Claret Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $15.93 $51.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 145% premium | 1% |
| Renato Ratti Marcenasco 2020 red · 750 ml | $44.99 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 145% premium | <1% |
| Chateau La Gaffeliere Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $130 | ▲ 8.3% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Veuve Clicquot Yellow Label Champagne Brut sparkling · Champagne · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $600 | — | — | 148% premium | 4% |
| Chateau Montrose Saint Estephe 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $110 $220 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 150% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Parent Monthelie White 2022 white · 750 ml | $25.43 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 151% premium | <1% |
| Skinner Zinfandel El Dorado 2019 red · 750 ml | $34.99 | — | — | 152% premium | 1% |
| Beringer Private Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $170 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| M Chapoutier Monier de la Sizeranne Hermitage Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $150 | — | — | 152% premium | 1% |
| Chateau Pontet Canet Pauillac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $120 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jim Barry The McRae Wood Shiraz Clare Valley 2017 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $49.99 | — | — | 154% premium | 1% |
| Penfolds Bin 149 Wine of the World Cabernet Sauvignon 2019 red · 750 ml | $100 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 154% premium | <1% |
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