Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20261008-061600
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casanova di Neri Tenuta Nuova Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $91.79 $153 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jean Foillard Fleurie 2020 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | 88% premium | <1% |
| Vineyard 29 29 Estate Cabernet Sauvignon St Helena Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $83.73 $280 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 88% premium | <1% |
| Warwick Professor Black Pitch Black Red Blend Stellenbosch 2018 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $10.23 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 88% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Brane Cantenac Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $125 | 0.0% | — | 88% premium | 1% |
| Robert Mondavi Winery The Estates Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $24.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 88% premium | <1% |
| Trefethen Merlot 2021 red · 750 ml | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 89% premium | <1% |
| Chandon Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | ▲ 10.6% | ▲ 15.0% | 89% premium | 2% |
| Chateau Margaux Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $1,350 | 0.0% | — | 89% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Lynch Bages Pauillac 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $55.43 $185 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hawk and Horse Cabernet Sauvignon Red Hills Lake County 2016 red · 750 ml | $22.43 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Turk Gruner Veltliner Ried Kremser Thurnerberg 2022 white · 750 ml | $10.93 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 89% premium | <1% |
| Rex Hill Chardonnay Seven Soils Willamette Valley 2019 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $9.93 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| WALT Bob's Ranch Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast Sonoma County 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $47.53 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 89% premium | <1% |
| Zigu Dessert Wine Kakheti dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 89% premium | 1% |
| Rudolph's Red Cabernet Sauvignon Stocking red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $39.99 | — | — | 90% premium | 8% typically +6% if it rises |
| Billecart Salmon Champagne Brut Rose sparkling · Champagne · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $165 $275 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Michel Sarrazin Maranges Rouge 2022 red · 750 ml | $25.19 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 90% premium | <1% |
| Paso d'Oro Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $27.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 90% premium | 11% typically +5% if it rises |
| AR Pepe Valtellina Superiore Grumello Rocca de Piro 2017 red · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Canon Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $65.93 $220 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Homenagem Tejo Reserva 2015 red · 750 ml | $10.93 $33.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Orin Swift Mercury Head Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $105 $175 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 90% premium | <1% |
| Heitz Cellar Lot C 91 Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2016 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $97.99 | 0.0% | — | 90% premium | <1% |
| Chateau des Jacques Clos de Rochegres Moulin a Vent 2020 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $42.99 | 0.0% | — | 91% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Pontet Canet Pauillac 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $48.93 $155 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Val delle Rose Aurelio Maremma Rosso rosé · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | 91% premium | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Cline Family Cellars Rock Carved Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 91% premium | <1% |
| Escudo Rojo Origine Cabernet Sauvignon Reserva Maipo Valley 2021 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $8.93 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 91% premium | <1% |
| Bruichladdich Islay Single Malt Port Charlotte 10 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | 92% premium | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Domaine Le Facteur La Bamboche Vin de France Blanc 2022 white · 750 ml | $28.99 | 0.0% | — | 92% premium | <1% |
| Golan Heights Winery Katzrin Chardonnay Golan Heights Israel 2022 white · 750 ml | $36.99 | — | — | 92% premium | 2% |
| McBride Sisters Black Girl Magic Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 $24.99 Sale | ▼ 10.7% | 0.0% | 92% premium | 20% typically +4% if it rises |
| Valley of the Moon Pinot Gris Viognier 2022 white · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 92% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Lagrange Les Arums de Lagrange Bordeaux Blanc 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $11.13 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 92% premium | <1% |
| Segura Viudas Cava Brut Reserva Heredad sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 92% premium | 1% |
| Solomon Hills Estate Belle of the Ball Reserve Chardonnay Santa Maria Valley SBC 2019 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $24.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 93% premium | <1% |
| Two Hands Ares Shiraz Barossa Valley 2018 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $100 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 93% premium | <1% |
| Clunia Tempranillo Castilla y Leon 2016 red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $25.99 $29.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Smith Haut Lafitte Pessac Leognan Rouge 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $230 | — | — | 93% premium | 3% |
| Avennia Gravura Red Blend Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $39.99 | — | — | 93% premium | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Bernardus Marinus Red Carmel Valley 2017 red · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Grand Puy Lacoste Pauillac 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $29.93 $107 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 93% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Vacheron Sancerre Blanc 2024 white · Loire · 750 ml | $56.99 | — | — | 94% premium | 2% |
| Long Shadows Pirouette Red Wine Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 94% premium | <1% |
| Fattoria le Pupile Poggio Valente Toscana Rosso 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lisini Ugolaia Brunello di Montalcino 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $71.99 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Oremus Tokaji Mandolas Dry Furmint Tokaj 2020 dessert · 750 ml | $14.73 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 94% premium | <1% |
| Gia Coppola Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2022 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | 94% premium | 1% |
| Dama Wines GSM Red Blend Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 95% premium | <1% |
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