Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sandeman Porto Founders Reserve dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | ▲ 11.1% | ▲ 36.4% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| The Dreaming Tree Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 5.9% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| The Dreaming Tree Sauvignon Blanc Sonoma County white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 5.9% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Kim Crawford Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▼ 5.3% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Pierre Peters Cuvee Reserve Blanc de Blancs Champagne Brut Grand Cru sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $48.63 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 8.3% | 25% below | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Paquet Montagnac Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Anna de Codorniu Cava Brut Blanc de Blancs sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 31% below | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Hitch Chardonnay Edna Valley white · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Pomme Doublee Apple Spritz Sparkling Wine sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Taylor Fladgate Tawny Porto 10 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $36.99 | ▲ 5.7% | ▲ 23.3% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Mano's Wine Eagles Championship Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 $24.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 46% below | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| 14 Hands Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley white · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Apothic Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Codorniu Clasico Brut Organic sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Frontera White Blend white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 | 0.0% | — | 22% below | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| SeaGlass Chardonnay Central Coast white · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Perrier Jouet Belle Epoque Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $190 | 0.0% | ▲ 21.8% | 194% premium | 7% typically +11% if it rises |
| La Marca Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 17.7% | 25% premium | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Chaddsford Winery White Sangria white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Hearst Ranch Three Sisters Cuvee White Blend Paso Robles white · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Kuranui Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Rozes Tawny Porto dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | 39% below | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Barefoot Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +11% if it rises |
| Barefoot Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +11% if it rises |
| Barefoot Pink Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | 20% below | 7% typically +11% if it rises |
| Barefoot Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +11% if it rises |
| Barefoot Red Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +11% if it rises |
| Barefoot Riesling white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +11% if it rises |
| Barefoot Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +11% if it rises |
| Cantina della Pioppa Lambrusco di Modena Biologico sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 17% below | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Graham Beck Sparkling Western Cape Brut Rose sparkling · Western Cape · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Martini and Rossi Asti sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Martini and Rossi Sparkling Rose sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Pierre Gimonnet et Fils Cuis Blanc de Blancs Champagne Brut 1er Cru sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $52.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +17% if it rises |
| Silk and Spice Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Emiliana Amaluna Organic Sparkling Brut Casablanca Valley sparkling · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Murviedro Arts de Luna Cava Brut Rose sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 21% below | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Oak Leaf Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Oak Leaf Vineyards Merlot red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Bailly Lapierre Cremant de Bourgogne Rose sparkling · Burgundy · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | 10% premium | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Kendall Jackson Avant Chardonnay Unoaked white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 28.6% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Kendall Jackson Vintner's Reserve Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Montechiara Asolo Prosecco Superiore sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Tenuta di Collalbrigo Prosecco Superiore Conegliano Valdobbiadene Brut sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Dow's Tawny Porto 30 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $140 | 0.0% | ▲ 27.3% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Markham Vineyards Merlot Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $26.99 Sale | ▲ 3.8% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Williams and Humbert Dry Sack Sherry Medium Dry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | ▲ 7.3% | ▲ 11.8% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| 19 Crimes Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| J Roget Spumante sparkling · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.4% | 41% premium | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Korbel Brut Rose California Champagne sparkling · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | ▲ 5.6% | ▲ 18.8% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
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