Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Chateau Troplong Mondot Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2019
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$153 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Clos des Brusquieres Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2020
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$44.93 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Continuum Proprietary Red Blend Napa Valley 2021
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$220 $340 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Nico Grand Mere Pinot Noir Soeur et Freres Uco Valley 2020
red · Mendoza · 750 ml
$29.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Nico Grand Pere Pinot Noir Soeur et Freres Uco Valley 2020
red · Mendoza · 750 ml
$29.99 0.0%—16% below<1%
Domaine Prieur Brunet Santenay Maladiere 1er Cru Rouge 2020
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$43.23 $56.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Elk Cove Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2019
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$27.99 0.0%—41% below<1%
Jaffurs Wine Cellars Syrah Santa Barbara County 2022
red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml
$19.79 $32.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Le Cadeau Estate Red Label Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$23.99 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Luca Old Vine Malbec Mendoza 2019
red · Mendoza · 750 ml
$34.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Montinore Estate L'Orange Willamette Valley 2020
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$27.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
V18 Vasca Diciotto Nero d'Avola Terre Siciliane 2020
red · Sicily · 3000 ml
$29.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
V21 Vasca Ventuno Grillo Sicilia 2020
red · Sicily · 3000 ml
$29.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Vincent Girardin Les Genevrieres 1er Cru Meursault 2020
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$160 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Amador Medrano Finca Las Aguzaderas Rioja 2019
red · Rioja · 750 ml
$19.79 $32.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Auctioneer Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$8.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Borgogno Nebbiolo d'Alba 2020
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$22.79 $37.99 Clearance 0.0%—82% premium<1%
Cakebread Cellars Merlot Napa Valley 2019
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$52.43 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—33% premium<1%
Cakebread Cellars Pinot Noir Anderson Valley Two Creeks Vineyards 2020
red · 750 ml
$49.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Castellare Chianti Classico 2022
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$15.59 $25.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Castello di Volpaia Chianti Classico 2021
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$17.99 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Branaire Ducru Saint Julien 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$71.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Hosanna Pomerol 2017
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$230 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Mazeyres Pomerol 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$14.93 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Pichon Longueville Comtesse de Lalande Pauillac 2021
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$280 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chimney Rock Elevage Stags Leap District Napa Valley 2019
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$120 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Clos Pegase Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley Estate Bottled 2022
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$17.99 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Clos Pegase Pegaso Red Napa Valley 2022
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$17.99 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Bouchard Pere et Fils Nuits Saint Georges Les Cailles 1er Cru 2019
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$152 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Fernand et Laurent Pillot Chassagne Montrachet Les Vergers 1er Cru 2020
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$99.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Guy Amiot et Fils Les Champgains Chassagne Montrachet 1er Cru 2020
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$99.99 0.0%—29% below<1%
Domaine Louis Jadot Estournelles Saint Jacques Gevrey Chambertin 1er Cru Rouge 2019
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$135 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine de Chevalier Pessac Leognan Rouge 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$99.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine du Pegau Chateauneuf du Pape Cuvee Reservee Rouge 2019
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$52.43 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Geyser Peak Walking Tree Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2021
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$17.99 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—62% premium<1%
Gorman Winery The Devil You Dont Know Red Blend Columbia Valley 2021
red · Washington · 750 ml
$17.99 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Grevino Pinot Noir Santa Maria Valley 2020
red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml
$27.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Kathryn Hall Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$200 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Nickel and Nickel Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville Single Vineyard Branding Iron Vineyard 2019
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$120 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Nickel and Nickel Winery Cabernet Sauvignon St Helena Dogleg Vineyard 2019
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$120 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Nickel and Nickel Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Yountville Single Vineyard State Ranch Vineyard 2019
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$120 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Starmont Cabernet Sauvignon North Coast 2018
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$33.99 0.0%—75% premium<1%
Vincent Girardin Les Charmes Dessus Meursault 1er Cru Premier Cru 2020
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$140 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Walla Walla Vintners Cabernet Sauvignon Walla Walla Valley 2021
red · Washington · 750 ml
$8.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Worthy Cabernet Sauvignon Sophia's Cuvee Napa Valley 2016
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$31.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Ascheri Barolo 2017
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$39.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Bovio Barolo 2016
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$49.99 0.0% 0.0%34% below<1%
Cesari Amarone della Valpolicella Classico 2017
red · Veneto · 750 ml
$49.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Cap de Mourlin Saint Emilion 2018
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$17.93 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Doisy Daene Barsac 2018
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$17.93 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—79% premium<1%
901–950 of 2,413← PreviousNext →