Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chateau Troplong Mondot Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $153 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos des Brusquieres Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $44.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Continuum Proprietary Red Blend Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $220 $340 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Nico Grand Mere Pinot Noir Soeur et Freres Uco Valley 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Nico Grand Pere Pinot Noir Soeur et Freres Uco Valley 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | 16% below | <1% |
| Domaine Prieur Brunet Santenay Maladiere 1er Cru Rouge 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $43.23 $56.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Elk Cove Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | 41% below | <1% |
| Jaffurs Wine Cellars Syrah Santa Barbara County 2022 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $19.79 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Cadeau Estate Red Label Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $23.99 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Luca Old Vine Malbec Mendoza 2019 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Montinore Estate L'Orange Willamette Valley 2020 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| V18 Vasca Diciotto Nero d'Avola Terre Siciliane 2020 red · Sicily · 3000 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| V21 Vasca Ventuno Grillo Sicilia 2020 red · Sicily · 3000 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vincent Girardin Les Genevrieres 1er Cru Meursault 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $160 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Amador Medrano Finca Las Aguzaderas Rioja 2019 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $19.79 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Auctioneer Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Borgogno Nebbiolo d'Alba 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $22.79 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 82% premium | <1% |
| Cakebread Cellars Merlot Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $52.43 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 33% premium | <1% |
| Cakebread Cellars Pinot Noir Anderson Valley Two Creeks Vineyards 2020 red · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castellare Chianti Classico 2022 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $15.59 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castello di Volpaia Chianti Classico 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Branaire Ducru Saint Julien 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $71.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Hosanna Pomerol 2017 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $230 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Mazeyres Pomerol 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pichon Longueville Comtesse de Lalande Pauillac 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $280 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chimney Rock Elevage Stags Leap District Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $120 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos Pegase Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley Estate Bottled 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos Pegase Pegaso Red Napa Valley 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Bouchard Pere et Fils Nuits Saint Georges Les Cailles 1er Cru 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $152 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Fernand et Laurent Pillot Chassagne Montrachet Les Vergers 1er Cru 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Guy Amiot et Fils Les Champgains Chassagne Montrachet 1er Cru 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | 29% below | <1% |
| Domaine Louis Jadot Estournelles Saint Jacques Gevrey Chambertin 1er Cru Rouge 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $135 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Chevalier Pessac Leognan Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine du Pegau Chateauneuf du Pape Cuvee Reservee Rouge 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $52.43 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Geyser Peak Walking Tree Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 62% premium | <1% |
| Gorman Winery The Devil You Dont Know Red Blend Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Grevino Pinot Noir Santa Maria Valley 2020 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kathryn Hall Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $200 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nickel and Nickel Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville Single Vineyard Branding Iron Vineyard 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $120 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nickel and Nickel Winery Cabernet Sauvignon St Helena Dogleg Vineyard 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $120 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nickel and Nickel Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Yountville Single Vineyard State Ranch Vineyard 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $120 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Starmont Cabernet Sauvignon North Coast 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $33.99 | 0.0% | — | 75% premium | <1% |
| Vincent Girardin Les Charmes Dessus Meursault 1er Cru Premier Cru 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $140 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Walla Walla Vintners Cabernet Sauvignon Walla Walla Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Worthy Cabernet Sauvignon Sophia's Cuvee Napa Valley 2016 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $31.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ascheri Barolo 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bovio Barolo 2016 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 34% below | <1% |
| Cesari Amarone della Valpolicella Classico 2017 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Cap de Mourlin Saint Emilion 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Doisy Daene Barsac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 79% premium | <1% |
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