Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodney Strong Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley Reserve red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $52.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 6.0% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +8% if it rises |
| Tenshen Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | 36% premium | 11% typically +5% if it rises |
| Williams and Humbert Don Zoilo Amontillado 15 Year Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.93 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cannonball Merlot California 2019 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 36% premium | <1% |
| De Wetsof Limestone Hill Chardonnay Robertson Vallley 2023 white · 750 ml | $11.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Eyrie Vineyards Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2015 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $37.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lange Estate Winery Classique Pinot Gris Willamette Valley white · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.73 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 36% premium | 1% |
| Monopole Clasico Reserva Rioja Alta 2020 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Simi Brightful Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Southern Right Pinotage Walker Bay 2022 red · 750 ml | $33.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Testarossa Pinot Noir Santa Lucia Highlands 2021 red · Monterey · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beringer Founders' Estate Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $24.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 8.7% | 36% premium | 2% |
| Cakebread Cellars Sauvignon Blanc North Coast 2024 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $32.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Canon la Gaffeliere Saint Emilion 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $120 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hyland Estates Old Vine Estate Pinot Noir McMinnville 2022 red · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 36% premium | <1% |
| Le Vigne Winery Cuvee Bordeaux Style Blend Paso Robles 2017 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Les Rocailles Savoie Rose 2025 rosé · 750 ml | $17.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mastroberardino Radici Taurasi 2016 red · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Smallfry Wines Tangerine Dreams White Blend Barossa Valley 2021 white · Barossa · 750 ml | $13.53 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 36% premium | <1% |
| Bodegas Granbazan Etiqueta Ambar Albarino Rias Baixas 2024 white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $26.99 $29.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Chofflet Heritage Givry 2023 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $32.99 $34.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 36% premium | 1% |
| Jarvis Cabernet Franc Napa Valley 2016 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $49.93 $170 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Luke Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $7.23 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mark West Pinot Noir red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | 36% premium | 4% |
| Rupert and Rothschild Vignerons Classique Red Blend Western Cape 2020 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Walter Hansel South Slope Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $15.93 $57.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Loveblock Sparkling Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2022 sparkling · Marlborough · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | 36% premium | 2% |
| William Fevre Fourchaume Chablis 1er Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $56.33 $93.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ciacci Piccolomini d'Aragona Brunello di Montalcino 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $26.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Ribiera Tintorela Vin de France Rouge Non Vintage red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| King Estate Pinot Gris Willamette Valley white · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.89 $22.89 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 4.1% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Riunite Bianco white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | ▲ 1.0% | ▲ 17.7% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| The Butchers Daughter Cotes du Rhone Reserve 2023 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $20.99 | 0.0% | — | 37% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Fourcas Dupre Listrac Medoc 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $30.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Taylor Fladgate Vintage Porto 2018 dessert · Douro · 750 ml | $71.99 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Collection Alain Corcia Pinot Noir Bourgogne Reserve Grande Classe Rouge 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $16.79 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 37% premium | <1% |
| J Lohr Cabernet Sauvignon Hilltop Paso Robles 2019 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Luc Belaire Rare Rose rosé · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.73 $72.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Santa Julia El Zorrito Natural Orange Wine Mendoza 2024 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Beau Sejour Becot Saint Emilion 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $52.23 $86.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Adelsheim Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $11.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Antucura Calcura Vista Flores Mendoza 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Malvira Barbera d'Alba 2022 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 37% premium | <1% |
| Moroki Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Palmer Alter Ego Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $120 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Graham's Tawny Porto 30 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $150 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +9% if it rises |
| Juwel Silvaner trocken Rheinhessen 2021 red · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml | $7.93 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dievole Novecento Chianti Classico Riserva 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $20.03 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine FL Chamboureau Chenin Blanc Savennieres 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $22.19 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Loosen Bros Dr Lo Alcohol Removed Riesling Nonalcoholic white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
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