Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rutherford Ranch Reserve Chardonnay Carneros Napa Valley 2018 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castle Rock Chardonnay Central Coast 2019 white · Central Coast · 750 ml | $5.03 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Ste Michelle Riesling Columbia Valley white · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $13.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Clay Shannon Betsy Sauvignon Blanc Lake County 2023 white · 750 ml | $3.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Columbia Winery Chardonnay Columbia Valley 2021 white · Washington · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Franklin Hill Vineyards Carnival White Blend white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +8% if it rises |
| William Hill Estate Winery Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | ▼ 4.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Z Alexander Brown Uncaged Sauvignon Blanc North Coast white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.84 $17.69 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 10.6% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Anthony Road Riesling Finger Lakes 2021 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| El Coto Blanco Rioja white · Rioja · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.39 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pierre Amadieu Roulepierre Cotes du Rhone Blanc 2024 white · Rhone · 750 ml | $13.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sokol Blosser Evolution White Blend Oregon white · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.49 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| XXL Moscato Blackberry white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +9% if it rises |
| Cantina San Paolo Fiano di Avelino 2020 white · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Castle Rock Chardonnay Central Coast 2023 white · Central Coast · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Little Cricket Gruner Veltliner Pannon 2021 white · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lucashof Riesling 2022 white · 750 ml | $4.43 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Round Pond Estate Sauvignon Blanc Rutherford 2020 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $7.23 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Walnut Block Wines Collectables Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau D'Emeringes Beaujolais Villages Vieilles Vignes Blanc 2022 white · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau La Freynelle Bordeaux Blanc 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ken Forrester Petit Chenin Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.74 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pertico Pinot Grigio Alto Adige white · Trentino-Alto Adige · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +10% if it rises |
| Black Box Pinot Grigio white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 $5.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +12% if it rises |
| Domaine Gerard Tremblay Fourchaume Chablis 1er Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $11.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nine Hats Pinot Gris Columbia Valley 2020 white · Washington · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Silverado Vineyards Sauvignon Blanc Miller Ranch Napa Valley 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $16.79 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Trimbach Pinot Blanc Alsace white · Alsace · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.47 $20.79 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Charles Smith Kung Fu Girl Riesling white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Happy Valley Vineyard and Winery White Blend white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bledsoe Family Winery Elizabeth Chardonnay Willamette Valley Oregon 2024 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $32.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cloudy Bay Chardonnay Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $34.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Franzia Crisp White white · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Graacher Himmelreich Mosel Spatlese 2020 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $28.53 $55.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pratsch Gruner Veltliner Niederosterreich 2021 white · 1000 ml | $7.53 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Bernard Fleuriet Sancerre Blanc 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dr Loosen Urziger Wurzgarten Riesling Spatlese 2022 white · 750 ml | $31.99 $33.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Four Graces Pinot Gris Willamette Valley 2021 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $14.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Wilhelm Walch Prendo Pinot Grigio Vigneti delle Dolomiti 2020 white · Trentino-Alto Adige · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Kefraya Les Breteches Bekaa Valley Lebanon White 2024 white · 750 ml | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Girard Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Oak Leaf Vineyards Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.89 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +9% if it rises |
| Barefoot Bubbly Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.49 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Yori Wine Cellars Beach Glass White Wine white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.13 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Castle Rock Chardonnay Central Coast 2020 white · Central Coast · 750 ml | $5.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jermann Pinot Grigio Friuli 2022 white · Friuli · 375 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Neyers 304 Chardonnay Sonoma County 2022 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| St Urbans Hof Mehringer Alte Reben Riesling Mosel 2018 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $15.03 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Joel Curveux En Recepey Pouilly Fuisse 2019 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fre Chardonnay Alcohol Removed white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 34.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +11% if it rises |
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